To the point I was making. Military paradigms change VERY slowly. Consider the organization-theory model given below. It lists only 12(!) major paradigms of warfare in the past 1,000 years. -Eric _____ http://jciss.llnl.gov/syst.html SYSTEMIC EFFECTS OF MILITARY INNOVATION AND DIFFUSION Emily O. Goldman and Richard B. Andres University of California, Davis If we view military evolution proceeding along a path of punctuated equilibrium, we can identify twelve significant transformations in war-making that have occurred over the past one thousand years. (See Figure 4) We note the date of the battle, conquest, or event in which the innovation demonstrates its superiority decisively in a contest with a first class military power.56 Revolutionary Military Innovations Mongol Decisive battles: First War against Chin Empire and conquest of Northern China, 1211-1215. Mounted archer and shock troops combined with siege mechanics, extremely effective military doctrine, and superior command, control, communication, and intelligence. Infantry Decisive battle: English victory over French at Crècy, 1346. Combined-arms infantry-cavalry team with pike and long-bow infantry predominant permits dismounted army to defeat Europe's finest cavalry nearly three times its size. Artillery Decisive battles: French reconquest of Normandy and Aquitaine, 1449-53, and beginning of expulsion of English from France with use of cannon to break through English strongholds. Charles VII creates standing army with permanent and highly effective artillery organization and reverses English victories of Hundred Years War (1337-1457) in less than five years. At the same time, Turks under Mohammed II use massive siege artillery to batter down walls and capture Constantinople (1453), ending the Byzantine empire. Fortress Decisive battles: Sieges checking Hapsburg heir Charles V's drive for hegemony in Italy, c1525. Cities and states protected by the trace italienne with its angular bastion could withstand long sieges against traditional methods of battery and assault. Ship-of-the-line Decisive battle: Lepanto, 1571. First true naval engagement in which Venetian galleasses defeat Turkish oar-driven galleys. Checks Muslim advance into western Mediterranean, ends their domination of central and eastern Mediterranean, and signals end of golden age of Ottoman power. Gradual victory of sailing ships mounting large guns over galleys culminates with superior English tactics in the Battle of the English channel (1588) that repel Spanish Armada, heralding new era of the broadside battery sailing ship that fought effectively at long range. English stake their claim to mastery of the seas. Musket/Drill Decisive battles: Swedish defeats of Hapsburgs in 1631-34 during Thirty Years War, beginning with Breitenfeld, 1631. Use of combined arms (pike, musket, cavalry, rapid-firing mobile artillery), linear tactics, and classical drill and discipline permits Gustavus Adolphus to defeat armies of Spain -- an empire with vastly greater resources than Sweden's. Leveraged by improvements in military administration and key role of absolutist state. Nation in Arms Decisive battles: War of the Second Coalition, 1800. Napoleon vastly expands scale of war with universal conscription and mobilization of society for war, combined with republican nationalism and modern industrial output and logistics. Industrialism I: Steam and Rapid Mobilization Prussia combines technical advances in steam, railroad, telegraph and rifle to defeat Austria (1866) and France (1870). At sea, Britain exploits heavy-gunned ships, steam propulsion, and improvements in gunnery and fire control to vastly increase overseas empire. Culminates with Dreadnought in 1906. Industrialism II: Machine Gun and Trench Warfare Decisive battle: Marne, 1914. Rifled small arms and artillery, and machine guns outstrip mobility provided by steam. Industrial mass production dramatically increases supply of munitions and mobilizes society for war. Produces "total" war and tactical stalemate. Industrialism III: Internal Combustion, Radio, and Mobility Decisive battles: Battle of France, 1940 and Pearl Harbor, 1941. Improvements in internal combustion engines, mechanization, aircraft design, and communication technology reintroduce mobility and maneuver and permit large numbers of warfighting packages to deliver blows directly against enemy nation. Nuclear Decisive event: Hiroshima, 1945. Coupling of nuclear warheads with more efficient delivery systems, jet propulsion, and electronics (radar and computers) permits complete and instantaneous destruction of state without need to defeat armed forces. Information Decisive battle: none to date. Persian Gulf War, 1991 signals impending RMA. Advances in range, strike, stealth, sensors, precision-guided munitions, micro-electronics, computers, and information processing heightens importance of C3I and permits collapse of previous spatial and temporal constraints on simultaneous operations. ------------------------------------------------------------------ To change your Lit-Ideas settings (subscribe/unsub, vacation on/off, digest on/off), visit www.andreas.com/faq-lit-ideas.html