[opendtv] Re: WiFi Supplanting Broadcasting? Get Real!

  • From: "Kon Wilms" <kon@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • To: <opendtv@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • Date: Sun, 16 May 2004 21:53:28 -0700

>I agree on the timeline, 5 years plus, but that isn't so long and there 
could be a surprise or two in the meantime.

So we agree on something :-)

I don't see the surprise though - this type of stuff is commonplace here in
LA and there are many providers. http://www.edgefocus.net/services.html ,
http://wireless.exo.com/map.php , etc.

>Everything you say is true. But here is one example. A multiGigE radio 
that cost not $25 to $35 K now but even $85 to $100 K the pair  
installed and does 2.5 Gbps. In talking to the brains behind it you find 

Yeah your speed is only limited by your cash account and the speed of the
hardware delivering the data. When you go over the GigE mark you need some
pretty specialized hardware to handle logging, IDS, and so forth. The
question is do you really need all this speed to the edge, or can you save
money and multicast content using high compression codecs and soft ECC.

>capability is higher, 12.5 Gbps, with a little work, and the cost of the 
radio in quantity five years out could be $2000 the pair. The antenna is 
a 2 ft. dish but it could and will be a phased array with directed beams 
and one antenna could deliver hundreds of beams and be what appears to 
be a Coke sign or part of the facade of a building. The beams are so 
narrow that in a city like NYC you have virtually infinite bandwidth. 

Vaporware is virtual too. :-) But yes - with wifi and the internet in
general come great expectations. Still, this is all *future* technology. And
has nothing to do with some of the press releases made very recently stating
that WiFi will take over OTA broadcasting as in very soon.

So this thing is running now - what do I need as a consumer to connect to
it? Oh right, a $25K box. Don't brandish around GigE speeds when that isn't
the reality for a user.

>Just look at Verizon announcing for the tenth time that they are going 
to invest a billion $ in FTTH. These guys are going to do an AT&T. 

More dark fiber to the curb.

>Instead of buying cable companies they are going to build them from 
scratch with union help and the most expensive tech they can find. If 
they actually do it they will come out of this money burning tunnel 
downsized to something more in keeping with the reality of their 
bankrupt business plan.

I think the reality is that cablecos are rolling out combined service plans
(VoIP for $10/mo more is one local) - and the telcos are running scared.
Their only option is to compete, and thus provide video delivery services
over their networks. They can't do this with some of their existing services
, so the only option is to completely convert everything to IP networks and
roll out VoDSL, VoWiFi, and other customized VoIP solutions that remove
unneeded hardware from the CO/POP/wheverever, all the while building their
backbones to support video delivery and other data services. If they don't,
cableco will eat their lunch.

Cheers
Kon



 
 
----------------------------------------------------------------------
You can UNSUBSCRIBE from the OpenDTV list in two ways:

- Using the UNSUBSCRIBE command in your user configuration settings at 
FreeLists.org 

- By sending a message to: opendtv-request@xxxxxxxxxxxxx with the word 
unsubscribe in the subject line.

Other related posts: