Falcon 9FT specific cost is of the order of $600 / lbm dry mass per Musk's
comments at the Code Conference in June. This is higher than at least two
current western launch vehicles.
SoaceX's achievement--which is unprecedented--is to have achieved these
costs in a very low structural ratio vehicle.
It is at least lazy to be suggesting that SpaceX's cost are 1/10 of others;
simple inspection of there pricing establishes that they are no better than
1/4 that of competitors.
Bill
On Sun, Nov 13, 2016 at 5:07 PM Ed LeBouthillier <codemonky@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
wrote:
On Sun, 2016-11-13 at 13:51 -0800, Rand Simberg wrote:
Transcost is one of the models that Elon broke.
Sure.
The common cost models often relate to government cost-plus funded
projects and tend to be higher than standard commercial cost realities.
But, they're often the best available.
Musk's example represent a very small sample set from which to be able
to extrapolate trends. But, it does suggest that the Musk Costing Model
(tm) might be something like the Transcost / 10.0. I certainly hope so.
