[AZ-Observing] Re: WARNING--Sentinel Road Closed
- From: Paul Dickson <dickson@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
- To: az-observing@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
- Date: Sat, 9 Feb 2002 04:30:27 -0700
On Fri, 8 Feb 2002 11:20:12 -0700 , jack.jones@xxxxxxxxxxxxx wrote:
> ROTFL to your LOL! Now is it 8 miles or 3 miles in? Conflicting emails!
> I've NEVER been there, and we may prob arrive in early twilight. Also,
> anybody have coords for the GOTOs?
The 3 miles is the difference from where the Leonids were observed from,
for those who used this site then. It's 8 miles from the freeway (exit
45). I suspect those who needed this info are already there. Those
planning on tonight better expect a windy session. See the forecast
discussion below.
The winds had been expected for the past couple of days, they just arrived
later than earlier predictions. So those who went out Friday night might
have had a good might.
-Paul
From http://www.phx.noaa.gov/data/phxafdpsr.html:
FXUS65 KPSR 091011
AFDPSR
AZZ020>028-CAZ030>033-091745-
SOUTHWEST ARIZONA/SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
310 AM MST SAT FEB 9 2002
.SYNOPSIS...
BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR THIS WEEKEND...BEHIND A
COLD FRONT THAT MOVED SOUTH ACROSS SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA AND ARIZONA
LAST NIGHT. THIS COLD FRONT WILL RESULT IN COOLER WEATHER TODAY.
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL CONTINUE DRY WEATHER WITH MOSTLY CLEAR
NIGHTS AND SUNNY DAYS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. IT WILL BE WARMER
SUNDAY...AND ESPECIALLY MONDAY...AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT MOVES
EAST OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND ARIZONA. A PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN SOME CLOUDS WITH TEMPERATURES
DROPPING BACK WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
.DISCUSSION...
FORECAST APPEARS TO BE A DRY ONE FOR OUR AREA THRU THE NEXT 7
DAYS...WITH HIGH PRESSURE TO DOMINATE THROUGH TUESDAY...THEN WEAKEN
AS A WEAK PACIFIC LOW RAPIDLY MOVES ACROSS THE STATE...BRINGING ONLY
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES TO OUR AREA. BIG ISSUE WILL BE WIND...FOR TODAY
THRU SUNDAY. FLOW PATTERN RATHER HI AMPLITUDE ATTM WITH A STRONG
RIDGE DEVELOPING OVER THE WESTERN STATES WHILE A DEEP COLD TROF
SETTLES IN OVER THE CNTRL UNITED STATES. ASSOCD COLD FRONT WITH THE
TROF DIVING SOUTH INTO THE FAR SCNTRL U.S. WITH STRONG NLY/NWLY FLOW
SETTING UP ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE TROF ACRS AZ. ALSO...SHARP RIDGE
INDUCING A STRONG SURFACE HIGH TO DEVELOP TO OUR NORTH...SETTING UP
A STRONG N-S SURFACE GRADIENT WHICH IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN PLACE
OVER AZ NEXT 48 HOURS. ALL THIS ADDS UP TO A WINDY SCENARIO...WITH
THE STRONGEST WINDS LIKELY OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...AND ALONG
THE LOWER CO RIVER. SHOULD BE BREEZY TO WINDY CWA WIDE TODAY THRU
SUNDA...WITH N TO NE WINDS FROM 15 TO 30 MPH...GUSTING TO NEAR 40
MPH AT TIMES. WILL CONTINUE THE WIND ADVISORY FOR JOSHUA TREE NP
ZONE 30 TODAY...EVEN THO WINDS HAVE NOT MET THE CRITERIA SO FAR ON
THIS SHIFT...BUT EXPECT THE WINDS TO PICK UP SHARPLY AS THE MORNING
PROGRESSES. WILL HOLD OFF FOR THE MOMENT AND NOT ISSUE AN ADVY FOR
THE LOWER CO RIVER...BUT WILL KEEP AN EYE ON THINGS...AS BLH HAS
ALREADY HAD N WIND GUSTS TO 34KTS...MAY NEED TO PUT THE ADVY OUT FOR
THAT AREA BEFORE END OF THIS SHIFT. OTHERWISE...AMS VERY DRY AND
GENLY CLEAR SKIES WILL HOLD THRU MONDAY. TEMPS TO BE A HANDFUL OF
DEGREES COOLER TODAY...GIVEN THE COLD ADVECTION TAKING PLACE...BUT
WE SHOULD SEE A BIT OF WARMING SUN...AND MORE WARMING THEN MON AND
TUE WITH DESERT HIGHS TO REACH TO AROUND 80 IN SPOTS BY MON. RIDGE
WEAKENS A BIT TUE...THO AMS STAYS DRY...WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TO
HOLD. WEAK SHORT WAVE ZIPS ACROSS THE STATE MAINLY IN THE THU TIME
FRAME...BRINGING JUST PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES TO OUR AREA ALONG WITH A
BIT OF COOLING. THIS COVERED FINE IN CURRENT EXTENDED...AND WILL
LEAVE THE BROAD BRUSH FORECAST ALONE FOR NOW. 11
.PSR...WIND ADVISORY FOR JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK TODAY.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR THE LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AND
HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA TODAY.
---
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