[list_indonesia] [ppiindia] Population in China to realize "zero growth"
- From: "Ambon" <sea@xxxxxxxxxx>
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- Date: Mon, 14 Mar 2005 01:17:40 +0100
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http://english.peopledaily.com.cn/200503/11/eng20050311_176471.html
UPDATED: 15:15, March 11, 2005
Population in China to realize "zero growth"
China will realize the "zero growth" of population by the year of 2040 and
the population in China till then will be around 1.5 billion with more than
12 percent of total population being senior citizens, said Li Honggui, vice
president of China Population Society and China Family Planning Association,
on Mar. 10.
"Zero growth is a crucial point. Prior to that, the population in China has
always been in a state of positive growth. However, when achieving that
stage, the population will be in a static state, around 1.5 billion. And
after that, the population will gradually decrease," added Li. The
population growth rate in China last year stood at 5.87 per mille, which
meant a net increase of population of more than 7 million.
Meanwhile, Li also pointed out that when the population in China approaches
zero growth, to be exactly, around 2040, the age structure of population in
China will also experience dramatic changes. The percentage of people who
are above 65-year-old against total population will rise to 12 percent from
the current 7.6 percent. Whereas the percentage of productive age population
will decrease sharply.
"In view of this situation, China will make major adjustments to the
national population policy before 2040. When the objective of zero growth is
achieved, China's population policy will shift to the prevention of sharp
population drop from its former direction. However, in light of the rapid
economic development and the change of people's idea on child-bearing, it is
impossible for population in China to increase further," noted Li.
Meanwhile, Li also said that along with the drop of total population in
China, the percentage of aging population would climb to its peak of 20
percent when China realizes the objective of zero growth, i.e. one aged
among every five people.
"China will not change its family planning policy in a short time because it
is a key measure to stabilize the current low birth rate," confirmed Li.
China's population reached 1.3 billion on Jan. 6, 2005. Currently, certain
provinces and municipalities in China have formulated relevant policies
allowing the couples, who are both from single-child families, to have the
second child.
By People's Daily Online
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