[opendtv] Re: Execs see challenges bringing Net video to TV
- From: "John Willkie" <johnwillkie@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
- To: <opendtv@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Sat, 27 Sep 2008 17:26:55 -0700
John;
Fiber to homes just isn't on the cable companies screens. Period.
They are trying concepts like SDV, and 850-mhz cable (as a trunk
replacement; not a full rewiring) due to the fact that just a few years ago,
the early adopters were able to finish paying off their early 1990's
rebuilds.
They don't want to do that again if they don't have to. SDV and similar
technologies make it so the trunks aren't the bottleneck.
The phone companies have a different perspective, since their copper
infrastructures don't permit them to throw video services more than a few
hundred feet from rather expensive central offices.
And, the super bowl is a different matter, since bert never referred to live
video or sports (live and high-action eat up bits).
Then, there's the fact that cable firms see their business model as being
centered around being gatekeepers that can charge tolls. Providing
unlimited bandwidth is a thing of the past; note Comcast's and Time-Warner's
different responses to manage expectations and bandwidth utilization.
IP HDTV video will kill them. FIOS and AT&T U-verse are different matters.
Both are telcos, and they can actually recycle their copper, unless the
thieves get to it first.
John Willkie
-----Mensaje original-----
De: opendtv-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx [mailto:opendtv-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx] En
nombre de John Shutt
Enviado el: Saturday, September 27, 2008 5:04 PM
Para: OpenDTV
Asunto: [opendtv] Re: Execs see challenges bringing Net video to TV
Kon,
I think you're missing the point. Bert supposed:
"If the networks make all of their shows available online, say 30 minutes
after the show was aired, and if the ISPs' core nets can handle the
demand without too many glitches, pretty soon it makes one wonder why
the networks need to depend on broadcasters and MVPDs. All they need is
ISPs.
"Proper HDTV this way is already possible for those with Verizon FiOS,
and cable companies (acting as ISPs primarily) will no doubt catch up,
as they deploy fiber closer and closer to homes.
"The networks would then have the option of delivering TV programs free
or for PPV, real time stream or VOD, or download. Looks to me like the
ISPs have the most difficult job in all of this, to ramp up their
networks to support really massive, simultaneous demand."
There were 97.5 million viewers of last year's Super Bowl in the US. Let's
be generous and say there were ten people watching per television. Now,
Kon, can your company's infrastructure serve 10 million streams of even 4.5
Mbps AVC 720p video simultaneously? If not, then it will never be a
substitute for mass broadcasting. Which was my counterpoint.
Yes, some day the infrastructure will catch up and be able to do this. But
by that time UHTV, perhaps in 3D or smell-o-vision, will be the gold
standard in entertainment, and require 100 Mbps per program.
John
----- Original Message -----
From: "Kon Wilms" <konfoo@xxxxxxxxx>
> Well, you're missing the point. It's almost like there is this
> mentality on this thread that you either have postage size Youtube
> cr*p, or you have 18Mbit HD, and nothing in between. Therefore,
> internet video will never be viable. That is complete nonsense.
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