On 10/29/07, Lawrence Helm <lawrencehelm@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote: > > This was indeed an interesting article, John. However, I don't think the > "Religious Right" was ever what it used to be. There was indeed a climate > of opinion amongst Dispensationalists and Evangelicals that chose to focus > on Abortion, Gay Rights and Creationism at the expense of the Gospel. > There was no "religious right movement" per se, but there was broad > agreement that these were issues worth fighting over and many seemed to want > to talk of nothing else. > There is no denying that religion, like politics, has always been a big tent, with lots of room for all sorts of different acts. There is also no denying that during the 80s and 90s the folks whose focus was opposition to abortion, gay rights and evolution forged a powerful political block that became a vital constituency for the Republican Party. Now as to the impact on the upcoming political election, which seems to be > the concern of Kirkpatrick, I doubt that the conclusion (or better, the > "suggestion") can be drawn that the former "Religious Right" will move > toward the "left." > I agree. But I don't think that this is the central concern of political analysts. Historically, evangelicals have oscillated between inward-turning disengagement from politics and outward-turning political involvement. The inward turn typically follows a period of religious enthusiasm. Add elections that in recent years have turned on razor-thin majorities or Supreme Court decisions, and the likelihood that even a small percentage of those who came out strongly for Republicans in recent elections may stay home or support a third-party candidate has to be a Republican strategist's biggest nightmare. On the opposite coast from you, in my home state of Virginia, two successive Democratic Governors (Warner and Kaine), a new Democratic Senator (Jim Webb) and a strong possibility that he will acquire a Democratic colleague when Mark Warner runs for the Senate next year shows the effects that even small shifts in the demographics of voting can have on what had been seen since Nixon as a solidly red state. John -- John McCreery The Word Works, Ltd., Yokohama, JAPAN Tel. +81-45-314-9324 http://www.wordworks.jp/