[wkars-members] Re: RSGB DRM UPDATE

  • From: Allan Wyatt <allan@xxxxxxxxxx>
  • To: wkars-members@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
  • Date: Thu, 5 Nov 2015 16:42:46 +0000

I am sorry to hear of this discrimination.

There was something similar 40 years ago for the holder of G8 licenses but nothing so extreme.

It is important that we embrace all amateurs and all aspects of the hobby, if we do not we will pass into history.

73's

Allan
G8LSD



On 05/11/2015 15:34, gladius650@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx (Redacted sender gladius650 for DMARC) wrote:

As M6's we are inclined to look into things in great detail to prove our worth to more experienced users, not necessarily the theory but the more practical side of things, only to get put down because a-c=d doesn't equate when we ask questions. Therefore I will only ask one person now that will listen to both sides.
There is also a great deal of snobbery amoung full license operators, while in seperate discussion groups we are never asked to join any group, just left on the side line to twiddle our fingers, so we leave.
Because we feel honoured to hold a call sign, we tend to keep up what we are taught at the time as announcing our call signs, then we are accused of wasting time or even called proofs, pancies, tarts even down to making comments that we must be child molesters, the excuse they must have been drunk, doesn't wash with me.

Sent from my HTC

----- Reply message -----
From: "Mark Kent" <mark.antony.kent@xxxxxxxxx>
To: <wkars-members@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Subject: [wkars-members] Re: RSGB DRM UPDATE
Date: Thu, Nov 5, 2015 1:50 PM

Do you have a particular area you’d like to see improved? Or particular examples where you think things might have been handled better?

Where there’s something specific to go on, it’s often easier to make some kind of progress, and often, people don’t realise that they’re getting something wrong, so a light hint can work wonders :-)
73 Mark G8PHM

On 5 Nov 2015, at 12:26, gladius650@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx <mailto:gladius650@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx> (Redacted sender "gladius650" for DMARC) <dmarc-noreply@xxxxxxxxxxxxx <mailto:dmarc-noreply@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>> wrote:

Until the RSGP/OFCOM suppresses the arrogance towards new operators the ingress to our hobby will remain static. Involving new operators into conversations, and listening to their input will go a long way to encouragement. May I add a little light joviality also.
M6LVK

Sent from my HTC

----- Reply message -----
From: "Mark Kent" <mark.antony.kent@xxxxxxxxx <mailto:mark.antony.kent@xxxxxxxxx>>
To: <wkars-members@xxxxxxxxxxxxx <mailto:wkars-members@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>>
Subject: [wkars-members] Re: RSGB DRM UPDATE
Date: Thu, Nov 5, 2015 11:40 AM

[ I’ve re-attached my email so that the thread is not broken ] Comments are inline:
Mark
That's a fascinating and telling analysis, and some of your conclusions are pretty powerful. Thank you very much for sharing them. A couple of thoughts:

1. The film Convoy was a huge boost because it showed CB radio as the hero, a point reinforced by its use to thwart overweening authority. The illegitimacy of CB here was a huge draw. I was at the Home Office during CB's heyday, and handled all the public communication for radio regulation at the time - and when we brought in MPT 1321 and legalised CB, six magazines and a great number of equipment suppliers went out of business almost overnight. Never underestimate the power of romantic unlawfulness. Conclusion: we'll probably always be able to attract technophiles, but if we want real growth, we need to be able to sell fun in the broad philosophical sense you suggest. Raynet type activities, demonstrating a public good and fun to boot, are an obvious candidate.

Robin Hood was, eventually I believe, forgiven by the incoming regime! Pirate radio, like computer hacking, continue to appeal to the ‘romantic unlawfulness’ genetic drive which many young chaps seem to have. Part of this, I think, is the perception of adventure falling outside of normal experience, with the opportunity to act beyond accepted norms. Once upon a time, the armed services, bizarrely perhaps, offered something of the ‘Horatio Hornblower’ appeal [ see the original Star Trek series for that in a more modernistic setting] , or indeed Blake’s 7 was described as ‘Robin Hood in space’.

So as you say, how do we loop Horatio Hornblower and Robin Hood into Raynet..?



2. As an Whitehall hand, I think the RSGB has pitiful influence with Ofcom.
We lost the moral standing that comes with a licence fee. We clearly deal
with people low in the Ofcom food chain, when the real decisions are made by the policy makers and legal people. The paucity of our reach and importance is well illustrated by that new guidance document with its poor drafting, non-sequiturs (see 2.79-2.82 for example) and dreadful proof reading.

Yes, big mistake. I wonder if we should do something rather odd, that being to campaign for the re-introduction of a licence fee in return for some support? That’s something the RSGB could push or it could be done independently.


3. The RSGB is an organisation bonded by a website and magazine, but riven by different competing and often arrogant interests. It has dozens of very good people all ploughing the field in different directions. It reminds me a great deal of policing - the upper tiers dominated by people who live off the experiences of their long-lost younger days. (Hence my bleat for more kids, ASAP.). As a consequence, it lacks any of the focus necessary to campaign for the hobby. Raynet has a variant of the disease.


I get the point, but I think fixing the leadership by adding new recruits will have a very long time-constant, probable several decades, so it needs other, more immediate action, going into the mix as well, in my view.






4. We need to sell amateur radio as an enabler, and a strategic good, not just an end in itself. But that's where we both agree. And we have to find better champions and partners than Ofcom. It's a regulator, and an auctioneer, and we are a pimple on the hindquarters of an elephant with no effect on its head or direction at all.

This is worth some further thought.
73 Mike

Indeed. I’ve come around, by the way, to what the RSGB is perhaps trying to achieve with the film. I’m still not convinced it’ll work, but that’s a different question.

More immediately:

Answer the question "What is the RSGB for?" At the base level, it is a social club, but that also has some of the responsibilities of a labour union, or a professional association. The latter parts are about representing the interests of its members.

Simple enough, but a much harder question is “What should the RSGB do?” Clearly promotion of Amateur Radio is almost a given, as without that, the RSGB ceases to exist. But it goes much further, out to properly engaging with licensing authorities, and ensuring that it is the proper voice of its membership. Recently, it seems to have allowed itself to be pushed out of the way - this is clearly wrong and needs be fixed.

There is a very basic question, though, which is should Ofcom be responsible for spectrum auctions at all? This is surely poacher turned gamekeeper; the RSGB should be raising this question into MPs and parliament, probably on the back of the educational value of amateur radio in promoting UK PLC’s future in science and technology, something everyone agrees the need for.

The responsibility for spectrum licensing should be taken from Ofcom, or the responsibility for licensing radio usage, interference and such like should be given to a separate body. That body should be charged with protecting the interests of the UK’s scientific future through defending essential educational spectrum from short-term commercial exploitation.

Secondly, RSGB and Raynet both should be looking at the Horatio Hornblower side; but that means a whole different approach, and must be done *without* losing appeal to the traditional, self-selecting groups (universities, schools, technicians, engineers, et cetera).

I wonder if the RSGB might considering getting together with its CEPT country counterparts and see about funding some Scientific Arts as per my previous note. There are countless examples of radio amateurs providing unusual emergency comms, including the Falklands, the recent Tsunamis, and of course the activities of Raynet. There’re also the satellites, the FunCube thing, the space station. How about a story which weaves all of this together?

Maybe I should try to write one :-)


================ <my previous note below> ===============

Mike et al, time for some analysis…

Facebook and social media
======================
Facebook’s biggest growth area is, and has been for some time, in older people (> 34), so its quite likely that radio amateurs are going there. It’s losing popularity amongst the youngsters, though.

For facebook: http://www.slideshare.net/oreillymedia/facebook-demo-20090415 in 2009:

The UK had 18 million active users. The majority of users were 18-34, majority growth for Europe was in the 45 to 65 year age range, but also had a peak from 13-17, with most users being female. That is about 1 in 3 people.

Japan had 3.3 million active users. Asian user profile was similar to Europe, except majority users male. That was about 1 in 50 people.

The US had 59.6 million active users. Americas user profile was similar to Europe, majority of users female. That was about 1 in 5 people.

Facebook users are rapidly ‘getting older’, though, in 2014 : http://investorplace.com/2014/02/facebook-users-demographics/#.Vjrc06IrNsM US users are up to 180 million, threefold since 2009 report above, and now approx. 1 in 2 people in the US. The biggest growth group is 55+ so that would align with Radio Amateur populations, with biggest active group 35-54 and the biggest fall in 18-24 years old.

It seems just as likely that Japanese people use alternative social media, for example. http://www.socialmediatoday.com/content/social-media-fast-facts-japan suggests that the Japanese far prefer Twitter, and number an astonishing 9% of global users, but also that Facebook users have grown by 300% in the last 3 years to 17 million, rather more than the 3.3 million reported by O’Reilly, above. Also see https://takeme2japan.wordpress.com/2009/02/12/social-media-in-japan/ which shows just how rapidly the trends move. In 2009, most Japanese were using Mixi, but Facebook has rocketed since.

Radio Amateur numbers across the world
====================================
The numbers are interesting… according to https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amateur_radio_operator <http://www.dxzone.com/cgi-bin/dir/jump2.cgi?ID=13864>, (see also IARU figures at http://www.dxzone.com/cgi-bin/dir/jump2.cgi?ID=13864, http://www.n0hr.com/ham_radio_population.htm) we have

1,296,059 licensed amateurs in 1999 in Japan, which is 1.012% of the population.

738,497 licensed amateurs in 2012 in the US, which is 0.239% of the population. 15% of them are said to be female.

(Thailand, Korea, Germany, Taipei, Spain, then)...

58,426 licensed amateurs in 2000 in the UK, which is 0.094% of the population. 8th largest in the world for licensed amateurs, or 11th largest by %age of population (see the table below).
Also note 81,000 licences allocated according to this: http://www.essexham.co.uk/news/ofcom-amateur-radio-licence-review.html

Global numbers
---------------------
According to the IARU figures, the number of licensed amateurs globally has grown from
399,000 in 1965 to
2,789,720 in 2000
over that period, showing growth each year. I don’t know what’s happened since, and 15 years is a long time, so perhaps it’s now going the other way.

From the %age table well below, though, you can see that the UK is actually reasonably well placed in Europe, in fact 5th.

The undisputed world champ, though, either way, is Japan. Hence I’d be wondering why Japan is so amazingly far ahead of anywhere else in all measures.

UK RAE pass figures, 1946 to 2003
============================

Historical view of UK RAE, 1946 to 2003: http://www.g4dmp.co.uk/rae/raestats.pdf:

1946: 395 RAE passes (ex-military folk?)
1959: 1102 RAE passes (first year above 1000 - ex mil?)
1982: 8000 RAE passes (highest ever - post-CB boom)
1991: 3000 RAE passes (sight peak when Novice RAE introduced )
1997: 980 RAE passes (first year below 1000 since 1959)
2003: 652 RAE passes.

After that, the RSGB began to run the RAE, and figures seem quite hard to find! So, does anyone know what the RAE pass figures are since 2003? I cannot find them.


RSGB membership
================
This is interesting:http://www.rsgbcc.org/hf/minutes/March2014.pdf suggests 1993 membership at 30,000 and 2013 membership at 21,500, which does show that the RSGB is, perhaps, in trouble, but this might be more representative of the post CB boom that anything else.


What caused the 1980s Amateur Radio boom?
====================================
The biggest ever injection of Radio Amateur Examination passes was, it seems, from the ex-CB fraternity in the 1980s. This rather suggests that making a film like Convoy - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sd5ZLJWQmss might be the best possible thing you could do. A large part of the appeal of CB was its edgy, not-really-legal feel, along with the fantasy-lifestyle which went along with the films, the E-type Jaguar, the CB jargon, and the feel-good, go-nowhere story (I was never a CBer, btw, I was licensed before this). So perhaps the RSGB is heading the in the right direction in some respects! The key follow-up TV series was The Dukes of Hazzard, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qogVHlmFcx0 which again featured a feel-good, slightly edgy, CB and road-based series of escapades, interspersed with Daisy Duke’s (Catherine Bach's) eyebrow-raising wardrobe: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ToEHObxHqI4.

If that weren’t enough, we also had Smokie and the Bandit - here is the CB tutorial made to go with the film - see Burt Reynolds teach you US CB talk: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HRwiAk2wjZo
Buford T Justice quotes from Smokie and the Bandit: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uN3c64j2DPE


Analysis of the CB impact, and its cultural links
====================================
The biggest growth in amateur radio was as a direct consequence of Hollywood lifestyle films, promoting a feel-good, slightly edgy, but ultimately morally upright characters, taking on an establishment of well intentioned, but ultimately corrupt figures. CB radio provides the key mechanism through which the heroes and heroines communicate, using special language and social networks which the establishment figures understand, but are unable to effectively emulate.

The growth in illegal CB created a peak in demand for both better performing radios and for more legitimacy amongst users in the UK. This directly translated into a massive boost, around 8-fold growth, in successful RAE candidates. The subsequent disappearance in CB-radio derived television and film genre post 1980s, and its replacement with weak 1990s US ‘comedy’ shows like Seinfeld, the Cosby Show providing ‘feel-good’ (if you liked them) and the more dystopian Family Guy and South Park appealing to the more ‘edgy’ side of things, signalled the end of this CB-driven cultural era.
The very utopian Star Trek spin-off series attracted some of the more scientifically minded, whilst the beautifully written, cast and acted Blake’s 7, with its dystopian themes, went the way of the CB film and TV show.

In these 1990s+ televised utopian worlds, the technology generally ‘just works’. Sub-cultures, such as the CB/Truckers world are generally frowned upon, and rarely shown in any kind of positive light. Scientists and engineers are typically characterised in several, generally unflattering ways, which can include ‘sneering intellectual’, ‘troubled mad-man’, ‘amoral sociopath’, ‘socially inept figure of fun’. Or, for the mainstream characters, they simply espouse a lot of non-sensical jargon, whilst shoving their equivalent of the sonic screwdriver into something with lots of flashing lights, which generally starts to work after a couple of bashes, and the day is saved. This has changed little since the 1990s, with current television shows characterising scientific types as ‘talking nasally’ and ‘a bit dim really’, and always characters to laugh at.

Education
========
Our education system is deeply biased against males. Presently, 50% of females attend university, but only 38% of males, and by 2025, 70% of undergraduates will be female according to the OECD: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/education/universityeducation/5459854/Girls-will-take-up-70-per-cent-of-university-places-says-new-study.html.

The beginning of this trend coincided exactly with the introduced of GCSEs to replace O-levels in 1988, however, the trend towards academically favouring females over males is representative in many countries as well as the UK. The only area in Universities where males outnumber females currently is in hard sciences. The recent ‘discovery’ of the links between autism and science seem unlikely to influence policy makers overly.

This imbalance is shocking, and is something the amateur radio community could look to address, by encouraging younger *males* in schools to consider academic study. The remarks above regarding the very negative characterisation of science and scientific culture in mainstream media are probably related. ‘Nerd, Geek, Anorak, …’ very appealing!

As the RAE is fundamentally exam and practical based, it offers equal opportunity, no matter your learning style, something which could be promoted.

Ofcom, businesses and radio spectrum
==============================
Ofcom seem very interested in trying to hijack amateur radio spectrum in order to ‘sell’ it to businesses. Once the family silver is gone, there will be no getting it back. One argument is the falling number of licences granted, however, there are far more now than there were 50 years ago, so this seems to be a weak argument.

Contrarily, Ofcom appear to have zero role in, or even any recognition of, the educational value of amateur radio.

Other interest groups
================
Radio amateurs have much in common with other amateur and professional groups, such as Astronomers, IET, chess clubs, BCS (British Computing Society). Politics usually gets in the way of things I know, but maybe forming philosophical societies which include all of these people might help.


Conclusions
==========
1. A re-characterisation of scientific people in a positive light is essential in mainstream culture. The moral and intellectual high-ground has been lost, and needs be re-gained. Influencing mainstream media is critical, and perhaps the RSGB’s film will address some of that, so in that sense, I’ve rather persuaded myself that it has cultural value beyond my initial feeling.

2. A nice glossy film associating amateur radio with feel-good, slightly edgy, but ultimately morally upstanding lifestyle, accessible to all, yet forming a powerful and desirable sub-culture, could well result in huge growth again. It’s interesting to note that most dystopian, post-apocalypse futures films do not show communications as existing at all; perhaps one where radio amateurs continue to communicate in the dystopian future would be an interesting new take. Raynet meets Mad Max, but feeling like Convoy.

3. Spin-off television with an amateur radio focus could have almost immeasurable advantage. The adventures of the Wizards of West Kent :-) TX Factor will not achieve this, it’s very good indeed, but is about amateur radio, it’s not about lifestyle at all. Hmm - here’s a thought, why not invite the TX factor team to make a show about one, or several Raynet events? That could show amateur radio supporting the community in a very positive way.

4. In 2003, RAE passes fell to below the 1959 level. I don’t know the figures since, but we are 12 years on. Academically, there has been a recent resurgence in scientific study at universities, so the time is absolutely right to go back out to those science departments and look to recruit into amateur radio. Be aware, though, that they are mostly male, so any material should be made with that in mind!

5. The RSGB should work *with* Ofcom to make representation to academics regarding amateur radio and its educational value. Ofcom should not be simply acting as the store-keeper for spectrum.

6. Radio amateurs, clubs and the RSGB should work with other groups to create and promote broad-interest philosophical societies, which can help encourage males into education; noting that the RAE is highly non-discriminatory.



============================
Tables of Amateurs around the world
============================

R.Amateurs By %age population, 15 years ago:


Country Number of amateur
radio operators % population Year of
Report Source
Japan 1,296,059 1.012 1999 [2]
Slovenia 6,500 0.317 2000 [2]
Republic of China 68,692 0.296 1999 [2]
South Korea 141,000 0.288 2000 [2]
Thailand 176,278 0.275 2006 [2]
United States 738,497 0.239 2012 [3]
Canada 69,183 0.201 2011 [3]
Denmark 8,668 0.156 2012 [5]
Spain 58,700 0.127 1999 [2]
Norway 5,302 0.106 2000 [2]
United Kingdom 58,426 0.094 2000 [2]
Germany 75,262 0.092 2007 [4]
Australia 15,328 0.067 2000 [2]
Italy 30,000 0.049 1993 [2]
Argentina 16,889 0.042 1999 [2]
Poland 16,000 0.041 2000 [2]
Ukraine 17,265 0.037 2000 [2]
Russia 38,000 0.026 1993 [2]
France 14,160 0.02 2013 [2]
Brazil 32,053 0.016 1997 [2]
South Africa 6,000 0.012 1994 [2]
Indonesia 27,815 0.011 1997 [2]
India 15,679 0.001 2000 [2]



RAs by absolute numbers 15 years ago:


Country Number of amateur
radio operators % population Year of
Report Source
Japan 1,296,059 1.012 1999 [2]
United States 738,497 0.239 2012 [3]
Thailand 176,278 0.275 2006 [2]
South Korea 141,000 0.288 2000 [2]
Germany 75,262 0.092 2007 [4]
Canada 69,183 0.201 2011 [3]
Republic of China 68,692 0.296 1999 [2]
Spain 58,700 0.127 1999 [2]
United Kingdom 58,426 0.094 2000 [2]
Russia 38,000 0.026 1993 [2]
Brazil 32,053 0.016 1997 [2]
Italy 30,000 0.049 1993 [2]
Indonesia 27,815 0.011 1997 [2]
Ukraine 17,265 0.037 2000 [2]
Argentina 16,889 0.042 1999 [2]
Poland 16,000 0.041 2000 [2]
India 15,679 0.001 2000 [2]
Australia 15,328 0.067 2000 [2]
France 14,160 0.02 2013 [2]
Denmark 8,668 0.156 2012 [5]
Slovenia 6,500 0.317 2000 [2]
South Africa 6,000 0.012 1994 [2]
Norway 5,302 0.106 2000 [2]




--
Allan Wyatt
Curator | The National Valve Museum | www.r-type.org
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