## [ SHOWGSD-L ] Re: while I was reading the list.....

• From: tsaligsds@xxxxxxxxxxx
• To: rockannand@xxxxxxx, the list <showgsd-l@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>, dgshwpromo@xxxxxxxxx
• Date: Wed, 11 Jul 2007 22:25:08 +0000

```They use an old formula 2 litters per year producing 8 pups per litter with 1/2
girls
first genreation:  1 bitch X 2 breedings = 16 puppies 1/2 female = 8 girls +
mom for next generation
Next generation : 9 bitches X 2 litters = [16 x 9 ] = 144 pups 1/2 girls = 72
bitches + 9 = 81 bitches
Next generation; 81 x 2 litters = [16 x 81] = 1296 pups 1/2 female = 653 + 81 =
734 bitches
Next generation: 734 x 2 litters = [16 x 734]  ...........
See how quickly it grows.....

The numbers for cats are even more astronomical since queens can have 3 litters
per year but usually only 6 kittens per litter calculated.  What they don't
take into consideration is that every bitch doesn't produce 8 pups per litter,
1/2 are not always girls, and most of these figure on a 7 year breeding span.
the average life expectancy of an animal even in a feral supported colony is
only two years so the numbers just don't jive.

Many years ago a friend of mine taught a class called Lying with Statistics.
It was a REAL eye opener.....

Suzanne
www.tsalishepherds.com
Home of BIS/BISS Ch Yancy HIC HT PT RA CD TC CGC BH, Helios SchH3, Ch Flair,
Tess [150 PLUS ROM points/40 ATAA points], Lil' Miss Gilli RN[Mjr Res Winner]
and all the others waiting at the bridge. Website updated 06/07

-------------- Original message --------------
From: Kate Syssoloff <rockannand@xxxxxxx>

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> One of the first things Mary Tyler Moore said was regarding how many dogs
> just one female can produce ... Something like 7,000 or more. How does s=
> he
> forecast that? How does she know there will be any female puppies produc=
> ed
> at all? This kind of generalization bugs me. Such blanket statements ge=
> ts
> to the public and because it's said on air, by dim witted celebraties, it=
> 's
> believed.

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