Omar: I suspected some sort of obfuscation would occur on the part of those who didn't want to answer the question. I can't tell if Robert Paul is obfuscating or not -- probably not, and you and Mike have answered it in ways that represent your positions. Very good. I must now take this opportunity (which I was of course leading up to) to add that I think Israel did precisely the right thin in bombing Osirak in 1981, and I suspect that most people, in the U.S. at least, would agree with that. I suspect that a lot of people who objected to the bombing in 1981 have changed their mind. Those who admire Saddam Hussein and those who admire Militant Islam would of course not be in that category. You have introduced the idea that the Saddam building 4 or 5 Hiroshima-sized bombs in 1981 is radically different from Iran building 4 or 5 Hiroshima-sized bombs in 2006. I fail to see that the difference is significant. Saddam wanted to dominate the entire Arabian area. He believed in Pan-Arabism and he took steps to expand the Ummah by taking over Kuwait. Saudi Arabia was next if we can believe what people close to him have said. Iran's ambitions are those of Khomeini, to spread, to export the Khomeini revolution. Khomeini sought to do it in two primary places initially: in South Iraq, resulting in the Iraq/Iran war and through Hezbollah into Lebanon, the effects of which the region is experiencing at the present time. He intended to move north into the former Islamic states of the USSR, but then he died. Does that intention still live? I suspect so. Which would be more dangerous with nuclear weapons, Iraq in 1981 or Iran in 2006? Iran in 2006 hands down; especially since Iran is in the habit of providing weapons to the most potent terrorist organization in the world today. You say the US is not Israel. I don't see the significance of that difference. We could bomb Iran's nuclear facilities just as Israel bombed Iraq's. I don't think we will because of the avowed intention of pursuing "a diplomatic solution," but we could. As to the international situation being different, I don't see the significance of that either. Are you saying that the world would condemn the US if it bombed Iran's nuclear facilities? Did not the world condemn Israel in 1981? I fail to see that there would be much difference. Nevertheless it was the right thing for Israel to do in 1981 and it would be, if we weren't trying out diplomacy, the right thing to do in 2006. One of the interesting considerations is that you cannot prove that bad things would have happened if Israel had not bombed Osirak; so Mike cannot be proved wrong for arguing that things would be much better if Saddam had gotten his bombs. But if we let Iran have its bombs, then we shall see what a Militant Islamic nation shall be able to do with them. We had the discussion at one time about whether we should have assassinated Hitler in 1934-37. If we had done so, then Mike could have berated the US, France or Britain for taking out that benign fellow who was just trying to improve the German's lot in life, and no one could prove him wrong about that either. As to Mike's thinking the situation in Iraq is worse now than if Saddam remained in power, that is quite a lot to swallow. It is admittedly a gamble to attempt to foster a democratic state in the Middle East. They have never had one there before, if you don't count Turkey, and Middle-Easterners don't because Turkey is a secular state. But the gamble was worth taking. We, the US, had nothing to lose. A tyrannical state which continued to abuse the Shiites and Kurds (at least they would if we stopped the over flights) with expansionist ambitions was removed. His removal was a blow to Militant Islam. One of their heroes was defeated. As to what comes afterwards, we have done the honorable thing in attempting to foster democracy. The unsettled Iraq of the present is preferable to a settled hostile Iraq under Saddam. In regard to our attempt to foster Democracy in Iraq, I notice that Mike while calling himself a Liberal disapproves. He would prefer to have retained a tyrant. I should point out that Liberals of an earlier day favored democracy and opposed tyranny. They felt quite strongly about it. They considered the favoring of Democracy and freedom and the opposing of tyranny hallmarks of the Liberal position. They believed they held the moral high-ground and that conservatives wanting to hang on to something less democratic, less free and more tyrannical were to be despised. Oh, how the Liberals, so many of them, have fallen. Lawrence -----Original Message----- From: lit-ideas-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx [mailto:lit-ideas-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf Of Omar Kusturica Sent: Friday, July 28, 2006 12:00 PM To: lit-ideas@xxxxxxxxxxxxx Subject: [lit-ideas] Re: Bombing Osirik in 1981 --- Lawrence Helm <lawrencehelm@xxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote: > I thought my little quiz was more transparent than > it apparently was. I am > neither concerned about the New York Times nor > Israel's battle with > Hezbollah. *I suspected what you have in mind but I wasn't sure. Anyway, this is another one of your simplistic historical analogies. Iran in 2006 is not Iraq of 1981, Ahmadinejad is not Saddam, Iran nuclear program is different from Saddam's nuclear program, the US is not Israel, and the international situation is very different. When I read the lines describing how > close Saddam came to having > "four or five Hiroshima-sized bombs" in light of the > trial he is undergoing, > I thought surely no one today would say it was a bad > thing for Israel to > have bombed Osirik. Some on the Left for awhile > seemed to be arguing that > we should leave Saddam alone, but I haven't heard > that argument in some > time. I suspect that most people are glad he is no > longer in power and glad > he never managed to get his 4 or 5 Hiroshima-sized > bombs. *Well, yes. Only, a lot of people are extremely unhappy with how he was removed from power, and even more so with the current situation. Iraq in the last weeks has been somewhat overshadowed by the I/P/L crisis, and the things there have deteriorated even further. See: http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/HG27Ak03.html O.K. __________________________________________________