[uupretirees] It seems that thing may not be peaceful behind the scenes

  • From: Eric Russell <ericprussell@xxxxxxxxxxx>
  • To: Uupretirees <uupretirees@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>, Bill Scheuerman <bscheuerm@xxxxxxxxxxx>, "Simons, William" <William.Simons@xxxxxxxxxxx>
  • Date: Tue, 24 Aug 2021 13:26:01 +0000

If they win, which is admittedly unlikely, a unified Afghan government may 
arise.  Either that or they will revert to feuding tribes--in the name of 
freedom.  [Pure speculation:  Is the US headed down the same path?]  Eric

Resistance fighters drive Taliban from 3 districts in the mountains north of 
Kabul.

The Taliban faced the first armed challenge from former Afghan soldiers and 
villagers in the mountains north of Kabul.

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[https://static01.nyt.com/images/2021/08/21/world/21afghanistan-briefing-resistance2/merlin_193434675_e80fa035-b576-4576-9c2f-e1e167ce733c-articleLarge.jpg?quality=75&auto=webp&disable=upscale]
[Afghans opposing the Taliban in Panjshir province.]
Afghans opposing the Taliban in Panjshir province.Credit...Ahmad Sahel 
Arman/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images
[Matthew Rosenberg]<https://www.nytimes.com/by/matthew-rosenberg>

By Matthew Rosenberg<https://www.nytimes.com/by/matthew-rosenberg>

Published Aug. 21, 2021Updated Aug. 23, 2021

The Taliban faced the first armed challenge to their rule as former Afghan 
soldiers, aided by villagers, drove the militants out of three districts in the 
mountains north of Kabul, according to former Afghan officials.

The fighting took place in remote valleys on Friday, and details of the clashes 
were still trickling out. But video posted on social media showed fighters and 
civilians tearing down the white flag of the Taliban and raising the red, green 
and black Afghan national flag. In a 
tweet<https://twitter.com/Muham_madi1/status/1428706778204803073>, the former 
acting defense minister, Bismillah Khan Mohammadi, called the fighters “popular 
resistance forces,”

“The resistance” he wrote, “is still alive.”

How long it could survive is another question. Afghan troops were said to have 
retreated to the area last week as the country’s government and military 
collapsed around them, and the United States appeared to have little appetite 
for anything that could anger the Taliban, whose goodwill the evacuation 
operations at Kabul’s airport is now largely dependent upon.

The fighting was reportedly set off by the Taliban conducting house-to-house 
searches, an ironic twist in a war during which Afghan anger at American 
searches helped swell the ranks of the militants. Former Afghan officials said 
the clashes appeared to have been led by a local police chief who knew he was 
not long for his post under Taliban rule.

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The fighting took place in three districts — Pul-e-Hesar, Deh-e-Salah and Bano 
— that are about 100 miles north of Kabul but only reachable by poor roads that 
wind through the mountains. The fighters claimed to have killed as many as 30 
Taliban and captured nearly two dozen more. A pro-Taliban Twitter account put 
the militants’ death toll at half that number.

Less than a week after the Taliban swept into Kabul, the militants are already 
facing the first stirrings of resistance to their renewed rule. Small groups of 
women, fearful that the Taliban will try to reimpose their stringent and often 
brutal interpretation of Islamic law, have braved retribution to publicly 
demand their rights. Others have simply refused to fly the Taliban’s white 
flag, insisting that the Afghan national flag was the only banner they wanted 
to fly.

The uprising on Friday took place to the north of the Panjshir Valley, a 
strategic sliver of territory where a handful of Afghan leaders were organizing 
a force to resist the 
Taliban<https://www.nytimes.com/live/2021/08/18/world/taliban-afghanistan-news/taliban-panjshir-valley>.
 While former Afghan officials and reports from witnesses on social media 
suggested the uprising was local and spontaneous, one of the main leaders of 
the Panjshir resistance movement claimed on Saturday that “we are one.”

Amrullah Saleh, who was the country’s first vice president until this week, 
wrote in a text message that his forces and the fighters to the north were 
“under one command structure.”

Editors’ Picks
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My Roommates Have Been Listening to My Therapy Sessions. Is That OK?
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Mr. Saleh is now styling himself the “caretaker president” of Afghanistan. He 
refused to elaborate on the connections he claimed to have to Friday’s 
uprising, saying only that “the resistance will grow.”

He added, “Afghanistan is alive and hasn’t become a Talibanistan.”

Guarded by a deep gorge, the Panjshir Valley holds a singular place in Afghan 
history. Under the leadership of the famed mujahedeen commander Ahmed Shah 
Massoud, it held out against the Soviets in the 1980s and the Taliban in the 
1990s and was then used by American spies and special forces operators to 
launch the American invasion that would drive the militants from power.

Taliban Takeover in Afghanistan 
›<https://www.nytimes.com/news-event/taliban-afghanistan?name=styln-afghanistan&region=MAIN_CONTENT_2&block=storyline_latest_updates_recirc&action=click&pgtype=Article&variant=show&index=0>
Latest 
Updates<https://www.nytimes.com/live/2021/08/24/world/afghanistan-taliban-kabul-news?name=styln-afghanistan&region=MAIN_CONTENT_2&block=storyline_latest_updates_recirc&action=click&pgtype=Article&variant=show&index=1>
Updated
Aug. 24, 2021, 8:13 a.m. ET58 minutes ago
58 minutes ago

  *   The C.I.A. director visited Kabul for secret talks with the 
Taliban.<https://www.nytimes.com/live/2021/08/24/world/afghanistan-taliban-kabul-news?name=styln-afghanistan&region=MAIN_CONTENT_2&block=storyline_latest_updates_recirc&action=click&pgtype=Article&variant=show&index=2#cia-taliban-william-burns-afghanistan>
  *   Airbnb says it will give temporary free housing to 20,000 Afghan 
refugees.<https://www.nytimes.com/live/2021/08/24/world/afghanistan-taliban-kabul-news?name=styln-afghanistan&region=MAIN_CONTENT_2&block=storyline_latest_updates_recirc&action=click&pgtype=Article&variant=show&index=2#airbnb-afghanistan-refugees>
  *   Afghan Paralympic athletes flee Kabul with the help of Australian sports 
stars.<https://www.nytimes.com/live/2021/08/24/world/afghanistan-taliban-kabul-news?name=styln-afghanistan&region=MAIN_CONTENT_2&block=storyline_latest_updates_recirc&action=click&pgtype=Article&variant=show&index=2#afghan-athletes-australia>

Is this helpful?

But Mr. Massoud was killed by assassins from Al Qaeda two days before the Sept. 
11 attacks and Afghanistan, the Taliban and the world have changed dramatically 
in the intervening decades.

The militants are battle-hardened and far better armed after capturing huge 
arsenals of American-made weapons as they swept across the country this summer. 
The Panjshiris, in contrast, have given up most of their weapons, and lack a 
single, unifying leader like Mr. Massoud, though his son is involved in the 
current resistance effort.

Most important, there appears to be little international will to back them or 
any armed resistance to the Taliban, for that matter.

[https://static01.nyt.com/images/2021/08/21/world/21afghanistan-briefing-resistance3/merlin_193471293_768b6d28-69d0-4dfb-a838-52fe4d23cca9-articleLarge.jpg?quality=75&auto=webp&disable=upscale]
Image
[Afghan security forces move in a convoy through an area of the Panjshir 
province on Thursday.]
Afghan security forces move in a convoy through an area of the Panjshir 
province on Thursday.Credit...Ahmad Sahel Arman/Agence France-Presse — Getty 
Images

The United States and its allies are focused on evacuating people from 
Kabul<https://www.nytimes.com/2021/08/20/world/asia/biden-afghanistan-kabul.html>.
 They are actively seeking cooperation from the Taliban to do so, and so far 
the militants have proven somewhat cooperative, eager to show the world that 
they are no longer the same brutal zealots who ruled Afghanistan two decades 
ago.

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Armed uprisings could quickly change that calculus, prompting the Taliban to 
violently clamp down at the very moment when the United States and European 
countries are struggling to keep the evacuation 
moving.<https://www.nytimes.com/live/2021/08/20/world/biden-afghanistan-taliban/fear-and-confusion-reign-in-kabul-despite-american-assurances>

Understand the Taliban Takeover in Afghanistan
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Card 1 of 5

Who are the Taliban? The Taliban arose in 1994 amid the turmoil that came after 
the withdrawal of Soviet forces from Afghanistan in 1989. They used brutal 
public punishments, including floggings, amputations and mass executions, to 
enforce their rules. Here’s more on their origin story and their record as 
rulers<https://www.nytimes.com/article/who-are-the-taliban.html?action=click&pgtype=Article&state=default&module=styln-afghanistan&variant=show&region=MAIN_CONTENT_3&block=storyline_levelup_swipe_recirc>.

Who are the Taliban leaders? These are the top leaders of the 
Taliban<https://www.nytimes.com/2021/08/17/world/asia/taliban-leaders-afghanistan.html?action=click&pgtype=Article&state=default&module=styln-afghanistan&variant=show&region=MAIN_CONTENT_3&block=storyline_levelup_swipe_recirc>,
 men who have spent years on the run, in hiding, in jail and dodging American 
drones. Little is known about them or how they plan to govern, including 
whether they will be as tolerant as they claim to be.

How did the Taliban gain control? See how the Taliban retook 
<https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/08/14/world/asia/afghanistan-maps-taliban.html?action=click&pgtype=Article&state=default&module=styln-afghanistan&variant=show&region=MAIN_CONTENT_3&block=storyline_levelup_swipe_recirc>
 
power<https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/08/14/world/asia/afghanistan-maps-taliban.html?action=click&pgtype=Article&state=default&module=styln-afghanistan&variant=show&region=MAIN_CONTENT_3&block=storyline_levelup_swipe_recirc>
 in Afghanistan in a few months, and read about how their 
strategy<https://www.nytimes.com/2021/08/18/world/asia/taliban-victory-strategy-afghanistan.html?action=click&pgtype=Article&state=default&module=styln-afghanistan&variant=show&region=MAIN_CONTENT_3&block=storyline_levelup_swipe_recirc>
 enabled them to do so.

What happens to the women of Afghanistan? The last time the Taliban were in 
power, they barred women and girls from taking most jobs or going to school. 
Afghan women have made many 
gains<https://www.nytimes.com/2021/04/18/world/asia/women-afghanistan-withdrawal-us.html?action=click&pgtype=Article&state=default&module=styln-afghanistan&variant=show&region=MAIN_CONTENT_3&block=storyline_levelup_swipe_recirc>
 since the Taliban were toppled, but now they fear that ground may be 
lost<https://www.nytimes.com/2021/08/17/world/asia/afghanistan-women-taliban.html?action=click&pgtype=Article&state=default&module=styln-afghanistan&variant=show&region=MAIN_CONTENT_3&block=storyline_levelup_swipe_recirc>.
 Taliban officials are trying to reassure women that things will be different, 
but there are signs that, at least in some areas, they have begun to reimpose 
the old order.

What does their victory mean for terrorist groups? The United States invaded 
Afghanistan 20 years ago in response to terrorism, and many worry that Al Qaeda 
and other radical groups will again find safe 
haven<https://www.nytimes.com/2021/08/17/world/asia/taliban-afghanistan-al-qaeda.html?action=click&pgtype=Article&state=default&module=styln-afghanistan&variant=show&region=MAIN_CONTENT_3&block=storyline_levelup_swipe_recirc>
 there.

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American military and intelligence officials said on Saturday they were closely 
monitoring reports that Afghan resistance fighters had pushed the Taliban out 
of the three northern districts, but there had been no requests from those 
groups for American airstrikes or other assistance, and none offered, at least 
publicly.

Military officials said they would entertain any such requests very warily at 
this point, fearing that any battlefield strikes against the Taliban could 
jeopardize the fragile agreement that has been reached with senior Taliban 
officials in recent days to allow Americans safe passage to the airport in 
Kabul.

The Pentagon has said there are no military or security forces from the Afghan 
regime still operating as functioning units in the fight against the Taliban.

Leaders in Panjshir seem to know that any fighting is likely to be seen by the 
United States as a distraction that could endanger an evacuation effort that 
has already proven disastrously chaotic. Many are furious at what they consider 
a betrayal, and not hesitant to say so.

“A super power signed an agreement with a terrorist group. What you see in 
Kabul is a massive humiliation for Western civilization,” Mr. Saleh wrote in a 
text message earlier this week.

On Saturday, he was even more blunt: “NATO and the U.S. failed,” Mr. Saleh 
wrote.

Still, another of the movement’s leaders, Ahmad Massoud, son of the late 
Panjshiri leader, sought to drum up American support in an op-ed published 
Wednesday in The Washington 
Post<https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/08/18/mujahideen-resistance-taliban-ahmad-massoud/>,
 writing that he was ready to “follow in his father’s footsteps” but needed 
weapons and supplies to succeed.

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Without them, he acknowledged that his forces could not hold long should the 
Taliban decide to fight their way into Panjshir.

The mere fact Mr. Massoud had to make his appeal in public and not in private 
meetings with American military or intelligence officials was an indication of 
how little enthusiasm there is for his movement in Washington.

Eric Schmitt contributed reporting.

Matthew Rosenberg, a Washington-based correspondent, was part of a team that 
won a Pulitzer Prize in 2018 for reporting on Donald Trump and Russia. He 
previously spent 15 years as a foreign correspondent in Asia, Africa and the 
Middle East.

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