Thanks Dean, for this! As a non-expert with limited experience with these, I tried looking at this strictly geographically, that is, distance from other sightings in this hemisphere (and their frequency--see The Sibley Guide):1. Hooded Crane An Asian bird (Siberia, Japan, Korea, China) with only one other sighting in North America besides the Tenn. sighting, which was probably the same bird. Almost all the other species mentioned have been sighted quite a few times elsewhere in North America. But this species is not only strictly Asian, but also threatened (only 9,500 birds remaining).2. Variegated Flycatcher A South American bird with only two other ABA records, according to Mike. Only one record for Panama and none for Costa Rica.3. South Polar Skua Does inhabit Atlantic waters in summer, but strictly as a pelagic. Dev JoslinMonteverde, Costa Rica Date: Tue, 15 Jan 2013 09:28:38 -0800 From: birder1@xxxxxxxxxxxxx Subject: [TN-Bird] Re: Least likely TN bird? To: kde@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx; tn-bird@xxxxxxxxxxxxx These topics are always a lot of fun. Most of the birds on TN's list, even the accidentals, have a history of vagrancy so aren't really that big a surprise. Of course, as has been mentioned, some of the hurricane birds you can just never tell about. I will agree that if it is accepted, the Hooded Crane should get top billing in this list. Of current species, I would have to vote the Variegated Flycatcher being least likely to repeat ( very little personal bias involved with this decision....just kidding). At the time it was just the 2nd ABA record, which is pretty rare in itself for an interior state to have. Since then, I think there have only been 2 others in the ABA. At the time Jeff found the Ivory Gull, it was an insane record. I still think that even with the recent GA bird, I would place it next. Of the hurricane birds, I would place South Polar Skua as least likely to repeat (especially on a hurricane coming out of the Gulf like it did!). Shiny Cowbird I don't expect again anytime soon. Of the waterfowl, King Eider would get my vote, though it is certainly possible again. Barnacle Geese are showing up more in the east now, presumably wild birds, and there was one in AR a couple of years ago. Gyrfalcon is a long shot to me. Regarding the Eurasian Wigeon, there have been at least a couple of others the last 10 years or so, I photographed one at Britton Ford (I think someone else saw it, not sure though) back in '03 I think, and I'm pretty sure Jeff had one in Memphis in this timeframe. I was surprised a couple of years ago when Jeff and I found one in AR, that it was possibly their first. Mike Todd McKenzie, TN birder1@xxxxxxxxxxxxx www.pbase.com/mctodd From: "kde@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx" <kde@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx> To: Tennessee Birds <tn-bird@xxxxxxxxxxxxx> Sent: Mon, January 14, 2013 3:58:07 PM Subject: [TN-Bird] Least likely TN bird? Here's a fun rainy day game. We often try to predict the next bird to be added to the state list, but what bird already on the official state list do you think is least likely to be seen in TN again? I remember playing this game with Chris Sloan long ago. He said Limpkin (and noone disagreed with him) and we had 2 records within the next few years. Give your top five. No fair including Carolina Parakeet or Passenger Pigeon. The extirpated Greater Prairie-Chicken is a pretty sure 'gimmee' too so let's exclude it (unless someone wants to make a case), but maybe not Red-cockaded Woodpecker... I would probably put it as more likely than some of the other species on the list. The up-to-date official TN state list can be found here... http://www.tnbirds.org/TBRC/TBRC_checklist.html I'll go with (excluding Greater Prairie-Chicken): 5 - King Eider (narrowly edging Wilson's Plover on my list) 4 - Band-tailed Pigeon (they do wander though) 3 - Ivory Gull 2 - Gyrfalcon 1 - Variegated Flycatcher Honorable mention: Barnacle Goose & Garganey (would they be accepted as wild?) Northern Shrike & Pine Grosbeak (the shrike made it KY this year) Groove-billed Ani (they wander but not as common as in the past) Shiny Cowbird (failed to establish?) Limpkin (c'mon, man!) Lots of other rare birds on there worth mentioning. Dean Edwards Knoxville, TN =================NOTES TO SUBSCRIBER===================== The TN-Bird Net requires you to SIGN YOUR MESSAGE with first and last name, CITY (TOWN) and state abbreviation. You are also required to list the COUNTY in which the birds you report were seen. The actual DATE OF OBSERVATION should appear in the first paragraph. _____________________________________________________________ To post to this mailing list, simply send email to: tn-bird@xxxxxxxxxxxxx. _____________________________________________________________ To unsubscribe, send email to: tn-bird-request@xxxxxxxxxxxxx with 'unsubscribe' in the Subject field. ______________________________________________________________ TN-Bird Net is owned by the Tennessee Ornithological Society Neither the society(TOS) nor its moderator(s) endorse the views or opinions expressed by the members of this discussion group. Moderator: Wallace Coffey, Bristol, TN wallace@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx ------------------------------ Assistant Moderator Andy Jones Cleveland, OH ------------------------------- Assistant Moderator Dave Worley Rosedale, VA -------------------------------- Assistant Moderator Chris O'Bryan Clemson, SC __________________________________________________________ Visit the Tennessee Ornithological Society web site at http://www.tnbirds.org * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * ARCHIVES TN-Bird Net Archives at //www.freelists.org/archives/tn-bird/ MAP RESOURCES Tenn.Counties Map at http://www.lib.utexas.edu/maps/states/tennessee3.gif Aerial photos to complement google maps http://local.live.com _____________________________________________________________