[opendtv] Re: A Station Group with a Future

  • From: Tom Barry <trbarry@xxxxxxxxxxx>
  • To: opendtv@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
  • Date: Sun, 04 Feb 2007 12:28:38 -0500

Predicting things is complicated and often not very accurate. If it weren't complicated we probably wouldn't be trying to build computer models to do it better.


The computer models tend to incorporate the same political biases of their builders. This is a problem, however the computer models can be more consistent in their bias and eventually are subject to peer review in one way or another. This means we can either improve them or at least know how to take their results with a grain of salt.

Weather forecasting has always been something of a joke but very few would say we should thus stop trying.

- Tom

Craig Birkmaier wrote:
At 3:38 PM -0500 2/3/07, Cliff Benham wrote:

How do computers 'over-predict' anything?
Last I knew, they were still being built and programmed by humans.


You mean like the models that predicted seven major hurricanes would hit the U.S. last season?

Or the panic we now see on the Weather Channel and the 24/7 news networks when a storm is still out in the ocean, but computer models predict it will grow into the storm of the century?

Regards
Craig


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--
Tom Barry                       trbarry@xxxxxxxxxxx     
Find my resume and video filters at www.trbarry.com


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