[cryptome] Voters back independence referendum if nationalists win two thirds of Holyrood seats

  • From: douglasrankine <douglasrankine@xxxxxxxxxxx>
  • To: Cryptome FL <cryptome@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • Date: Sun, 11 Apr 2021 12:21:00 +0100

see url: https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/voters-back-independence-referendum-if-nationalists-win-two-thirds-of-holyrood-seats-2sdql3rfq

see full report...

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More voters than not believe a pro-independence “supermajority” at the Holyrood elections would justify a new referendum.

A Panelbase poll for The Sunday Times found that, when “don’t knows” were excluded, 55 per cent of those surveyed agreed that a second vote would be merited if a two-thirds majority was secured on May 6 by the SNP, Greens and Alex Salmond’s Alba Party.

The parties would have to win at least 86 of the 129 available seats but even then, 45 per cent of voters disagreed that it would justify a second referendum.

Salmond has said that independence negotiations with Boris Johnson, the prime minister, should begin on the first day of the new parliamentary term if a supermajority — defined in the 2016 Scotland Act as two thirds of MSPs in the Scottish parliament — is achieved.

Nicola Sturgeon said it was time to “knock on the head the requirement for a supermajority” for a referendum and that only a “simple majority” for a poll was required. She has ruled out any kind of deal with Salmond.

The Panelbase poll of 1,009 voters suggested a 50-50 split over whether or not demands for a second referendum would be justified if the SNP achieved an absolute majority. This would require Sturgeon’s party to win at least 65 seats.

As revealed by this newspaper last week, the Panelbase poll indicated that the SNP, Greens and Alba combined could win 79 seats. Other polls have suggested that their gains could be higher.

On the question of whether Holyrood would be justified in declaring independence without a referendum and beginning negotiations to leave the UK if there was a supermajority, fewer than half of Scots (44 per cent) agreed with Salmond. Excluding don’t knows, 56 per cent said they would be opposed to doing so, and that number dropped to 36 per cent if don’t knows are included.

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