[AZ-Observing] Re: Dry winter ahead
- From: "messier" <messier@xxxxxxxxxxxx>
- To: <az-observing@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Sun, 30 Sep 2007 20:35:41 -0700
Funny the you should post this tonight. The Phoenix area has a 60% chance of
rain tomorrow night.
Frank
> -----Original Message-----
> From: az-observing-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
> [mailto:az-observing-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf Of Steve Coe
> Sent: Sunday, September 30, 2007 19:33
> To: az-observing@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
> Subject: [AZ-Observing] Re: Dry winter ahead
>
>
> Brian, et al;
>
> One of the folks on the Cloudy Nights website was answering
> the question "What music goes with observing?" and answered:
>
> "Singin' in the Rain", "Rhythm of the Falling Rain",
> "Raindrops Keep = Fallin' on My Head", "Blue Eyes Crying in
> the Rain", "Early Mornin' Rain", "One Rainy Wish", "Rainy
> Day, Dream Away", "The Sky is Crying", "Somewhere = over the
> Rainbow", "Have You Ever Seen the Rain?", "Here Comes the
> Rain = Again", "Stormy Monday", "I Can't Stand the Rain",
> "Let it Rain", "Who'll Stop = the Rain", "Smokestack
> Lightning", "Rider in the Rain", "Riders on the = Storm",
> "Still Raining, Still Dreaming", and "Here Comes That Rainy
> Day = Feeling".
>
> I am hoping that your information about the forecast for this
> winter = will be correct and we can get out and enjoy some
> clear Arizona skies.
>
> Here's hoping;
> Steve Coe
>
>
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: az-observing-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
> [mailto:az-observing-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf Of Brian Skiff
> Sent: Friday, September 21, 2007 6:38 PM
> To: az-observing@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
> Subject: [AZ-Observing] Dry winter ahead
>
> The climatological forecasts issued by the NWS this week
> indicate a dry winter for the Southwest US. This is mainly
> due to developing La Nina conditions in the Pacific. The
> generic maps, which are run out 14 months in advance, are here:
>
> http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/t
wo_class.ht=
ml
(click on individual maps for details)
.....and the associated yak-yak, mainly dealing with sea surface temperatures,
is here:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/fxus05.html
The temperature maps are losing usefulness since they are scaled=20 to the
1971-2000 averages---and the warming is happening fast
enough now that there is practically no such thing as below average
temperatures in the climatological sense. (Good thing they're
not using the entire 1890-2000 dataset as the reference.)
\Brian
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