Saturday, January 1, 2005, 2:55:24 AM, you wrote: LH> You should get out more often and see what's really happening. I just = read LH> Timothy Ash's Free World. The EU is doing some soul searching about wh= y the LH> US is able to do so much better than they in regard to unemployment. = When LH> an EU rep challenged Clinton on the unfairness of American unemployment LH> benefits, Clinton said that being out of work is unfair also. We are do= ing LH> better than the EU in regard to employment. 5% is a very good number. Far be it from me to challenge Tim Garton Ash (though why not?) but if he said this then he presented a very crude summary indeed. (What follows is taken from two economists, one clearly "rightist", one probably centrist, both of whom think the EU has a problem. 1. "Europe" has a problem when compared to the US -- and anyway -- Britain does not 2. The "Europe" problem is in fact a problem in and of France, Germany, Italy and Spain. (3. so while it certainly is worth looking at the US it's also worth looking at the European countries who are doing as well as or better than the US) LH> The war? We=92ve removed Saddam Hussein and his army at the expense of= a LH> casualty rate lower than in any major war in history. We are on schedu= le LH> for elections. The Shiites (60% of Iraq) are happy with the progress Mike Chase replied to this, but as he and I read different papers (I think) I thought I would say that actually even the Shi'ites are not happy, they are concerned for the future. LH> as are LH> the Kurds (20% of Iraq). A small percentage of the Sunnis (20% of Iraq= ), LH> the Baathists, who have no hope in a Democratic Iraq, continue in an LH> insurgency but Iraqi troops are being trained to handle them. I don't know where to begin... I'll try... 1. 20 per cent is hardly "a small percentage" 2. Not all Sunnis are Baathists but they are of course tarred with the brush of their preferment under Hussein 3. "who have no hope in a Democratic Iraq" -- then it is not a democracy 4. "continue in an insurgency" -- not all of them!, and not all the insurgents are Sunni (but I agree Sunni militancy does not bode well for Iraq -- but then the US should have foreseen this) 5. "but Iraqi troops are being trained to handle them" a. I hope you mean "insurgents", not Sunnis b. first the Head of our Army said we'd be in Iraq for "years", then the sainted Blair said it -- is "the US" going to do a bunk and leave us there? Back to Tim Garton Ash. He sees Iraq as a possible "new Yugoslavia" "torn between Kurd, Sunni and Shia" though he doesn't regard that as inevitable (he said this in his pre-war "In Defence of (sitting on) the Fence", his "tortured liberal ambivalence" one; I'd expect him to be even more sceptical now). LH> There is no LH> reason to think that elections won=92t be held. There is no reason to = think LH> that the Islamists will hammer Iraq any harder after the elections than= they LH> hammer any other Middle Eastern nation. If you watch only the Leftist = Media LH> you won=92t know this. If you talked to Marines coming back from Iraq = you LH> might get a hint. They are amazed and appalled at what they see on TV: LH> Media selection distorts what=92s actually happening. I admit I haven't talked to any but I have read the comments of UK soldiers on leave; some now oppose the War on Iraq. =20 LH> explanations and diplomatic efforts were poor. I look for Rice to impr= ove LH> the US posture diplomatically. I read Rice is being trodden all over =20 LH> -----Original Message----- LH> From: lit-ideas-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx LH> [mailto:lit-ideas-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx] LH> On Behalf Of Andreas Ramos LH> Sent: Friday, December 31, 2004 6:00 PM LH> To: lit-ideas@xxxxxxxxxxxxx LH> Subject: [lit-ideas] Re: Priorities =20 >> To paraphrase and reapply Nixon's famous exit line, you're going to have >> Bush to kick around for four more years! =20 LH> Actually, no. =20 LH> Have you noticed nobody seems to care anymore about the White House? No= body LH> discusses the=20 LH> issues anymore: the environment, unemployment, the deficit, the wars, t= he LH> lack of foreign=20 LH> policy, etc. Nobody cares, because we know it's a waste of time. =20 LH> Bush is putting lightweights into the cabinet: Rice, Gonzales, and othe= rs. LH> Whatever. The=20 LH> cabinet positions have become so irrelevant that it doesn't matter if a LH> nobody is in that=20 LH> position. The cabinet is irrelevant because Bush insists on loyalty. =20 LH> As for foreign relations, the Bush White House has essentially abandone= d the LH> global=20 LH> leadership role of the USA. Nobody took it away; the Bushies simply wal= ked LH> away from it.=20 LH> China and the ASEAN countries are busy at setting up a European Union LH> structure for Asia;=20 LH> the USA has no part whatsoever in this. One can quite seriously say tha= t the LH> USA has no=20 LH> foreign policy whatsoever now. Even Denmark has a foreign policy. But n= ot LH> the USA. Bush's=20 LH> first reaction to the tsunami? He didn't care, and he didn't see why he LH> should care. =20 LH> So, will we kick Bush around for four more years? Like, who cares? He's LH> irrelevant. He made=20 LH> himself irrelevant. =20 LH> Will Hillary be president afterwards? Of what? In the next few years, t= he LH> Bushies will have=20 LH> demolished so much that the next president, if we even have a next LH> president, will preside=20 LH> over very little. =20 LH> Let's see what happens at the inauguration. Last time, the Bushies sent= out LH> tens of=20 LH> thousands of invitations, and perhaps a quarter of the seats were LH> embarrassingly empty.=20 LH> Those had to be covered up, to prevent TV cameras from showing empty st= ands. LH> Meanwhile there=20 LH> were massive demonstrations and his limosine was pelted with eggs. Bush= was LH> unable to walk=20 LH> down Pennsylvania Avenue. =20 LH> This time, the demonstrators plan to line the path and turn their backs= on LH> Bush. =20 LH> yrs, LH> andreas LH> www.andreas.com=20 =20 LH> ------------------------------------------------------------------ LH> To change your Lit-Ideas settings (subscribe/unsub, vacation on/off, LH> digest on/off), visit www.andreas.com/faq-lit-ideas.html =20 LH> --=20 LH> No virus found in this incoming message. LH> Checked by AVG Anti-Virus. LH> Version: 7.0.296 / Virus Database: 265.6.7 - Release Date: 12/30/2004 =20 --=20 mailto:judithevans001@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx ------------------------------------------------------------------ To change your Lit-Ideas settings (subscribe/unsub, vacation on/off, digest on/off), visit www.andreas.com/faq-lit-ideas.html