[opendtv] Re: Mark's Monday Memo

  • From: Tom Barry <trbarry@xxxxxxxxxxx>
  • To: opendtv@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
  • Date: Wed, 09 Mar 2005 20:09:01 -0500

Manfredi, Albert E wrote:
 > This suggests that the Ferree plan should be applied market
 > by market. It would give everyone a better feel for just how
 > disruptive analog shutoff really is and it would provide a
 > more gradual demand curve for STBs and a reason to improve
 > them. The gradual shutoff of analog would give the networks
 > some incentive to develop their DTT multiplexes, which in
 > turn might encourage those mostly-OTA markets to switch more
 > willingly. Seems like a good thing.

I think they should pick a couple of test markets, subsidize the heck 
out of them, and see how traumatic it is turning things off now.  If 
they can make it work then they have a plan.

If they can't then they have a job to do.

- Tom

> [OTA users]
> 
> 
>>         - There is wild variation between markets.  In
>>ten markets (including New York, Philadelphia, and Boston)
>>representing more than 15% of U.S. TV households, over 80%
>>already subscribe to cable (not even counting satellite).
>>But, in 13 markets (including Dallas-Ft. Worth and Salt
>>Lake City) representing almost five percent of U.S. TV
>>households, fewer than half already subscribe to cable
>>(and, even when satellite is added, one of those markets
>>stays below 50%).  Disney's comments show similar
>>variation: 9.1% relying exclusively on off-air reception
>>in the New York market and 15.3% in the Los Angeles market.
> 
> 
> This suggests that the Ferree plan should be applied market
> by market. It would give everyone a better feel for just how
> disruptive analog shutoff really is and it would provide a
> more gradual demand curve for STBs and a reason to improve
> them. The gradual shutoff of analog would give the networks
> some incentive to develop their DTT multiplexes, which in
> turn might encourage those mostly-OTA markets to switch more
> willingly. Seems like a good thing.
> 
> I expect that West Virginia and parts of western PA have a
> reception problem with OTA, due to the mountainous terrain,
> but of course that could be solved, if it makes economic
> sense.
> 
> Bert
> 
>  
>  
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