Keith Reedy keithreedy@xxxxxxxxxxxx Begin forwarded message: > From: National Weather Service <nws.noaa@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx> > Date: May 25, 2011 1:51:46 AM EDT > To: keithreedy@xxxxxxxxxxxx > Subject: NOAA's National Weather Service SPC Mesoscale Discussion Update > Reply-To: National Weather Service <nws.noaa@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx> > > You are subscribed to SPC Mesoscale Discussion for NOAA's National Weather > Service. > > > > SPC MD 946 > > 05/25/2011 01:49 AM EDT > > MD 0946 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY FOR EASTERN MO/FAR > SOUTHEAST IA AND WESTERN/SOUTHERN IL INTO NORTHEAST AR/WESTERN KY/WESTERN TN > > > > MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0946 > NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK > 1248 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2011 > > AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN MO/FAR SOUTHEAST IA AND WESTERN/SOUTHERN IL > INTO NORTHEAST AR/WESTERN KY/WESTERN TN > > CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY > > VALID 250548Z - 250645Z > > ONE OR MORE TORNADO WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED ACROSS A LARGE > PART OF EASTERN MO/PERHAPS SOUTHEAST IA AND WESTERN/SOUTHERN IL AND > PERHAPS NORTHEAST AR AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF KY/TN. DAMAGING WINDS > AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE A CONCERN THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING > HOURS. > > AN INTENSE/SLIGHTLY FRAGMENTED QUASI-LINEAR CONVECTIVE > LINE...INCLUDING SOME EMBEDDED/IMMEDIATELY ADJACENT > SUPERCELLS...CONTINUES TO STEADILY PROGRESS EAST-NORTHEASTWARD > ACROSS CENTRAL MO/NORTHWEST AR EARLY IN THE OVERNIGHT. A 56 KT WIND > GUST WAS RECENTLY NOTED AT FORT SMITH AR...WITH 53 KT MEASURED AT > CHANUTE KS IN ADDITION A NUMBER OF MEASURED 40+ KT GUSTS. > > AMID AMPLE DVPA WITH VERY STRONG AND A NEARLY UNIDIRECTIONAL DEEP > LAYER WIND FIELD /ESPECIALLY ABOVE 1 KM/...CONTINUED STORM > CONSOLIDATION/UPSCALE GROWTH IS LIKELY WITH AN INCREASINGLY > ORGANIZED/WELL-SUSTAINED QLCS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. SOUTH OF A > SYNOPTIC FRONTAL BOUNDARY/RESIDUAL INFLUENCE OF EARLY DAY CONVECTIVE > OUTFLOW FROM NORTHERN MO ESE INTO CENTRAL IL...THE BOUNDARY LAYER > REMAINS VERY MOIST/RELATIVELY UNSTABLE AMID AROUND 70F SURFACE > DEWPOINTS. THUS...DAMAGING WINDS WILL REMAIN A DISTINCT CONCERN...IN > ADDITION TO THE POSSIBILITY OF SEMI-DISCRETE SUPERCELLS AND/OR > QLCS-EMBEDDED MESO-VORTICES CAPABLE OF TORNADOES GIVEN THE > INCREASINGLY HIGH DEGREE OF LOW LEVEL SRH. > > ..GUYER.. 05/25/2011 > > ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... > > ATTN...WFO...PAH...ILX...MEG...LSX...DVN...LZK...SGF...EAX... > > LAT...LON 39739335 40709146 40238979 39228915 36658889 35059203 > 37079177 38479253 39739335 > > Read more > > > > > > > > To change your subscriptions or preferences log in to your Subscriber > Preferences Page with your e-mail address. > > Delete profile > > For questions or problems with the subscription service, please contact > support@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx > > This service is provided by NOAA's National Weather Service. > > > > GovDelivery, Inc. (800-439-1420) sending to keithreedy@xxxxxxxxxxxx on behalf > of the National Weather Service · 1325 East West Highway · Silver Spring, MD > 20910