Myself and several other TNC folks had some Bushtits along the Devils River (Val Verde County) this spring. Maybe like a handful of sightings. Those are not data that would be entered into eBird. One of the draw backs of eBird being that as widely as it may be used by birders now, not all data are being input into it (like a lot scientific survey data); so one needs to be careful about inferences drawn from it. I definitely think there are eBird biases. So, there may be few or even no reports from places like the western Plateau and north of I-10 on the Plateau, but how many checklists were actually submitted for those regions, were they submitted from sites likely to have Bushtits to start with, and more importantly what is the baseline for Bushtits in those areas based on past checklists (assuming there are any) submitted to eBird? Anyway, not sure if western plateau birds would be more tolerant of drought or not. It is not a terribly great distance between western and eastern birds that we are talking about (would eastern Black-capped Vireos be less drought tolerant than western Black-capped Vireos? Or choose whichever species you want that has a range across the Plateau and ask the same question). So, I think things like drought and precipitation gradients could regulate populations in some ways (e.g., setting carrying capacities, influencing nest success or survival, etc.), so there may be differences in population sizes or vital rates between east and west, but I am not sure you could say western birds are inherently more or less drought tolerant than eastern birds Also, we assume that the drought impacted or is impacting the species but there are certainly still a lot of junipers on the western Plateau (even if there were extensive juniper kills), and there is certainly still water and food resources . So, the drought may or may not have impacted the species as much as we think and any impacts could potentially be on a pretty small scale or localized. And, unlike some other species, no one has seemingly observed an irruption of Bustits any place that would suggest displacement by drought. So, I think this drought tolerance question is a difficult one to answer without better data on the species throughout its Edwards Plateau range. I actually probably wouldn't lump the Bushtit and Hutton's Vireo together. I think there are key habitat differences. I see the vireo as being much more of an oak woodland or oak-juniper species whereas the Bushtit strikes me as more of a juniper species. And I think there are other differences that make comparing the species difficult. The vireo seems to be a colonizing species that is actively expanding both its winter and breeding range whereas the range of the Bushtit seems to be fairly static (even if it is nomadic and sporadic within that range). There are different dynamics happening. I would probably be more likely to compare the Bushtit with a species like Western Scrub-jay. Just a few musings, Rich Richard Kostecke, Ph.D. The Nature Conservancy 318 Congress Ave., Austin, Texas 78701 Email: rkost73@xxxxxxxxx or rkostecke@xxxxxxx ________________________________ From: Chuck Sexton <gcwarbler@xxxxxxxxxxxxx> To: TexBirds TexBirds Posting <texbirds@xxxxxxxxxxxxx> Sent: Tuesday, June 18, 2013 11:06 AM Subject: [texbirds] Bushtits in eastern Edwards Plateau? TexBirders, As I was compiling my notes for the Spring report for North American Birds, it occurred to me that I had seen very few Bushtits away from the Trans-Pecos in the past year or so. I began to wonder if the species has been especially hard hit by the drought conditions, particularly in the eastern Edwards Plateau. I began to study eBird reports and it seems to confirm my impressions. There is only one report in 2013 of a Bushtit in the region substantially N and E of Interstate 10: a single report at Fort Hood (Coryell Co.) in February. There is a small handful of reports in the San Antonio region and points W and slightly NW. The species is still being seen (apparently) in the Trans-Pecos, but it's hard to judge the abundance without a more detailed analysis. I'm wondering if other TexBirders have noticed a decrease in Bushtits, particularly in the eastern Edwards Plateau. This can be a difficult question because the species is so nomadic and sporadic in occurrence in this region to start with. Is this just a sampling bias? An eBird bias? Or have Bushtits actually declined in this region? Two additional thoughts: 1. The drought has actually been worse in the western part of the Hill Country, but that is where the species has historically been more numerous. Are the more westerly Bushtits simply better adapted to withstand such a long stretch of harsh habitat conditions? 2. The (apparent) Bushtit pattern seems to contrast with the Hutton's Vireo situation, a species I might think had similar ecological adaptations and habitat preferences, but which seems to be continuing its increase in abundance and distribution eastward. Why the difference in the two? Chuck Sexton Austin Edit your Freelists account settings for TEXBIRDS at //www.freelists.org/list/texbirds Reposting of traffic from TEXBIRDS is prohibited without seeking permission from the List Owner Edit your Freelists account settings for TEXBIRDS at //www.freelists.org/list/texbirds Reposting of traffic from TEXBIRDS is prohibited without seeking permission from the List Owner