Good post, Phil. I wish I could be so logical. Mike Geary On Sat, Aug 28, 2010 at 8:25 PM, Phil Enns <phil.enns@xxxxxxxxx> wrote: > I had written: > > "Groups like al Qaeda and the Muslim Brotherhood are dangerous, and > people who support these groups must be challenged. However, these > groups are not existential threats to countries like the U.S. or even > Israel." > > > to which Eric replied: > > "Scenario: al-Qaeda style attack. Five small nuclear weapons detonated > simultaneously in five major US cities. Decapitation of government. > Assistant Secretary of Agriculture put in charge. He orders > retaliatory nuclear strikes against Mecca, Tehran, Damascus, > Pyongyang, and in his madness, Islamabad. > > China reacts by launching first strike of one hundred nukes at US. US > reacts by sending 500 nukes at China. Russia reacts, and either in > preemption or response, the US sends 700 nukes at Russia as it sends > 100 nukes at what's left of the US. India sees a chance to attack > what's left of Pakistan but not before Pakistan lobs a few nukes at > India. > > The rest is described in _The Road_." > > > > If we follow Eric's scenario, the existential threat is not an al > Qaeda style attack, which may have devastating effects but would not > mean the end of the U.S. Rather, the existential threat would lie in > how the U.S. responds to such an attack and the blowback that would > necessarily follow. This is similar to what happened on 9/11. The > attacks on New York City and the Pentagon were not even remotely a > threat to the country and its existence. However, the U.S. response > has proved far more costly, in terms of human beings and resources, > and more devastating to the politics of the U.S. > > Al Qaeda and similar groups are very dangerous, but the threat they > pose to countries like the U.S. is quite limited. And, to quote from > a movie, 'Every search for a hero must begin with something which > every hero requires, a villain.' For those who need a villain, and > such a need is not limited to individuals of a particular political > stripe, these groups are not sufficient. But Islam could easily be > portrayed as a monster worthy of Bellerophon. > > > Sincerely, > > Phil Enns > Indonesia > ------------------------------------------------------------------ > To change your Lit-Ideas settings (subscribe/unsub, vacation on/off, > digest on/off), visit www.andreas.com/faq-lit-ideas.html >