[nasional_list] Re: [ppiindia] Re: [KIB] : CIA Vision : Khilafah akan berdiri tahun 2020
- From: farid bajber <fbajber@xxxxxxxxx>
- To: ppiindia@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
- Date: Tue, 15 Feb 2005 21:59:06 -0800 (PST)
** Mailing List Nasional Indonesia PPI India Forum **
Jadi, kesimpulannya orang yang mengharapkan khalafah munculnya adalah agen CIA
atau kelompok yang berafiliasi dengan CIA, bukan begitu?
FB
syabab muslim <syabab_hizb_islamiy@xxxxxxxxx> wrote:
riza aulia <rz_aulia@xxxxxxxxx> wrote:CIA is a kind of 'optimitistic' that
Chaliphate will be established soon, Insya Allah it will. The New Islamic
Superpower will challenge the present dying superpower, USA.
Islam will rule and that will be the end of history....
CIA's 20:20 vision for the future Caliphate is short sighted
By Abid Mustafa
Al-Jazeerah, January 24, 2005
Source :
http://www.aljazeerah.info
In December 2004, The National Intelligence Council of the CIA predicted that
in the year 2020 a new Caliphate would emerge on the world stage. The findings
were published in a 123-page report titled ?Mapping the Global Future?. The aim
of the report is to prepare the next Bush administration for challenges that
lie ahead by projecting current trends that may pose a threat to US interest.
The report is presented to the US president, members of Congress, cabinet
members and key officials involved in policymaking.
What is striking about the report is that it is full of references about
political Islam and the various challenges it poses to US interests in the
foreseeable future. There is even a fictional scenario depicting the emergence
of Caliphate state in 2020 and its impact on the international situation.
However, the report is predicated on assumptions which undermine the validity
of the report in various parts, especially the section on the Caliphate. Below
is a critique of some of the arguments postulated in the fictional scenario: -
The report asserts that the strength of the new Caliphate will be borne out of
the efforts of a global Islamic movement taking power. While it may be true
that a global Islamic movement may instigate civil disobedience or initiate a
coup to bring about the Caliphate, its strength and longevity is dependent upon
something entirely different.
Intellectual conviction in a common set of values amongst the citizens of a
state is the measure of the state?s strength and not the movement, which
founded the state. The Soviet Union collapsed not because it was deficient in
technology, but because its people abandoned communism and the communist party
was powerless to convince them otherwise.
An accurate appraisal of the convictions of the Muslim masses for the
resumption of the Islamic way of life through the re-establishment of the
Caliphate is the single most important factor in determining whether the
Caliphate will succeed or fail in the 21st century. This is more important than
technology and resources. Both of which can be quickly gained as long as the
Caliphate is able to defend itself and base its progress exclusively on the
Islamic ideology.
Whenever Islamic movements are taken as the sole gauge for estimating the
extent of Islamic revival in Muslim countries a skewed picture will always
emerge. The CIA is not alone in employing this false standard. The practice is
wide spread and has tainted the analysis of respected think tanks and the
writings of some notable commentators such as Francis Fukuyama and Samuel P.
Huntington.
This flaw is not the result of their malice towards Islam, but is due to their
adherence to the philosophy of individualism, which has marred their
understanding of society and reduced it to a collection of individuals.
A proper understanding of society reveals that it is composed of individuals,
which are bonded together by common thoughts and emotions, and live under a
specific system. The degree of support amongst people towards the existing
system of governance or for an alternative system of ruling can only be
ascertained through the evaluation of these common thoughts and emotion.
The attachment to individualism has led the west to grossly underestimate the
penetration of Islamic thoughts and sentiments in the Muslim countries, and
also to miscalculate the wide spread support for the re-establishment of the
Caliphate.
Another point of contention in the report is the claim that the emergence of
the Caliphate will not cause the regimes in Muslim countries to collapse one
after the other ? the domino effect.
Again this understanding is derived from an incorrect understanding of society.
A cursory study of the Muslim world shows that there exists strong polarisation
in viewpoints between the regimes and the people they govern. Before the
collapse of the baath regime, Saddam an atheist was delivering speeches laced
with Islamic terms. He did this, because he reaslised that the people were no
longer motivated by baathism, secularism or Arabism and only responded to
Islam. Similarly, when Musharraf sided with America?s war against Afghanistan
he had to quote lengthy passages from life of the messenger (saw) to justify
his stance.
The conflict between maintaining the secular order and preventing political
Islam from assuming power is a daily occurrence in much of the Muslim world.
The regimes in the Muslim world are viewed as the custodians of western
interests and antagonistic towards Islam. Muslims simply loathed these regimes
and are eager to extinguish their existence. The only reason these regime
survive is because of the dogged support from western governments.
Today, the Islamic ummah stands on the cusp of a monumental change, just as the
Warsaw pact countries stood some 18 years ago. The iron curtain came down
because people had changed their viewpoint from communism to capitalism.
Likewise the Muslim ummah has abandoned both communism and capitalism, and is
waiting for the emergence of the Caliphate, which will cause these regimes to
collapse in spectacular fashion, only to be absorbed by the Caliphate.
Finally the report claims that Muslims would find the temptations of western
materialism too much to bear, causing them to flee the shores of the new
Caliphate. This view is obviously founded on the prevalent western notion that
the Caliphate is the antithesis to modernisation. Another factor that enhances
this perception amongst westerners is the current exodus of Muslims from the
Islamic world to the west.
Nothing could be further from the truth. First, the Caliphate that Muslims want
to establish is the rightly guided Caliphate, which was at the zenith of human
civilisation. A historical fact widely recognised by several eminent experts on
Islam- most notably Bernard Lewis.
Second, the mass migration of Muslims to the west is a consequence of western
foreign policy ventures in Muslim world and not because of Muslim infatuation
with western values. Most migrants, if not all are either economic migrants or
political asylum seekers escaping the tyranny of regimes often supported by
western governments.
Even those Muslims, who have settled in the west, have yet to embrace secular
values for fear of corrupting their Islam. The recent endeavour by Europe to
coerce its Muslim population to adopt western values speaks volumes for
Europe?s obsession with secularising Muslims and runs counter to the
stereotyped image projected by the western media that Muslims are pleading to
be westernised.
The typecasting of Muslims is based on the erroneous understanding of
anti-western feeling that pervades the Muslim world. Often in western circles,
anti-western sentiments are equated with the total rejection of western
civilisation and attributed to the fundamentalist camp.
To make matters worse, the desire amongst Muslims to own western goods are
interpreted as a craving for the western way of life. Westerners often classify
those who display admiration for western goods into the moderate camp.
To pigeonhole Muslims into the two camps based on such interpretations is
wrong. This is because the anti-western rhetoric found amongst Muslims is a
denunciation of western culture and not of western goods. Likewise, the
expression for the admiration for western products is an acknowledgement of the
superior quality of the goods and is not an affirmation for the wholesale
acceptance of western culture.
For the first time in many years, the Muslim world has undergone a radical
transformation in reconciling which aspects of the western way of life can be
accepted or rejected with Islam. Muslims today accept western goods such as
DVDs, Satellites Dishes, and TVs only because such items do not contradict
their Islamic viewpoint. On the other hand western concepts such as freedom,
democracy and individualism are discarded because are deemed to contradict
Islam.
Previously, the Muslim world was torn between two factions i.e. the modernists
who wanted to adopt everything from the west and the traditionalists who were
keen to rebuff all aspects of western civilisation. This mentality stifled
progress and allowed the west to establish their hegemony over Muslim lands.
Today, it is not Muslims who are holding themselves back from human advancement
and meeting the demands of the 21st century, but rather it is the west that
chooses to suppress these developments and insists on imposing its values upon
the Muslim masses in connivance with the regimes of the Muslim world.
This attitude has not only contributed to the west?s misunderstanding of Islam,
but has encouraged the west to define an inequitable relationship with the
Muslim world. Furthermore, the mindset has prompted the west to shun everything
to do with Islam. West?s occupation of Iraq and Afghanistan has already
highlighted the abuse of the Muslim people, the pillage of their land and
denigration of Islam.
If this attitude is not reversed then the west will find itself in a precarious
position on two fronts.
First, the Caliphate will be a strong, progressive state charting a new destiny
for the Muslim people after liberating them from the political, military and
economic hegemony of the west. The west weakened by this abrupt loss of control
will struggle to maintain its dominance in world affairs.
Secondly, the Caliphate will swiftly harness the synergy between Islam and
science, thereby surpassing the west in terms of inventions, technologies and
new scientific discoveries. Given the west?s negative attitudes towards all
things Islamic, it will find itself closing the doors to knowledge and
shielding its people from progress and challenges of 21st century.
Also click : http://www.cia.gov/nic/NIC_globaltrend2020_s3.html#scen
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