[AR] Re: The end of Virgin Orbit

  • From: Henry Spencer <hspencer@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • To: Arocket List <arocket@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • Date: Fri, 31 Mar 2023 13:39:15 -0400 (EDT)

On Fri, 31 Mar 2023, John Hare wrote:

There is some speculation that Branson will end up with the assets after bankruptcy with investors getting the short end.    Is it possible that a team could be put together that could operate profitably??

Jordin Kare once called bankruptcy the "neutron mortgage" -- wipes out the investors but leaves the buildings standing. :-)

Aside from the issue Bill mentioned -- a 747 is an expensive pet :-) -- there is the question of how many of the key *people* such a venture would be able to retain/rehire. The assets typically aren't worth much without the people who know how to use them. This is often the big problem with trying to revive a company after a bankruptcy (or keep it going across a pass through Chapter-11 bankruptcy protection).

If Branson wants to try this, he'd better be prepared and ready to move fast. The odds of keeping the crucial people will decline rapidly.

Henry

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