Werner, I very much disagree with your Table 1 http://www.analysistech.com/downloads/SolderJointDesignForReliability.PDF which states that consumer electronics should have a 1-3 years of service. Where do you get this data? Is it perhaps it's from wishful thinking on the part of the "consumer' industry? I can assure you that but for the fact that pure tin whiskers will most certainly result in failures of consumer equipment after 3 years (or sooner), most consumer equipment would have had a much longer life. Is this the cloaked dark hand of industry? Is this the smoking gun? Is this the game that is afoot? Is the plan to make consumers throw out what they buy in 1-3 years? I note that the words "tin whiskers" are never mentioned in your paper. Why is that? What good is perfecting solder joint reliability when products fail due to the absence of lead in the solder and on the parts being soldered? How exactly does that magic happen? Quite frankly, I guess most of us here on this forum are not be surprised at your figures. We suspected something like this was behind RoHS. You have confirmed our suspicions; Gabriele is correct. By the way, how do you then manage to extrapolate ~10 years of service for the automotive industry? And 5-10 years for the space industry? Do you expect satellites to come crashing down after 5 years? Do you really expect the auto industry to replate all the tin plated components they are forced to buy as NASA and the DOD is doing now (expecting by doing so a far longer life than 5-10 years - Voyager being a prime example)? Since automotive electronics is ~30% of the cost of the typical automobile today, what do you estimate that additional cost will be? You know who will bear it, don't you? The consumer. And why, pray tell should they? For the so-called environment? Or for the consultants who grow richer off this new found business? Bob Landman H&L Instruments From: tinwhiskers-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx [mailto:tinwhiskers-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf Of Engelmaier@xxxxxxx Sent: Saturday, June 07, 2008 7:45 PM To: salag@xxxxxxxxxxx; tinwhiskers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx Subject: [tinwhiskers] Re: R: Re: R: Re: R: Re: ACE Develops Lead Tinning System Whow, Gabriele, You say: "Reliability? it will become a matter for book?s writers or for discussion in some workshop or tech seminary as well. Producer?s strategy is : Warranty Extension for a lead free product, it has been demonstrated to be a cheaper solution then invest money to asses and evaluate in advance the reliability of a solder joint, etc. according to the more sophisticated Industrial or International Standards." The workshops and seminars is correct, HOWEVER, who, pray tell, 'demonstrated [warranty extension] to be a cheaper solution...[to]... invest money to asses and evaluate in advance the reliability of a solder joint, etc. That is nonsense. If you follow the 'Design-for-Reliability' procedures shown in IPC-D-279 you have great assurance of reliability?excepting tin whiskers, of course, for solder joints. The reliability of the PCBs may take a little more doing, but my white Paper goes a long way. Doing it right at the design stage does not cost anything?you just have to know what you are doing. Werner Future workshops: Reliability Issues with Lead-Free Soldering Processes, June 17, London Interconnect Failures and Design for Reliability for PCB PTHs, June 17, London Solder Joint Reliability: Parts 1 through 4, July 17/18, Thal, Switzerland Pb-Free Soldering Processes?Survival, Quality, Reliability, August 18, Orlando Reliability Issues with Lead-Free Soldering Processes, September 22, Schaumburg Failure Mode and Root Cause Analyses Reliability (Fatigue, Brittle Fracture, ENIG), September 22, Schaumburg