[opendtv] Re: Analyst predicts stalemate in next-gen DVD war
- From: Ron Economos <k6mpg@xxxxxxxxxxx>
- To: opendtv@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
- Date: Mon, 26 Jun 2006 00:42:57 -0700
My sources tell me the BOM for the Toshiba player
really is north of $700. Although I admire Toshiba for
having the huevos to be so aggressive, I'm afraid
it may be a bad move since it sets the barrier of
entry very high for other CE manufacturers.
If you want to join the HD-DVD hardware camp, your
first player must be $500 or less. At the same time,
you're a regular company and don't have an axe to
grind like Toshiba, so you'd like to make at least a
little profit on it. That means the BOM must be
considerably south of $500. A tall order IMHO.
However, there's plenty of time for both camps
to make all kinds of changes. Neither format
is going to see any volume until 2008, so
there's many more skirmishes to observe
along the way.
Ron
Tom Barry wrote:
>It may well end in a stalemate but the first round is going pretty
>conclusively to HD-DVD. If you check AVS Forum you will find the BluRay
>fans are canceling their pre-orders and returning their Samsung players
>in droves. <http://www.avsforum.com/avs-vb/showthread.php?t=690621>
>
>It turns out that only single layer BD discs are currently available,
>leaving only 25 MB on a platter. But the first gen discs are using only
>MPEG-2 and that just doesn't seem to be enough space, at least given the
>Sony encoder being used.
>
>The net result is that at the current time BD costs about twice as much
>as HD-DVD and the movies on average do not look anywhere near as good.
>
>Who knows, maybe BD will ship dual layer with AVC encoding real soon
>now. But otherwise I think they are in real trouble.
>
>- Tom
>
>
----------------------------------------------------------------------
You can UNSUBSCRIBE from the OpenDTV list in two ways:
- Using the UNSUBSCRIBE command in your user configuration settings at
FreeLists.org
- By sending a message to: opendtv-request@xxxxxxxxxxxxx with the word
unsubscribe in the subject line.
Other related posts:
