[uupretirees] Are we doomed to deteriorate?

  • From: Eric Russell <ericprussell@xxxxxxxxxxx>
  • To: "uupretirees@xxxxxxxxxxxxx" <uupretirees@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • Date: Tue, 4 May 2021 00:33:29 +0000

Stephens is one of the resident conservatives at the Times.  Personally, I 
disagree with his conclusions but he should be heard.  Having said that, every 
choice is a balance of desires.  In this case, spending on infrastructure and 
people vs. doing nothing and hoping we will recover without assistance.  As the 
choice eliminates the potential history of the road not taken, we will never 
really know.  Eric

OPINION<https://www.nytimes.com/section/opinion>

BRET STEPHENS

Biden’s Plan Promises Permanent Decline
May 3, 2021, 7:02 p.m. ET
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Credit...Lorenzo Meloni/Magnum Photos

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[Bret Stephens]<https://www.nytimes.com/by/bret-stephens>

By Bret Stephens<https://www.nytimes.com/by/bret-stephens>

Opinion Columnist

Years ago, Alexis Tsipras, the party leader of Greece’s Coalition of the 
Radical Left, surprised me with a question. “Here in the United States,” the 
soon-to-be prime minister asked me over breakfast in New York, “why do you not 
have this phenomenon of passing money under the table?”

The subject was health care. Greece has a public health care system that, in 
theory, guarantees its citizens access to necessary medical care.

Practice, however, is another matter. Patients in Greek public hospitals, 
Tsipras explained, would first have to slip a doctor “an envelope with a 
certain amount of money” before they could expect to get treatment. The 
government, he added, underpaid its doctors and then looked the other way as 
they topped up their income with bribes.

Take a close look at any country or locality in which the government offers 
allegedly free or highly subsidized goods and you’ll usually discover that 
there’s a catch.

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France’s subsidized day care is, by all accounts, fantastic for working parents 
who get their children into it. Except there’s a perpetual shortage of 
slots<https://theconversation.com/politique-educative-demmanuel-macron-ce-que-peut-en-dire-la-recherche-77379>.
 In Sweden, a raft of laws protects tenants from excessively high rent. Except 
wait times for apartments can be as long as 20 
years<https://www.bbc.com/worklife/article/20160517-this-is-one-city-where-youll-never-find-a-home>.
 In Britain, the National Health Service is a source of pride. Except that, 
even before the pandemic, one in six patients faced wait times of more than 18 
weeks for routine treatment.

These examples are worth bearing in mind as President Biden charts a course 
toward the largest expansion of government since Lyndon Johnson’s Great 
Society. After signing a $1.9 trillion Covid-19 relief bill in March and 
proposing a $1.5 trillion discretionary budget in April (a 16 percent increase 
from this year, on top of what’s likely to be at least $3 trillion in mandatory 
spending on programs like Medicare and Medicaid), the president wants $2.3 
trillion more for infrastructure and $1.8 trillion for new social programs.

That’s $7.5 trillion in discretionary spending. To put the number in 
perspective, we spent $4.1 trillion in inflation-adjusted dollars over nearly 
four years to wage and win the Second World War.

What will America get for the money? The progressive bet is that it will be 
things Americans like and want to keep, like universal pre-K and paid parental 
leave. Progressives also bet Americans won’t mind that the Jeff Bezoses and 
Elon Musks of the world will pay for all of it.

Maybe those bets will pay off. And conservatives would be foolish to dismiss 
the sheer political appeal of the progressive pitch. But before the U.S. takes 
this leap into a full-blown American social-welfare state, moderates in 
Congress like Senator Joe Manchin or Representative Jim Costa ought to ask: 
What’s the catch?

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It isn’t that the things Biden wants aren’t worth having. Many of them are. Nor 
is the mammoth expense the main issue. Worthy things are often worth paying 
for. And Republicans have as much credibility on the subject of deficit 
spending as they do on matters of moral character in high office.

The real catch is that massive government spending has hidden costs that are 
difficult to capture in numbers alone.

Take another look at Europe. Why does R&D spending in the European 
Union<https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php/R_%26_D_expenditure>
 persistently lag that in the U.S., to say nothing of places like Japan and 
South Korea? Perhaps it’s the same reason that European states cannot 
adequately meet their defense 
requirements<https://www.nytimes.com/2019/03/19/world/europe/germany-nato-spending-target.html>:
 Mandatory spending on social-welfare priorities tends to crowd out 
discretionary spending.

Why does Europe’s tech start-up scene (with notable 
exceptions<https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/10/business/biontech-covid-vaccine.html>)
 so notably lag its 
competitors<https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2019/03/europe-is-no-longer-an-innovation-leader-heres-how-it-can-get-ahead/>
 in the U.S. and Asia? Perhaps it’s the same reason that Europe’s overall share 
of the world economy has been continuously 
shrinking<https://www.politico.eu/article/europe-on-the-wane-global-economics-demographics-gdp/>
 despite decades of peace and economic integration: Big social safety nets 
typically come at the expense of risk-taking and economic dynamism.

And why is France, which, according to the Organization for Economic 
Cooperation and Development, spends more on social welfare than any other 
nation in the developed 
world<https://data.oecd.org/socialexp/social-spending.htm>, such an unhappy 
place, with chronically high 
unemployment<https://www.nytimes.com/2019/07/09/business/macron-unemployment-france.html>,
 endless labor 
unrest<https://www.nytimes.com/2019/12/04/world/europe/france-strike-macron.html>,
 a decades-old brain 
drain<https://www.nytimes.com/2010/11/22/world/europe/22iht-educSide22.html?_r=2>,
 rising political 
extremism<https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-04-11/france-s-le-pen-gains-ground-for-2022-elections-poll-shows>,
 a wealth tax that 
failed<https://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/dec/31/france-drops-75percent-supertax>
 and a medical system that was on the brink of 
collapse<https://www.france24.com/en/20190614-france-focus-hospitals-crisis-france-healthcare-emergency-workers-protest-strike>
 long before Covid struck?

The answer is no doubt complex. But anyone making the claim that massive 
government spending on social priorities will take us to the Happy Place needs 
to address the French example with something other than glib references to joie 
de vivre.

In his speech to Congress, the president described his jobs plan as a “once in 
a generation investment in America itself.” Some of what he offers will be 
popular with the public, and much of it will be popular with all the lobbies 
that will benefit from opening spigots of public money.

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But investments like these, once made, are almost never reversed. The spending 
will become permanent. Beyond the gargantuan cost, Congress should think very 
hard about the real catch: transforming America into a kinder, gentler place of 
permanent decline.

Related
More on Biden’s American Families Plan.
<https://www.nytimes.com/2021/05/03/opinion/biden-family-aid.html?action=click&module=RelatedLinks&pgtype=Article>
Opinion | Paul Krugman
Biden and the Future of the Family
May 3, 2021
<https://www.nytimes.com/2021/04/29/opinion/biden-speech-child-care.html?action=click&module=RelatedLinks&pgtype=Article>
Opinion | Michelle Goldberg
America Is Brutal to Parents. Biden Is Trying to Change That.
April 29, 2021

The Times is committed to publishing a diversity of 
letters<https://www.nytimes.com/2019/01/31/opinion/letters/letters-to-editor-new-york-times-women.html>
 to the editor. We’d like to hear what you think about this or any of our 
articles. Here are some 
tips<https://help.nytimes.com/hc/en-us/articles/115014925288-How-to-submit-a-letter-to-the-editor>.
 And here’s our email: letters@xxxxxxxxxxx<mailto:letters@xxxxxxxxxxx>.

Follow The New York Times Opinion section on 
Facebook<https://www.facebook.com/nytopinion>, Twitter 
(@NYTopinion)<http://twitter.com/NYTOpinion> and 
Instagram<https://www.instagram.com/nytopinion/>.

Bret L. Stephens has been an Opinion columnist with The Times since April 2017. 
He won a Pulitzer Prize for commentary at The Wall Street Journal in 2013 and 
was previously editor in chief of The Jerusalem Post. 
Facebook<https://www.facebook.com/Bret-Stephens-1897344563844527>

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