[lit-ideas] Re: global luke-warming
- From: Teemu Pyyluoma <teme17@xxxxxxxxx>
- To: lit-ideas@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
- Date: Fri, 14 Apr 2006 02:30:08 -0700 (PDT)
Doubts about the Advent of Spring
Filed under: Climate Science Sun-earth connections
Climate modelling Instrumental Record? stefan @ 8:03
am
A "consensus view" amongst climate scientists holds
that the Northern Hemisphere will be warming this
month, as spring is coming. This is thought to be due
to the Earth's orbit around the sun and the
inclination of the Earth's axis, tilting the Northern
Hemisphere progressively towards the sun throughout
March and April and increasing the amount of solar
radiation received at northern latitudes.
In a new novel, State of Euphoria, bestselling author
Michael Crikey uncovers major flaws in this theory and
warns against false hopes for the arrival of spring.
This is not merely fiction: Crikey underpins his
thesis with numerous scientific diagrams. He presents
measurements from over a dozen weather stations in the
Northern Hemisphere where temperatures show a cooling
trend in March. He further cites scientific results
which show that in some places, snow and ice have
increased in the past weeks, counter to
climatologists' claims that they should be melting
away in the spring sun. He further argues that even
the average temperature of the Northern Hemisphere has
not increased steadily; during one week of March, it
showed a slight cooling despite the increase in solar
radiation.
"This casts a grave shadow of doubt on the theory of
the seasons", says Crikey. "Consensus science is not
good science." He says we should not trust computer
models projecting that June will be much warmer than
March in most of the Northern Hemisphere. "These
models cannot even predict the weather in two weeks
time - why should we believe what they say about
temperatures in two months?" He also says that only
six months ago, scientists were predicting a cooling.
?Nobody can predict the future,? asserts Crikey.
Farmers risk wasting billions of dollars if they trust
the warming forecast; Crikey urges them to wait with
sowing until it is clear that summer temperatures have
indeed arrived.
Crikey argues that climatologists cling to the
ill-founded theory of seasons for political reasons.
"Scientists have promoted their orbital theory of
seasons for centuries without questioning it," says
Crikey. "It has become like a dogma. They cannot admit
that it is wrong without suffering a serious setback
in credibility and research funding".
Crikey's book was welcomed by many organisations, such
as the Science and Environment Propaganda Project
(SEPP) and the Frontiers of Fallacy Foundation (FF).
In an emotional speech, Senator Outhofe urged his
colleagues to take the time for reading the novel. He
called seasons a "great hoax" and emphasised that
"science is overwhelmingly on the side that, in fact,
they are not occurring, and if they are occurring, are
not a result of the Earth's orbit".
Climate scientists, on the other hand, quickly jumped
up to reject Crikey's claims. "We have a curve called
the 'tennis racket' which proves seasons are real,"
says NASA's Gavin Schmoot. "It is based on a
sophisticated statistical analysis of the isotope
composition of sediment in old French wines. In fact,
we have many rackets so it is more like a tennis
club."
from
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2005/04/doubts-about-the-advent-of-spring/#more-139
Cheers,
Teemu
Helsinki, Finland
__________________________________________________
Do You Yahoo!?
Tired of spam? Yahoo! Mail has the best spam protection around
http://mail.yahoo.com
------------------------------------------------------------------
To change your Lit-Ideas settings (subscribe/unsub, vacation on/off,
digest on/off), visit www.andreas.com/faq-lit-ideas.html
Other related posts:
