But an important part of this assumption is that targeted ads on the PVR could be opt-in, so the pop-up blocking defense arguments don't really apply. One concept is that viewers realize that they'll have to put up with a certain number of commercials anyway, so why not make them at least somewhat more relevant to their current needs? When they initialize their PVRs, they could opt-in for targeted ads, filling out a profile that identifies their interests. These could change over time (e.g., I'm in the market for a new car, so for the next few weeks, I'd like to see new car ads; then I've got a big wedding anniversary, so my preference switches to jewelry ads for awhile, etc.). I suppose you could call this "self-targeted" advertising, in which the viewer adds some pull to the otherwise pushed advertising content on TV. Broadcasters could sell these spots with different pricing schemes, perhaps based on how many users actually pulled them down. They could also offer tiered pricing for regular (non-targeted) spots, charging a premium for one or more spots in an ad break that could not be replaced by a targeted ad, or discounts for those that could be replaced.=20 Finally, "tell-me-more" content could also be requested, so instead of going to the web to see that 5 minute extended BMW spot, you could watch it on TV, pausing the broadcast show while doing so, then returning to it afterward, thus keeping viewers from migrating to alternative media. The question remains whether enough viewers would opt-in to make the extra work required by broadcasters to enable this worthwhile. --SP -----Original Message----- From: opendtv-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx [mailto:opendtv-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf Of Tom Barry Sent: Sunday, May 02, 2004 10:48 PM To: opendtv@xxxxxxxxxxxxx Subject: [opendtv] Re: Analysis: Google-like technologies could revolutionize TV, other media I think the defenses against ads depend mostly upon how annoying they get. Until they are overdone people will put up with them and not do much about it. But past a certain threshold it starts to demand action. That will likely be true of Internet pop-ups, telephone ads, and regular TV commercials. I sometimes wonder if the fate of the broadcasters somewhat now is going downhill not just because of cable & sat but because they have crossed the annoyance threshold of how many minutes / hour of commercials people will put up with. I see Yahoo going through the same process, at least on my own annoyance meter. Look what happened to the OpenDTV list recently. - Tom Manfredi, Albert E wrote: > Craig Birkmaier wrote: >=20 >=20 >>Now imagine a digital broadcast system that is able to deliver=20 >>customized & personalized advertising messages to specific=20 >>neighborhoods (zoning), specific demographic targets, even specific IP >>addresses. >=20 >=20 > ----------------------------------------- > http://news.com.com/2009-1025-5201803.html?part=3D3Ddtx&tag=3D3Dntop >=20 > [ ... ] > Industry research tends to support that prediction. An estimated 75=20 > percent of national advertisers plan to cut spending on TV commercials > by at least 20 percent in the next five years, when advertisers=20 > believe that ad-skipping devices like TiVo will be widespread,=20 > according to Forrester Research. > [ ... ] > ------------------------------------------ >=20 > Ads targetted to IP addresses already exist. The public tends to=20 > reject these much more intensely than the more benign ads you get on=20 > TV, on public buses, or on billboards. Devices like proxy servers,=20 > firewalls, and the more recent spam filters are aimed > *specifically* at this type of ad, and Congress too wants to get in on > the act. >=20 > It's astonishing to me that any ad research would conclude that in the > future, that's where all the ad money will go. I would instead predict > that this form of ad distribution will quickly peak and drop off, as=20 > defenses against it improve. >=20 > Telephone ads were the prime example of backlash against targetted=20 > ads. People object to being interrupted or annoyed more intrusively as > opposed to less intrusively, as this sort of targetted ad tends to do. > Last time I heard the figures, at least half of US households had=20 > subscribed to the do-not-call list. And that was a short time after=20 > the list was enabled. >=20 > On the other hand, replacing TV ads with a new technique for=20 > distributing *TV ads* could well work out, but that money would still=20 > go to TV businesses. One such technique is product placement right in=20 > the program. But inserting ads more intelligently in programs might=20 > work too. Of course, the more surgically targetted, the less a=20 > broadcast infrastructure is economically viable. I think this is=20 > *even* true for those "great ideas" like filling up people's PVRs with > ads trickled in over long periods of time. All you're doing is=20 > compensating for an inefficient (for this targetted ad purpose)=20 > distribution protocol by camping out on people's private property --=20 > i.e. > their disk space. I would bet good money that defenses against this=20 > will soon appear, if they don't already exist. >=20 > Bert > =20 > =20 > ---------------------------------------------------------------------- > You can UNSUBSCRIBE from the OpenDTV list in two ways: >=20 > - Using the UNSUBSCRIBE command in your user configuration settings at > FreeLists.org >=20 > - By sending a message to: opendtv-request@xxxxxxxxxxxxx with the word unsubscribe in the subject line. >=20 >=20 =20 =20 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- You can UNSUBSCRIBE from the OpenDTV list in two ways: - Using the UNSUBSCRIBE command in your user configuration settings at FreeLists.org=20 - By sending a message to: opendtv-request@xxxxxxxxxxxxx with the word unsubscribe in the subject line. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- You can UNSUBSCRIBE from the OpenDTV list in two ways: - Using the UNSUBSCRIBE command in your user configuration settings at FreeLists.org - By sending a message to: opendtv-request@xxxxxxxxxxxxx with the word unsubscribe in the subject line.