----- Forwarded Message -----From: Yuji Tamura <ernad@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>To:
"nep-mig@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx" <nep-mig@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>Sent: Sunday, June 11, 2017,
11:42:39 PM GMT-5Subject: [nep-mig] 2017-06-11, 11 papers
|
| nep-mig | New EconomicsPapers |
| on Economics of Human Migration |
| Issue of 2017‒06‒11
eleven papers chosen by
Yuji Tamura
La Trobe University
http://econpapers.repec.org/pta90
| |
- Beggar-Thy-Neighbour Tax Cuts:Mobility after a Local Income and Wealth Tax
Reform inSwitzerlandMARTINEZ Isabel
- Influx of refugees: Integration asa key challengeAndritzky, Jochen; Aretz,
Bodo; Christofzik,Désirée I.; Schmidt, Christoph M.
- The Local Environment ShapesRefugee Integration: Evidence from Post-war
GermanySebastianTill Braun; Nadja Dwenger
- Foreign Aid and responsiveness ofbilateral refugee inflowsMarina Murat
- The Labor Market Effects ofRefugee Waves: Reconciling Conflicting
ResultsClemens, MichaelA.; Hunt, Jennifer
- Less Welfare or Fewer Foreigners?Immigrant Inflows and Public Opinion
towards Redistribution and MigrationPolicyMurard, Elie
- Migration and Globalization:Challenges and PerspectivesMariana Balan
- Managing the Impact of ClimateChange on Migration: Evidence from
MexicoChort, Isabelle; de laRupelle, Maëlys
- Macroeconomic Determinants ofInternational Migration to the UKForte,
Giuseppe; Portes,Jonathan
- Immigration and the UKEconomyJonathan Wadsworth
- Racial diversity, immigrants andthe well-being of residents: Evidence from
U.S. countiesKuroki,Masanori
- Beggar-Thy-Neighbour Tax Cuts: Mobility after a Local Income and WealthTax
Reform in Switzerland
| Date: | 2017-05 |
| By: | MARTINEZ Isabel |
| This paper analyzes mobility responses to a large,regressive local
income tax cut benefiting thetop 1% in the Swiss Canton of Obwalden in 2006.
DiD estimations comparingObwalden withneighboring cantons confirm that the
reform was successful in increasing theshare of richtaxpayers in the canton
(+20-30%). Using individual tax data, I find a largeelasticity of theinflow of
rich taxpayers with respect to the average net-of-tax rate rangingfrom 3.2 to
6.5. DiDestimates of cantonal revenue, however, show that the tax cuts did not
lead toan increase incantonal tax revenue per capita. This is in line with a
theoretical analysissuggesting Obwaldenwas not on the wrong side of the Laffer
curve before the reform. |
| Keywords: | Mobility; Personalincome tax; Tax competition; Local
taxes; Regressive income tax |
| JEL: | H31 |
| URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:irs:cepswp:2017-08&r=mig ;|
- Influx ofrefugees: Integration as a key challenge
| Date: | 2016 |
| By: | Andritzky, Jochen ; Aretz,Bodo ; Christofzik, Désirée I. ;
Schmidt, Christoph M. |
| In 2015 and 2016, more than one million refugees arrived inGermany.
While granting these migrantsaccess to the country is an expression of
humanitarian responsibility, theirsubsequentintegration into the labor market
is primarily a challenge for economic policy.For a wide rangeof outcomes, from
unemployment to the stability of social security systems,successful
labourmarket integration holds the key to reducing long run costs from the
refugeeinflux. This paperoutlines the implications for the provision of
education and training, as wellas for labourmarket and housing policy. They
comprise a sustained effort to enhance thequalifications andskills of
recognised asylum applicants, reforms geared to incentivisingresidential
construction,and measures to improve labour market flexibility and
(self-)employmentopportunities. |
| URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:zbw:svrwwp:092016&r=mig ;|
- The LocalEnvironment Shapes Refugee Integration: Evidence from
Post-warGermany
| Date: | 2017-05-30 |
| By: | Sebastian Till Braun (University of St Andrews) ; NadjaDwenger
(University of Hohenheim) |
| This paper studies how the local environment in receivingcounties
affected the economic, social,and political integration of the eight million
expellees who arrived in WestGermany after WorldWar II. We first document that
integration outcomes differed dramatically acrossWest Germancounties. We then
show that more industrialized counties and counties with lowexpellee
inflowswere much more successful in integrating expellees than agrarian
counties andcounties with highinflows. Religious differences between native
West Germans and expellees had noeffect on labormarket outcomes, but reduced
inter-marriage rates and increased the localsupport foranti-expellee parties. |
| Keywords: | Expellees; Forcedmigration; Immigration; Integration;
Post-War Germany |
| JEL: | J15 J61 N34 C36 |
| URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:san:wpecon:1711&r=mig ;|
- Foreign Aid andresponsiveness of bilateral refugee inflows
| Date: | 2017-05 |
| By: | Marina Murat |
| This paper tests the effects of Aid from 14 OECD donoreconomies on
bilateral asylum seekerinflows from 113 developing countries during 1993-2013.
Results are that Aidaffects asylum seekerinflows nonlinearly in the pc income
of the origin country, in a ‘U’ shapedfashion, with aturning point at 9,150
pcGDP, PPP2011$. Aid has also cross-donor negativespillovers and
regionaleffects. Overall, deterring effects concern especially Sub Saharan
countries.Moreover, Aid doesnot influence bilateral voluntary migration. Making
Aid transfers conditional onimprovements inpolitical and economic institutions
in recipient countries can strengthen theireffects on asylumseeker inflows. |
| Keywords: | foreign Aid, asylum seekers and refugees, Aidpolicy |
| JEL: | F35 F22 I38 J15 |
| URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mod:recent:130&r=mig ;|
- The Labor MarketEffects of Refugee Waves: Reconciling ConflictingResults
| Date: | 2017-05 |
| By: | Clemens, Michael A. (Center for Global Development) ;
Hunt,Jennifer (Rutgers University) |
| An influential strand of research has tested for the effectsof
immigration on natives' wages andem-ployment using exogenous refugee supply
shocks as natural experiments.Several studies havereached conflicting
conclusions about the effects of noted refugee waves such asthe MarielBoatlift
in Miami and post-Soviet refugees to Israel. We show that conflictingfindings
on theeffects of the Mariel Boatlift can be explained by a sudden change in the
racecomposition of theCurrent Population Survey extracts in 1980, specific to
Miami but unrelated tothe Boatlift. Wealso show that conflicting findings on
the labor-market effects of otherimportant refugee wavescan be produced by
spurious correlation between the instrument and theendogenous
variableintroduced by applying a common divisor to both. As a whole, the
evidence fromrefugee wavesreinforces the existing consensus that the impact of
immigration on averagenative-born workers issmall, and fails to substantiate
claims of large detri-mental impacts on workerswith less thanhigh school. |
| Keywords: | immigration, wages,unemployment, refugee, asylum,
crisis, violence, conflict, labor, integration,mariel boatlift, Miami, Israel,
France, Algeria |
| JEL: | J61 O15 R23 |
| URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:iza:izadps:dp10806&r=mig ;|
- Less Welfare orFewer Foreigners? Immigrant Inflows and Public Opinion
towards Redistributionand Migration Policy
| Date: | 2017-05 |
| By: | Murard, Elie (IZA) |
| I examine the effect of immigrant inflows in Europe onnatives'
individual attitudes towardsredistribu-tion and immigration policy over the
last decade. Unlike previousstudies, I analyzethe evolution over time of these
two types of attitudes in a joint empiricalframework. Usingmigration data at
the NUTS regional level from the European Labor Force Surveyand
individualattitudes data from the European Social Survey, I exploit variation
over timeand across regionsin the size and composition of immigrant inflows. I
address the endogeneity ofimmigrant inflowsby using a shift share instrument
and within-country specification. I findevidence coherent witha theoretical
model in which individual attitudes depend essentially on howimmigration
isperceived to affect wages and net welfare benefits. Specifi-cally, I find
that,when immigrantstend to compete with natives for jobs (due to having
similar skills oroccupations), nativesprefer policies that support welfare and
put restrictions on migration. Whenmi-grants are mostlylow-skilled
(high-skilled), European citizens typically favor lower (higher)levels
ofredistribution. |
| Keywords: | immigration, welfare state, politicaleconomy |
| JEL: | F22 F1 J61 |
| URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:iza:izadps:dp10805&r=mig ;|
- Migration andGlobalization: Challenges and Perspectives
| Date: | 2017-01 |
| By: | Mariana Balan (“Athenaeum†University of Bucharest,
Romaniaand Institute for Economic Forecasting- NIER, Romanian Academy) |
| The globalization of modern world stimulated markedincreases in the
migration to locations bothnear and far supported by several factors either of
economic, social orenvironmental nature or bypolitical instability and the
development of some sophisticated, moderntransport systems andnetworks that
facilitated easier, cheaper and quicker movement of individualsthan in any
othermoment in mankind’s history. Thus, the number of international
migrantsreached 244 million in2015 on increase by 41% as compared with the year
2000. Characteristic for themigrationphenomenon by the end of the 20th century
and the beginning of the thirdmillennium is the changein the structure,
dimension and typology of migration flows, as the workforcedemand regarding
thelabor force market in the countries of destination is addressed especially
tohigh-skilledimmigrants. Even though for most of the times, the volume,
diversity, geographicexpansion, aswell as the general complexity of
international migration are considered as onincrease as effectsof the
globalization processes, still this idea remains for its largest
partunverified. The paperpresents a brief analysis of the main globalization
characteristics ofglobalization and itsimpact on the volume, structure, and
trends of the migration flows. |
| Keywords: | globalization, migration, urbanimmigration, economic and
social effects |
| JEL: | F22 J10 J21 J24 J61 O15 R23 |
| URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:smo:wpaper:3&r=mig ;|
- Managing theImpact of Climate Change on Migration: Evidence fromMexico
| Date: | 2017 |
| By: | Chort, Isabelle ; de la Rupelle, Maëlys |
| This paper uses state-level migration ow data between Mexicoand the
U.S. from 1999 to 2011 toinvestigate the migration response to climate shocks
and the mitigating impactof an agriculturalcash-transfer program (PROCAMPO) and
a disaster fund (Fonden). Our resultssuggest that lower thanaverage
precipitations increase undocumented migration, especially from the
mostagriculturalstates. Fonden amounts are found to mitigate the effect of
climate shocks onmigration by loweringthe undocumented migration response to
precipitation anomalies. Similarly anincrease in thestate-level share of
PROCAMPO funds to non-irrigated plots in the ejido sectordecreases
migrationafter a shock. |
| Keywords: | International migration,Climate
change,Publicpolicies,Weather variability,Natural
disasters,Mexico-U.S.migration |
| JEL: | F22 Q54 Q18 J61 |
| URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:zbw:glodps:78&r=mig ;|
- MacroeconomicDeterminants of International Migration to the UK
| Date: | 2017-05 |
| By: | Forte, Giuseppe (King's College London) ; Portes, Jonathan
(King's College London) |
| This paper examines the determinants of long-terminternational
migration to the UK; we explorethe extent to which migration is driven by
macroeconomic variables (GDP percapita, unemploymentrate) as well as law and
policy (the existence of "free movement" rights for EEAnationals). Wefind a
very large impact from free movement within the EEA. We also find
thatmacroeconomicvariables – UK GDP growth and GDP at origin – are significant
drivers ofmigration flows; evidencefor the impact of the unemployment rate in
countries of origin, or of theexchange rate, however,is weak. We conclude that,
while future migration flows will be driven by anumber of factors,macroeconomic
and otherwise, Brexit and the end of free movement will result ina large fall
inimmigration from EEA countries to the UK. |
| Keywords: | Brexit, EU, immigration, UK |
| JEL: | F22 J61 J68 |
| URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:iza:izadps:dp10802&r=mig ;|
- Immigration andthe UK Economy
| Date: | 2017-05 |
| By: | Jonathan Wadsworth |
| Immigration to the UK has grown a lot over the last 20 yearsand a
significant fraction of thisgrowth has been from other EU countries, especially
after 2004 and the accessionof the eight EastEuropean countries ('A8'). There
are now around 9 million individuals (and 7.4million adults ofworking age)
living in the UK who were born abroad. The number of immigrantsfrom EU
countriesliving in the UK has tripled from 0.9 million to 3.3 million over this
period.In the 2016referendum debate, a major argument of the Leave campaign was
that Brexit wouldallow more controlover the flow of immigrants to the UK from
the EU. Many people continue to beconcerned that highlevels of immigration have
hurt their jobs, wages and quality of life. Higherimmigration hasincreased
overall national income (more workers will generate more GDP) andbenefited
theimmigrants who have come to the UK since, by and large, they are better off
thanin their countryof origin. But has it been harmful to people born in the
UK? |
| Keywords: | immigration, EU countries, economy,Brexit |
| URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:cep:cepeap:039&r=mig ;|
- Racial diversity,immigrants and the well-being of residents: Evidence from
U.S.counties
| Date: | 2017 |
| By: | Kuroki, Masanori |
| This paper presents empirical evidence that racial diversityand
immigrant population at the locallevel tend to be associated with lower life
satisfaction for Whites by matchingindividual datawith the county-level
population data during the period 2005-2010. Themagnitudes I find suggestthat a
ten percentage-point increase in the share of the non-White
population(approximatelyone-half of a standard deviation) is associated with
0.006 and 0.007 pointsreduction in lifesatisfaction on a four-point scale for
White men and White women, respectively.For White men,this effect appears to be
driven by the percentage of the population that isBlack. I also findthat a ten
percentage-point increase in the percentage of the immigrantpopulation
(approximatelytwo standard deviations) is associated with 0.009 and 0.021
points reduction inlife satisfactionfor White men and White women,
respectively. The percentage of the non-Whitepopulation seems toreduce older
Whites’ life satisfaction more than that of younger Whites.Though the scale of
thefindings relating to the impact of local racial compositions and
immigrantpopulation isrelatively modest, the findings may pose a challenge in
the coming years as thepercentage of thepopulation that is non-White rises in
the United States. |
| Keywords: | lifesatisfaction,happiness,well-being,racial,immigration
|
| JEL: | J15I31 |
| URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:zbw:glodps:76&r=mig ;|
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ââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââ
Issue of 2017â06â11 â
eleven papers chosen by â
Yuji Tamura (La Trobe â
University) â
â
â
http://ep.repec.org/pta90 â
âââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââ
ââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââ
1. Beggar-Thy-Neighbour Tax Cuts: Mobility after a Local Income and Wealth
Tax Reform in Switzerland
MARTINEZ Isabel
2. Influx of refugees: Integration as a key challenge
Andritzky, Jochen; Aretz, Bodo; Christofzik, Désirée I.; Schmidt,
Christoph M.
3. The Local Environment Shapes Refugee Integration: Evidence from Post-war
Germany
Sebastian Till Braun; Nadja Dwenger
4. Foreign Aid and responsiveness of bilateral refugee inflows
Marina Murat
5. The Labor Market Effects of Refugee Waves: Reconciling Conflicting Results
Clemens, Michael A.; Hunt, Jennifer
6. Less Welfare or Fewer Foreigners? Immigrant Inflows and Public Opinion
towards Redistribution and Migration Policy
Murard, Elie
7. Migration and Globalization: Challenges and Perspectives
Mariana Balan
8. Managing the Impact of Climate Change on Migration: Evidence from Mexico
Chort, Isabelle; de la Rupelle, Maëlys
9. Macroeconomic Determinants of International Migration to the UK
Forte, Giuseppe; Portes, Jonathan
10. Immigration and the UK Economy
Jonathan Wadsworth
11. Racial diversity, immigrants and the well-being of residents: Evidence
from U.S. counties
Kuroki, Masanori
ââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââââ
1. Beggar-Thy-Neighbour Tax Cuts: Mobility after a Local Income and Wealth
Tax Reform in Switzerland
MARTINEZ Isabel
This paper analyzes mobility responses to a large, regressive local income
tax cut benefiting the top 1% in the Swiss Canton of Obwalden in 2006. DiD
estimations comparing Obwalden with neighboring cantons confirm that the
reform was successful in increasing the share of rich taxpayers in the canton
(+20-30%). Using individual tax data, I find a large elasticity of the inflow
of rich taxpayers with respect to the average net-of-tax rate ranging from
3.2 to 6.5. DiD estimates of cantonal revenue, however, show that the tax
cuts did not lead to an increase in cantonal tax revenue per capita. This is
in line with a theoretical analysis suggesting Obwalden was not on the wrong
side of the Laffer curve before the reform.
Keywords: Mobility; Personal income tax; Tax competition; Local taxes;
Regressive income tax
JEL: H31
URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:irs:cepswp:2017-08&r=mig
2. Influx of refugees: Integration as a key challenge
Andritzky, Jochen
Aretz, Bodo
Christofzik, Désirée I.
Schmidt, Christoph M.
In 2015 and 2016, more than one million refugees arrived in Germany. While
granting these migrants access to the country is an expression of
humanitarian responsibility, their subsequent integration into the labor
market is primarily a challenge for economic policy. For a wide range of
outcomes, from unemployment to the stability of social security systems,
successful labour market integration holds the key to reducing long run costs
from the refugee influx. This paper outlines the implications for the
provision of education and training, as well as for labour market and housing
policy. They comprise a sustained effort to enhance the qualifications and
skills of recognised asylum applicants, reforms geared to incentivising
residential construction, and measures to improve labour market flexibility
and (self-)employment opportunities.
URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:zbw:svrwwp:092016&r=mig
3. The Local Environment Shapes Refugee Integration: Evidence from Post-war
Germany
Sebastian Till Braun (University of St Andrews)
Nadja Dwenger (University of Hohenheim)
This paper studies how the local environment in receiving counties affected
the economic, social, and political integration of the eight million
expellees who arrived in West Germany after World War II. We first document
that integration outcomes differed dramatically across West German counties.
We then show that more industrialized counties and counties with low expellee
inflows were much more successful in integrating expellees than agrarian
counties and counties with high inflows. Religious differences between native
West Germans and expellees had no effect on labor market outcomes, but
reduced inter-marriage rates and increased the local support for
anti-expellee parties.
Keywords: Expellees; Forced migration; Immigration; Integration; Post-War
Germany
JEL: J15 J61 N34 C36
URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:san:wpecon:1711&r=mig
4. Foreign Aid and responsiveness of bilateral refugee inflows
Marina Murat
This paper tests the effects of Aid from 14 OECD donor economies on bilateral
asylum seeker inflows from 113 developing countries during 1993-2013. Results
are that Aid affects asylum seeker inflows nonlinearly in the pc income of
the origin country, in a âUâ shaped fashion, with a turning point at 9,150
pcGDP, PPP2011$. Aid has also cross-donor negative spillovers and regional
effects. Overall, deterring effects concern especially Sub Saharan countries.
Moreover, Aid does not influence bilateral voluntary migration. Making Aid
transfers conditional on improvements in political and economic institutions
in recipient countries can strengthen their effects on asylum seeker inflows.
Keywords: foreign Aid, asylum seekers and refugees, Aid policy
JEL: F35 F22 I38 J15
URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mod:recent:130&r=mig
5. The Labor Market Effects of Refugee Waves: Reconciling Conflicting Results
Clemens, Michael A. (Center for Global Development)
Hunt, Jennifer (Rutgers University)
An influential strand of research has tested for the effects of immigration
on natives' wages and em-ployment using exogenous refugee supply shocks as
natural experiments. Several studies have reached conflicting conclusions
about the effects of noted refugee waves such as the Mariel Boatlift in Miami
and post-Soviet refugees to Israel. We show that conflicting findings on the
effects of the Mariel Boatlift can be explained by a sudden change in the
race composition of the Current Population Survey extracts in 1980, specific
to Miami but unrelated to the Boatlift. We also show that conflicting
findings on the labor-market effects of other important refugee waves can be
produced by spurious correlation between the instrument and the endogenous
variable introduced by applying a common divisor to both. As a whole, the
evidence from refugee waves reinforces the existing consensus that the impact
of immigration on average native-born workers is small, and fails to
substantiate claims of large detri-mental impacts on workers with less than
high school.
Keywords: immigration, wages, unemployment, refugee, asylum, crisis,
violence, conflict, labor, integration, mariel boatlift, Miami, Israel,
France, Algeria
JEL: J61 O15 R23
URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:iza:izadps:dp10806&r=mig
6. Less Welfare or Fewer Foreigners? Immigrant Inflows and Public Opinion
towards Redistribution and Migration Policy
Murard, Elie (IZA)
I examine the effect of immigrant inflows in Europe on natives' individual
attitudes towards redistribu-tion and immigration policy over the last
decade. Unlike previous studies, I analyze the evolution over time of these
two types of attitudes in a joint empirical framework. Using migration data
at the NUTS regional level from the European Labor Force Survey and
individual attitudes data from the European Social Survey, I exploit
variation over time and across regions in the size and composition of
immigrant inflows. I address the endogeneity of immigrant inflows by using a
shift share instrument and within-country specification. I find evidence
coherent with a theoretical model in which individual attitudes depend
essentially on how immigration is perceived to affect wages and net welfare
benefits. Specifi-cally, I find that, when immigrants tend to compete with
natives for jobs (due to having similar skills or occupations), natives
prefer policies that support welfare and put restrictions on migration. When
mi-grants are mostly low-skilled (high-skilled), European citizens typically
favor lower (higher) levels of redistribution.
Keywords: immigration, welfare state, political economy
JEL: F22 F1 J61
URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:iza:izadps:dp10805&r=mig
7. Migration and Globalization: Challenges and Perspectives
Mariana Balan (ââ¬ÅAthenaeumâ⬠University of Bucharest, Romania and
Institute for Economic Forecasting- NIER, Romanian Academy)
The globalization of modern world stimulated marked increases in the
migration to locations both near and far supported by several factors either
of economic, social or environmental nature or by political instability and
the development of some sophisticated, modern transport systems and networks
that facilitated easier, cheaper and quicker movement of individuals than in
any other moment in mankindââ¬â¢s history. Thus, the number of
international
migrants reached 244 million in 2015 on increase by 41% as compared with the
year 2000. Characteristic for the migration phenomenon by the end of the 20th
century and the beginning of the third millennium is the change in the
structure, dimension and typology of migration flows, as the workforce demand
regarding the labor force market in the countries of destination is addressed
especially to high-skilled immigrants. Even though for most of the times, the
volume, diversity, geographic expansion, as well as the general complexity of
international migration are considered as on increase as effects of the
globalization processes, still this idea remains for its largest part
unverified. The paper presents a brief analysis of the main globalization
characteristics of globalization and its impact on the volume, structure, and
trends of the migration flows.
Keywords: globalization, migration, urban immigration, economic and social
effects
JEL: F22 J10 J21 J24 J61 O15 R23
URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:smo:wpaper:3&r=mig
8. Managing the Impact of Climate Change on Migration: Evidence from Mexico
Chort, Isabelle
de la Rupelle, Maëlys
This paper uses state-level migration ow data between Mexico and the U.S.
from 1999 to 2011 to investigate the migration response to climate shocks and
the mitigating impact of an agricultural cash-transfer program (PROCAMPO) and
a disaster fund (Fonden). Our results suggest that lower than average
precipitations increase undocumented migration, especially from the most
agricultural states. Fonden amounts are found to mitigate the effect of
climate shocks on migration by lowering the undocumented migration response
to precipitation anomalies. Similarly an increase in the state-level share of
PROCAMPO funds to non-irrigated plots in the ejido sector decreases migration
after a shock.
Keywords: International migration,Climate change,Public policies,Weather
variability,Natural disasters,Mexico-U.S. migration
JEL: F22 Q54 Q18 J61
URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:zbw:glodps:78&r=mig
9. Macroeconomic Determinants of International Migration to the UK
Forte, Giuseppe (King's College London)
Portes, Jonathan (King's College London)
This paper examines the determinants of long-term international migration to
the UK; we explore the extent to which migration is driven by macroeconomic
variables (GDP per capita, unemployment rate) as well as law and policy (the
existence of "free movement" rights for EEA nationals). We find a very large
impact from free movement within the EEA. We also find that macroeconomic
variables â UK GDP growth and GDP at origin â are significant drivers of
migration flows; evidence for the impact of the unemployment rate in
countries of origin, or of the exchange rate, however, is weak. We conclude
that, while future migration flows will be driven by a number of factors,
macroeconomic and otherwise, Brexit and the end of free movement will result
in a large fall in immigration from EEA countries to the UK.
Keywords: Brexit, EU, immigration, UK
JEL: F22 J61 J68
URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:iza:izadps:dp10802&r=mig
10. Immigration and the UK Economy
Jonathan Wadsworth
Immigration to the UK has grown a lot over the last 20 years and a
significant fraction of this growth has been from other EU countries,
especially after 2004 and the accession of the eight East European countries
('A8'). There are now around 9 million individuals (and 7.4 million adults of
working age) living in the UK who were born abroad. The number of immigrants
from EU countries living in the UK has tripled from 0.9 million to 3.3
million over this period. In the 2016 referendum debate, a major argument of
the Leave campaign was that Brexit would allow more control over the flow of
immigrants to the UK from the EU. Many people continue to be concerned that
high levels of immigration have hurt their jobs, wages and quality of life.
Higher immigration has increased overall national income (more workers will
generate more GDP) and benefited the immigrants who have come to the UK
since, by and large, they are better off than in their country of origin. But
has it been harmful to people born in the UK?
Keywords: immigration, EU countries, economy, Brexit
URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:cep:cepeap:039&r=mig
11. Racial diversity, immigrants and the well-being of residents: Evidence
from U.S. counties
Kuroki, Masanori
This paper presents empirical evidence that racial diversity and immigrant
population at the local level tend to be associated with lower life
satisfaction for Whites by matching individual data with the county-level
population data during the period 2005-2010. The magnitudes I find suggest
that a ten percentage-point increase in the share of the non-White population
(approximately one-half of a standard deviation) is associated with 0.006 and
0.007 points reduction in life satisfaction on a four-point scale for White
men and White women, respectively. For White men, this effect appears to be
driven by the percentage of the population that is Black. I also find that a
ten percentage-point increase in the percentage of the immigrant population
(approximately two standard deviations) is associated with 0.009 and 0.021
points reduction in life satisfaction for White men and White women,
respectively. The percentage of the non-White population seems to reduce
older Whitesâ life satisfaction more than that of younger Whites. Though the
scale of the findings relating to the impact of local racial compositions and
immigrant population is relatively modest, the findings may pose a challenge
in the coming years as the percentage of the population that is non-White
rises in the United States.
Keywords: life satisfaction,happiness,well-being,r
acial,immigration
JEL: J15 I31
URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:zbw:glodps:76&r=mig
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