[AR] Re: Rocket Labs

  • From: John Carmack <johnc@xxxxxxxxxx>
  • To: "arocket@xxxxxxxxxxxxx" <arocket@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • Date: Fri, 18 Sep 2015 16:37:47 +0000

I have a bit of a hard time accepting the zero profit assertion, but a lot of
true things are often hard to accept, so I won't argue against it without data.

However, even if you grant that in the long term profits will trend to zero,
that doesn't mean that you can't have a decade where you make billions.

-----Original Message-----
From: arocket-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx [mailto:arocket-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx] On
Behalf Of Bill Claybaugh
Sent: Thursday, September 17, 2015 8:54 AM
To: arocket@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
Subject: [AR] Re: Rocket Labs



Sent from my Commodore 64

On Sep 17, 2015, at 12:16 AM, David Weinshenker <daze39@xxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:

Bill Claybaugh wrote:
Why assume evil when nature is a sufficient explanation?
Airlines are both commodity businesses--they have no pricing
power--and service businesses--they have inherently high costs--so
they naturally, through competition, fall to no profit pricing. Space
transportation is no different.

So what you're saying is that transportation (space, air, or
otherwise) - as a business - is a relatively pure example of the sort
of "flat and crowded" market in which "racing to the bottom" may be
expected as an emergent behavior?


Careful, details matter: if every family in America were going to keep several
spaceships in the garage, we would be comparing to the automobile industry, for
example, where none of these issues occur.

The specific nature of the space transportation business means that it is
inherently no profit; that is not necessarily true of all transportation
related businesses.

Bill

-dave w



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