Dermot Nolan spotted this on the MediaGuardian.co.uk site and thought you should see it. To see this story with its related links on the MediaGuardian.co.uk site, go to http://www.mediaguardian.co.uk Freeview set to triumph in switchover Mark Sweney Friday January 12 2007 The Guardian Pay-TV companies, such as Sky and NTL:Telewest, will struggle to win customers with Freeview set to be the big digital switchover winner in the next five years, according to a new European report. The report, by JupiterResearch, estimates that there are currently 5.3m households in the UK that still only have traditional analogue TV. In the next five years, in the run up to digital switch over in 2012, 4.6m households will opt to get Freeview's digital terrestrial TV service. Sky's pay and free-satellite service is estimated to attract 1.2m new households over the period; NTL:Telewest will attract 700,000; and IPTV services such as HomeChoice and BT Vision will number 1m. The reason the total number of new multichannel households will outnumber those who are still only on analogue TV is because a percentage will have services from more than one company. "Even though the digital switch-over offers tremendous opportunity for TV operators, effectively introducing government mandated subscriber churn, most are failing to take advantage," said Nate Elliott, senior analyst at Jupiter Research. "Nearly two-thirds of new digital TV households in Europe last year chose digital terrestrial TV (Freeview in the UK) rather than pay digital platforms like cable, satellite or IPTV." Mr Elliott says that the bundled offering of services by TV operators - such as TV with broadband and telephony - are of secondary importance to consumers when they are deciding which provider to use. As a result Freeview's free-to-air offer has proved a winner. "Consumers value TV more than other digital services, they spend more time with TV than other products offered as bundles as triple or quad-play offerings," said Mr Elliott. "This means they can fulfil their biggest need by signing up to Freeview." He sees it as "inevitable" that more offers from the likes of NTL:Telewest and Sky will become free as a result - such as Sky offering a basic 2MB broadband package free to customers. BT Vision, which offers a combination of Freeview and paid-for on-demand content, has the "right idea but the reality is that there are significant costs involved for set top boxes and installation that outstrip those involved with getting Freeview". In addition, Mr Elliott argued that the TV market was crowded and there weren't "compelling" reasons to shift to the likes of BT Vision and HomeChoice. As the number of households that are left to switch to a multichannel provider from analogue TV dwindles, a key battleground will be the secondary market for TV's in other rooms such as bedrooms. "As the battle to win numbers of primary TV households draws to an end, there will be a TV-by-TV battle for the bedroom, the kitchen and Freeview as a free-to-air service is an easy option for the 'other room' for consumers." Over this period, JupiterResearch says that Freeview will become the primary television provider in more households than any other platform. At the end of 2006, JupiterResearch estimates that Freeview was in 10.1m households; Sky in 8.6m and NTL:Telewest in 3.3m. · To contact the MediaGuardian newsdesk email editor@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx or phone 020 7239 9857. For all other inquiries please call the main Guardian switchboard on 020 7278 2332. · If you are writing a comment for publication, please mark clearly "for publication". Copyright Guardian News and Media Limited ---------------------------------------------------------------------- You can UNSUBSCRIBE from the OpenDTV list in two ways: - Using the UNSUBSCRIBE command in your user configuration settings at FreeLists.org - By sending a message to: opendtv-request@xxxxxxxxxxxxx with the word unsubscribe in the subject line.