God and the Devil are both in the details. Eric
From Friday's NYT:
[On
Politics]<https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/vg9Du4tWgSjm_YCiylQfJw~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRiQOyoP0TOaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vc2VjdGlvbi9wb2xpdGljcz9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NiZlbWM9ZWRpdF9jbl8yMDIxMDMyNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0yODU0OCZubD1vbi1wb2xpdGljcy13aXRoLWxpc2EtbGVyZXImcmVnaV9pZD0xMTkxMzQ1OTMmc2VnbWVudF9pZD01NDMxMSZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9NTE5ZGQ2ZTQ3N2I2MWRiMDFiNmMwNzZkN2M1N2U3NTZXA255dEIKYFioZ15g1RxEJlIWZXJpY3BydXNzZWxsQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~>
March 26, 2021
[Author
Headshot]<https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/YY2Bl3weKeBbETBfb8SrSw~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRiQOyoP0TUaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vYnkvZ2lvdmFubmktcnVzc29uZWxsbz9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NiZlbWM9ZWRpdF9jbl8yMDIxMDMyNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0yODU0OCZubD1vbi1wb2xpdGljcy13aXRoLWxpc2EtbGVyZXImcmVnaV9pZD0xMTkxMzQ1OTMmc2VnbWVudF9pZD01NDMxMSZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9NTE5ZGQ2ZTQ3N2I2MWRiMDFiNmMwNzZkN2M1N2U3NTZXA255dEIKYFioZ15g1RxEJlIWZXJpY3BydXNzZWxsQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~>
By Giovanni
Russonello<https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/YY2Bl3weKeBbETBfb8SrSw~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRiQOyoP0TUaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vYnkvZ2lvdmFubmktcnVzc29uZWxsbz9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NiZlbWM9ZWRpdF9jbl8yMDIxMDMyNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0yODU0OCZubD1vbi1wb2xpdGljcy13aXRoLWxpc2EtbGVyZXImcmVnaV9pZD0xMTkxMzQ1OTMmc2VnbWVudF9pZD01NDMxMSZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9NTE5ZGQ2ZTQ3N2I2MWRiMDFiNmMwNzZkN2M1N2U3NTZXA255dEIKYFioZ15g1RxEJlIWZXJpY3BydXNzZWxsQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~>
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Jim Wilson/The New York Times
Editor’s note: Lisa Lerer is off this weekend, so you won’t be receiving your
regularly scheduled Saturday newsletter. She’ll be back next week.
For Democratic officials aiming at higher office, California’s top political
jobs have appeared to be the perfect launchpad.
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This year, Kamala Harris went from representing the Golden State in the Senate
to becoming the vice president. Alex Padilla, California’s secretary of state,
was appointed to take Harris’s old job. And Xavier Becerra left his post as the
state’s attorney general to become President Biden’s secretary of health and
human services — always a big job, but especially so for an administration
focused on confronting the coronavirus pandemic and strengthening the
Affordable Care Act.
But there’s one big exception to this trend, and it’s at the very top of the
state government. Gov. Gavin Newsom, 53, who less than a year ago appeared to
have one of the brightest futures of any Democratic politician in the country,
is fighting just to keep his job, amid a largely Republican-led recall
effort<https://nl.nytimes.com/f/newsletter/Fx2P85HtaYu-u7ZaeiT1fg~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRiQOyoP0TsaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMS8wMi8yMy91cy9jYS1nb3Zlcm5vci1yZWNhbGwtZWxlY3Rpb24uaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NiZlbWM9ZWRpdF9jbl8yMDIxMDMyNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0yODU0OCZubD1vbi1wb2xpdGljcy13aXRoLWxpc2EtbGVyZXImcmVnaV9pZD0xMTkxMzQ1OTMmc2VnbWVudF9pZD01NDMxMSZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9NTE5ZGQ2ZTQ3N2I2MWRiMDFiNmMwNzZkN2M1N2U3NTZXA255dEIKYFioZ15g1RxEJlIWZXJpY3BydXNzZWxsQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~>
that has already submitted more than two million signatures.
If roughly 1.5 million of those signatures are found to be valid, the state
will move ahead with a vote to recall the governor and replace him. Already,
about half a dozen candidates have filed to run in the event of a recall
election.
One way to gauge the threat level: Speaker Nancy Pelosi spoke out yesterday in
an attempt to pull the Democratic Party together around Newsom. She told
reporters that the recall effort was “an unnecessary notion,” adding, “I don’t
think it even rises to the level of an idea.”
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But the public has another notion. A poll released this
week<https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/10GIvleV57hZXhdbIR4FUQ~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRiQOyoP0TmaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cucHJvYm9sc2t5cmVzZWFyY2guY29tLzIwMjEvMDMvMjMvbmV3c29tLXJlY2FsbC1wb2xsLz9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NiZlbWM9ZWRpdF9jbl8yMDIxMDMyNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0yODU0OCZubD1vbi1wb2xpdGljcy13aXRoLWxpc2EtbGVyZXImcmVnaV9pZD0xMTkxMzQ1OTMmc2VnbWVudF9pZD01NDMxMSZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9NTE5ZGQ2ZTQ3N2I2MWRiMDFiNmMwNzZkN2M1N2U3NTZXA255dEIKYFioZ15g1RxEJlIWZXJpY3BydXNzZWxsQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~>
by the nonpartisan firm Probolsky Research found that California voters were
split on whether to recall Newsom. Forty percent supported recalling him, while
46 percent were opposed. That’s not overwhelming support — but it’s a clear
sign that Newsom is in choppy waters, and would need to work hard to head off a
recall if a vote does get scheduled.
How did Newsom, who was among the United States’ most popular
governors<https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/ncmoOPEGWYXX9SERjYZhMQ~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRiQOyoP4QXAWh0dHBzOi8vZml2ZXRoaXJ0eWVpZ2h0LmNvbS9mZWF0dXJlcy9tb3N0LWFtZXJpY2Fucy1saWtlLWhvdy10aGVpci1nb3Zlcm5vci1pcy1oYW5kbGluZy10aGUtY29yb25hdmlydXMtb3V0YnJlYWsvP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTU2JmVtYz1lZGl0X2NuXzIwMjEwMzI2Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTI4NTQ4Jm5sPW9uLXBvbGl0aWNzLXdpdGgtbGlzYS1sZXJlciZyZWdpX2lkPTExOTEzNDU5MyZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTU0MzExJnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD01MTlkZDZlNDc3YjYxZGIwMWI2YzA3NmQ3YzU3ZTc1NlcDbnl0QgpgWKhnXmDVHEQmUhZlcmljcHJ1c3NlbGxAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA>
in the early months of the pandemic, wind up here?
He benefited last spring from his proactive response to the pandemic,
positioning himself as a foil to President Donald Trump and instituting a
complex, regionally specific set of lockdown restrictions aimed at controlling
the virus. Some polls at the time showed him receiving positive marks from more
than four in five voters in the heavily Democratic state.
But he has been buffeted by
frustration<https://nl.nytimes.com/f/newsletter/p7y-0qm7dLL0OrVZDJ-8lA~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRiQOyoP0TeaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMS8wMi8yNC91cy9uZXdzb20tcmVjYWxsLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9NTYmZW1jPWVkaXRfY25fMjAyMTAzMjYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9Mjg1NDgmbmw9b24tcG9saXRpY3Mtd2l0aC1saXNhLWxlcmVyJnJlZ2lfaWQ9MTE5MTM0NTkzJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9NTQzMTEmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPTUxOWRkNmU0NzdiNjFkYjAxYjZjMDc2ZDdjNTdlNzU2VwNueXRCCmBYqGdeYNUcRCZSFmVyaWNwcnVzc2VsbEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~>
over those complex regulations, which have left many Californians confused and
restless, and by the grief that came after wildfires ravaged the state this
past summer. And for many voters, his personal behavior has reeked of political
privilege: In November, he attended a high-priced indoor birthday party for a
lobbyist friend, and it was reported that he was sending his children to
in-person private school while the state’s public schools remained online-only.
As a result, many voters’ frustration tipped
over<https://nl.nytimes.com/f/newsletter/6y7R7RqDaq1BPGm0iDJMuA~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRiQOyoP0T3aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMC8xMS8xOC91cy9uZXdzb20tY2FsaWZvcm5pYS1jb3ZpZC1mcmVuY2gtbGF1bmRyeS5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTU2JmVtYz1lZGl0X2NuXzIwMjEwMzI2Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTI4NTQ4Jm5sPW9uLXBvbGl0aWNzLXdpdGgtbGlzYS1sZXJlciZyZWdpX2lkPTExOTEzNDU5MyZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTU0MzExJnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD01MTlkZDZlNDc3YjYxZGIwMWI2YzA3NmQ3YzU3ZTc1NlcDbnl0QgpgWKhnXmDVHEQmUhZlcmljcHJ1c3NlbGxAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA>
into outrage. By last month, his approval rating had fallen
below<https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/KZ4QFvUetwwAB7p_0bk6OQ~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRiQOyoP4QVAWh0dHBzOi8vd3d3LnBvbGl0aWNvLmNvbS9zdGF0ZXMvY2FsaWZvcm5pYS9zdG9yeS8yMDIxLzAyLzAyL25ld3NvbS1hcHByb3ZhbC1yYXRlLXBsdW1tZXRzLWluLWNhbGlmb3JuaWEtMTM2MTU2Mj9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NiZlbWM9ZWRpdF9jbl8yMDIxMDMyNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0yODU0OCZubD1vbi1wb2xpdGljcy13aXRoLWxpc2EtbGVyZXImcmVnaV9pZD0xMTkxMzQ1OTMmc2VnbWVudF9pZD01NDMxMSZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9NTE5ZGQ2ZTQ3N2I2MWRiMDFiNmMwNzZkN2M1N2U3NTZXA255dEIKYFioZ15g1RxEJlIWZXJpY3BydXNzZWxsQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~>
50 percent.
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There’s still time for a lot to change: If the organizers of the recall effort
reach the signature threshold, the vote to recall Newsom and to choose his
successor — both would be done on a single ballot — probably wouldn’t occur
until near the end of the year.
That recall effort is being led by Orrin Heatlie, a conservative and a former
sergeant in the Yolo County Sheriff’s Department, who as recently as last year
shared anti-vaccination and anti-L.G.B.T.Q. views online. But the endeavor has
the backing of a number of deep-pocketed political action committees, most of
them right-leaning.
Randy Economy, a political consultant and former talk-radio host, serves as the
lead adviser to Recall Gavin Newsom, the group organizing the effort. He said
the governor’s behavior and demeanor had made the recall necessary. “It’s
because of Gavin Newsom himself, and the way he conducts himself every day
since he’s become governor,” Economy said in an interview. “It’s all been more
about his image and self-aggrandizing, as opposed to fixing the problems.”
Newsom’s approval rating isn’t nearly as low as Gov. Gray Davis’s was in 2003,
when voters ousted him in a recall. Arnold Schwarzenegger, running as a
moderate Republican, was the beneficiary of that effort, winning the recall
election and going on to serve as governor for more than seven years.
California politics are different — and decidedly more Democratic — than they
were 18 years ago. Democrats now have a 2-to-1 advantage in terms of voter
registration across the state. Just because there is a Republican-led effort
does not mean that a Republican will be the one to ultimately benefit. Economy,
who volunteered in 2016 for Trump’s presidential campaign but has also worked
for Democrats in the past, insisted that his team’s goal was not partisan in
nature.
“Our job is not to pick the next governor; our job is to make sure that this
governor’s recalled and removed from office,” he said.
The state is light on prominent (let alone popular) G.O.P. politicians, and
some ambitious Democrats already appear ready to run through the open door. All
of which points to a possible irony: Even if it were to become only the second
successful recall effort in California history, the push — led by conservative
interests — could ultimately lift up another Democrat, possibly one to the
left of Newsom.
Tom Steyer, a billionaire who ran for the Democratic presidential nomination
last year, has conducted his own polling to gauge whether Californians might
support him in an election if Newsom were recalled, Politico
reported<https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/wmGsxM3VPauM8SWRlViyig~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRiQOyoP0T2aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cucG9saXRpY28uY29tL25ld3MvMjAyMS8wMy8yMy9zdGV5ZXItbmV3c29tLXJlY2FsbC1hbHRlcm5hdGl2ZS00Nzc3MzU_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9NTYmZW1jPWVkaXRfY25fMjAyMTAzMjYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9Mjg1NDgmbmw9b24tcG9saXRpY3Mtd2l0aC1saXNhLWxlcmVyJnJlZ2lfaWQ9MTE5MTM0NTkzJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9NTQzMTEmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPTUxOWRkNmU0NzdiNjFkYjAxYjZjMDc2ZDdjNTdlNzU2VwNueXRCCmBYqGdeYNUcRCZSFmVyaWNwcnVzc2VsbEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~>
this week. And Antonio Villaraigosa, a former mayor of Los Angeles, recently
called for California schools to reopen immediately in a rejection of Newsom’s
more cautious approach. The governor’s team appeared to regard the news as a
declaration of hostilities.
In reply to a Twitter post last week by our reporter Shane
Goldmacher<https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/AzdWkp5WyKL6MS54d3-H7w~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRiQOyoP0TRaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vYnkvc2hhbmUtZ29sZG1hY2hlcj9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NiZlbWM9ZWRpdF9jbl8yMDIxMDMyNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0yODU0OCZubD1vbi1wb2xpdGljcy13aXRoLWxpc2EtbGVyZXImcmVnaV9pZD0xMTkxMzQ1OTMmc2VnbWVudF9pZD01NDMxMSZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9NTE5ZGQ2ZTQ3N2I2MWRiMDFiNmMwNzZkN2M1N2U3NTZXA255dEIKYFioZ15g1RxEJlIWZXJpY3BydXNzZWxsQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~>,
Newsom’s close ally Sean Clegg shot
back<https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/gdMQUnASIvvu8DtB-1KUtA~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRiQOyoP0TeaHR0cHM6Ly90d2l0dGVyLmNvbS9DbGVnZ1NlYW4vc3RhdHVzLzEzNzI5OTczMTQwMTMzNjgzMzA_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9NTYmZW1jPWVkaXRfY25fMjAyMTAzMjYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9Mjg1NDgmbmw9b24tcG9saXRpY3Mtd2l0aC1saXNhLWxlcmVyJnJlZ2lfaWQ9MTE5MTM0NTkzJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9NTQzMTEmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPTUxOWRkNmU0NzdiNjFkYjAxYjZjMDc2ZDdjNTdlNzU2VwNueXRCCmBYqGdeYNUcRCZSFmVyaWNwcnVzc2VsbEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~>:
“My old friend Antonio will embarrass himself and forever poison his legacy if
he runs.”
In New York, a strategy of threats and intimidation wasn’t enough to prevent
most of the state’s top Democrats from coming out against Gov. Andrew Cuomo
this month after a string of sexual harassment allegations. But he has been
able to hang onto his job by steadfastly refusing to step down.
One big question for Newsom is whether he will be able to win back the public’s
favor in time to prevent his own Democratic allies from turning on him. That’s
exactly the theme that Pelosi sought to drive home yesterday at her news
conference. “I think the governor will beat this quite decisively,” she said,
“and we’ll all help him do that.”
________________________________
From: Eric Russell <ericprussell@xxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Sunday, March 28, 2021 4:22 PM
To: uupretirees@xxxxxxxxxxxxx <uupretirees@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Subject: Re: [uupretirees] This November, California will hold its first recall
election for a sitting Governor since 2003.
Could be, but it's a long time from March to November. Both sides will be
working their butts off to turn out the vote. Eric
________________________________
From: uupretirees-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx <uupretirees-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx> on
behalf of hils. <dmarc-noreply@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Sunday, March 28, 2021 4:16 PM
To: uupretirees@xxxxxxxxxxxxx <uupretirees@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Subject: [uupretirees] This November, California will hold its first recall
election for a sitting Governor since 2003.
This November, California will hold its first recall election for a sitting
Governor since 2003.
The news became official this past week when organizers for the movement to
recall Democratic Governor Gavin Newsom returned over 2 million signed
petitions to trigger a recall election.
This coud be a prblem for the demcrats.
I was told Newsom is related to Pelosi(don't know for sure).
Bob Kasprak
======================================
California Just Delivered a Crushing Defeat for Joe Biden and the Democratic
Party – Liberty
Airwaves<https://libertyairwaves.com/california-just-delivered-a-crushing-defeat-for-joe-biden-and-the-democratic-party/>