[wisb] Re: further results GE survey

  • From: joan schnabel/jeff falk <joanjeff@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • To: Wisbird Network <wisbirdn@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • Date: Sat, 23 Jan 2010 18:59:16 -0600

Unfortunately,  its not as simple as that.  its not just eagles/ 
observers.  I think you also need to consider the total number of  
routes, ie how many observers on the same route, the total numbers of  
miles  covered, and the total number of hours out in the field,  
weather,  etc.  These are similar to some of the variables encountered  
when comparing data from different hawk watches and even the same  
watch throughout the years.    It is indeed true that knowing  
something about where to find the eagles increases your chances,  
actually way beyond the .9.  The "best" route this year,  perhaps  
because it had the "best observer"  (Scott Mehus) had 17  birds on the  
route  and 2 additional birds seen on someone else's route that they  
drove through.   Conversely one of the other routes had no birds, even  
though the habitat was excellent, (and I am sure that there are  
goldens there,)  because no one knew the route well enough to know the  
best places to spend the most time at.    I think it is a fair  
question to ask if the number of goldens wintering in this area is  
increasing or just that we are now out looking for them.  Looking at  
some of the data from Hawk Ridge on numbers of Goldens seen on  
migration is helpful, but again the hours of the count have increased  
with the years.  Anyway it is a great question to ponder, and I'm just  
glad that these birds are here, and that as we make more and more  
people aware of the possibility of seeing goldens,  the number of  
sightings will increase both on and off the survey day. Maybe you can  
join us  next year.  Thanks for the comment.  Joan Schnabel Fountain  
City
On Jan 23, 2010, at 3:30 PM, Jesse Ellis wrote:

> Just a little more math on this, which I find interesting:
> 2009 - 0.88 Eagles/observer
> 2008 - 0.89 Eagles/observer
> 2007 - 0.92 Eagles/observer
> 2006 - 0.60 Eagles/observer
> 2005 - 0.84 Eagles/observer
>
> My apologies to Joan if you were going to do a breakdown yourself. I  
> find
> this fascinating. Apart from 2006, those numbers are really similar  
> across
> years, suggesting that perhaps knowing something about where to find  
> eagles
> in WI will net about .9 Eagles per observer. (So bring at least two  
> people.)
> It would be interesting to have data on time input as well, of course.
> Still, the consistency is remarkable. What happened in 2006, anyone  
> know?
>
> Thanks for the post, Joan. It will be interesting to see how 2010  
> holds up.
>
> Jesse Ellis
> Zoology Dept
> UW - Madison
>
> On Sat, Jan 23, 2010 at 3:20 PM, joan schnabel/jeff falk <
> joanjeff@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
>
>> Hi I had a few requests for more specific data.  I neglected to
>> mention in the previous post that sometime next week more complete
>> results will be up at the National Eagle Center's web site.
>> Nationaleaglecenter.org   so please check there.  Basically the
>> numbers have been increasing each year  as have the numbers of
>> observers.  This years numbers look slightly lower than last years,
>> but not all the  surveys are back yet,  and the numbers for the count
>> week haven't been totaled.   If you have more specific questions that
>> are not answered on the website next week,   either email me back or
>> check with Scott Mehus at scott@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx  Thanks for
>> all the interest.  Joan Schnabel Fountain City WI
>>
>> 2009   100 observers     88 Goldens  (total includes count week)
>> 2008    67 observers      60 Goldens
>> 2007    47 observers      51 Goldens
>> 2006    48  observers      29  Goldens
>> 2005    25  observers      21  Goldens
>>
>>
>> preliminary data for 2010   85 Goldens   no break down available yet
>> by states  Mn WI IA
>>
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>>
>
>
> -- 
> Jesse Ellis
> Madison, Dane Co, WI
>
>
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