[sparkscoffee] Re: Revenge
- From: Ron Ristad <ristad@xxxxxxxxxxx>
- To: sparkscoffee@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
- Date: Mon, 18 Feb 2013 16:15:38 -0500 (EST)
RG,
Just one comment. With a hand like you had you need to consider the implied
odds, which is just not the odds of you hitting a full house but the amount of
money you could win if you do. In this case most likely anybody who is betting
or calling has a flush, quite possibly the nut flush, and they would never
expect you to have a full house, meaning that hitting your full house would
give you a hand that could break them. So even though your odds of making a
full house was 22% the potential pay off is much greater. In other words it's
not a 22% or 1-5 odds that you will make your hand, but betting $60 to win $600
or more, which changes the odds to 2-1 in your favor.
This why a good poker player never thinks about winning or losing, but only how
they play the game, because if you play well then no matter how bad your luck
is, in the long run you will always win money. In this case you will only win
that hand approximately 1 out of 5 times, but when you do win you more than
make up for all the times you lost.
-RR
-----Original Message-----
>From: Ron George <xgeorge@xxxxxxx>
>Sent: Feb 18, 2013 12:37 PM
>To: sparkscoffee@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
>Subject: [sparkscoffee] Re: Revenge
>
>RR,
>
>Re your comment.
>Yes, I should have folded when he reraised although he had bluffed
>another player earlier.
>
>Bad day this weekend but could have been much worse. I was in the Texas
>Hold Em max bet $300>game and at one point was down $1,000. I only had $200
>left so took a
>big risk. Here is how it
>went down.
>
>I was dealt pocket 10's.
>Preflop $20 with 5 in the hand including me.
>The flop was 4/clubs 7/hearts 10/clubs.
>I am the button so I call 4 others $20.
>The turn card is 5/clubs.
>Now I'm worried because of a possible straight or flush against my set
>(3 of a kind for the non-HoldEm players)
>$60 is bet with one call and so I just call. I now suspect that one of
>the two has either a flush or straight.
>The reason I called in this case is because I was already down $1000 for
>the day and another $100 or so didn't
>make any difference AND I did have 22% chance of winning. 11 outs. i.e.
>pair the board or a 10 for 4 of a kind.
>The river card is the 5 of spades. Now I have 10-10-10/5-5. Beats the
>heck out of straights/flushes.
>The 1st to act checked then the 2nd player bets all in which puts my
>remaining $100 in the pot and the checker folds. The better turns over
>two clubs
>for a flush and a slam my Full House down and say Thank You River!
>
>Another hour of play and I am down $285 and I call it a day. Hate to
>take a loss but happy to recover most of my $1000.
>
>The same game we had a older guy with a tracheotomy wearing a Vietnam
>vet hat who played crazy for about two hours and turned $300 into $1800.
>He was smart enough to leave with his winnings.
>
>RG
>
>On 2/15/2013 5:31 PM, Ron Ristad wrote:
>> RG,
>> Good luck but I suggest that you leave your emotions at the door. There's a
>> saying that it matters not if you won or lost but how you played the game,
>> and that certainly applies to poker. Judge your results not on how much
>> money you won or lost, but how well you played your hands.
>>
>> As I told you I watched the WSOP and I am convinced that I could never be
>> that good. I saw players throw in straight hands against higher straights,
>> then turn around and call a big pot with only a pair of deuces and win.
>>
>> If my straight got beat by a flush then I would be asking myself how I could
>> have played the hand better.
>>
>> -RR
>>
>>
>> -----Original Message-----
>>> From: Ron George<xgeorge@xxxxxxx>
>>> Sent: Feb 15, 2013 6:28 PM
>>> To:sparkscoffee@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
>>> Subject: [sparkscoffee] Revenge
>>>
>>> Two weeks ago, Up $650
>>> Last week, Down $200
>>> My straight ran into a straight flush which is so rare I don't
>>> even think about it.
>>> Tomorrow I will be after a dish best served cold. (Imagine diabolical
>>> laughter):-D
>>>
>>> Have a great weekend, see you Monday.
>>>
>>> RG
>>>
>>>
>> "Any man who thinks he can be happy and prosperous by letting the government
>> take care of him, better take a closer look at the American Indian." - Henry
>> Ford
>>
>>
>
>
"Any man who thinks he can be happy and prosperous by letting the government
take care of him, better take a closer look at the American Indian." - Henry
Ford
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