[AR] Re: Da Dread C Word

  • From: Rand Simberg <simberg@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • To: arocket@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
  • Date: Sat, 4 Apr 2020 18:30:48 -0700

I mean the most likely person that I know, not the most likely person in LA...

On 4/4/20 6:26 PM, Rand Simberg wrote:

I don't know anyone with it in LA (most likely candidate would be Lee Valentine of the Space Studies Institute, who is an ER doc), but I haven't heard that he's come down with it yet. But then, I'm pretty anti-social. I'm little more hermit now than I was before this started.

On 4/4/20 5:37 PM, William Claybaugh wrote:
I now know one dead; five infected or recovering.

But to Henry’s point, five of six are friends in NYC, doctors, mostly.

LA seems to be coming up on my personal radar....

Bill

On Sat, Apr 4, 2020 at 6:24 PM Henry Vanderbilt <hvanderbilt@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx <mailto:hvanderbilt@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>> wrote:

    With tested US cases a bit over 300,000 and US population a bit
    over 300M, that's about one in a thousand nationwide.  Even
    doubling that 300K to WAG the number of likely but untested cases
    at this point, one in five hundred is still considerably larger
    than the average person's social circle (150-200 people, per that
    unimpeachable source Wikipedia.)

    Add to that highly uneven geographic distribution - over 1/3rd of
    the US total are in New York State - and I'm not surprised that
    most of us don't know anyone with it yet.  Long may it stay that way.


    Henry

    On 4/4/2020 4:43 PM, Jonathan Goff wrote:
    I just found out a good friend of mine from church likely has it
    (based on being exposed to someone who tested positive shortly
    after visiting him, and him having a lot of the symptoms).

    ~Jon

    On Sat, Apr 4, 2020 at 12:05 PM Henry Vanderbilt
    <hvanderbilt@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx <mailto:hvanderbilt@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>>
    wrote:

        On 3/25/2020 10:08 AM, JOHN KRAIESKI (Redacted sender
        jkraieski for
        DMARC) wrote:
        > Just curious but does anyone know a person that has the
        Coronavirus?

        One strong probable, by symptoms and circumstances, never
        hit the (very
        steep) local test threshold, largely now resolved.

        Can't say I personally know of anyone else. Haven't been
        getting out much.

        Was mostly ignoring the extended Dread C-Word discussion, as
        it was
        revisiting what I'd already thoroughly been through in
        February in
        another venue replete with sometimes-overhasty smart people.

        And, I thought it was too quiet.  I apparently got
        unsubscribed from the
        list, midmorning of 3/27.  Hadn't sent anything in three
        days and got no
        notice, so it was unlikely an intentional correction. Very odd.
        Rejoined no problems yesterday.  So, I'm baaa-ack!  Miss me?

        Probably not.  Essential?  The graveyards are full of
        essential men! :-D

        Henry






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