[lit-ideas] Re: Back to Popper (and further back to Hume)

Donal: To be clear I am:-
a) inviting people to defend, articulately, inductive probability; 
b) taking the position that there is no such thing.
How do weather forecasts fit into this project? Exit polls in elections? 

Good examples of induction? For example,

(a) Donal went to Manhattan and ate bagels at H&H Bagels.
(b) Therefore there are bagels in Manhattan.



Also, Draconian measures? For example:
(a) al-Qaeda people are evil and should instantly be shot in the forehead with a .357 magnum bullet. 

(b) Ali is definitely al-Qaeda but doesn't seem to be evil.
(c) Ali should be shot in the forehead with a .357 magnum bullet anyway, because inductive probability is not to be trusted. 

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