[TN-Bird] Dennis projection by National Hurricane Center
- From: "Wallace Coffey" <jwcoffey@xxxxxxxxxx>
- To: "TN-birds" <tn-bird@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Sat, 9 Jul 2005 23:24:27 -0400
Hurricane DENNIS
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About this product:
NHC forecast tracks of the center can be in error; the average track
forecast errors in recent years were used to construct the areas of uncertainty
for the 3 days (solid white area). There is also uncertainty in the NHC
intensity forecasts. The intensity forecast chart and table provide intensity
forecast and intensity forecast uncertainty information.
This display shows an approximate representation of coastal areas under a
hurricane warning (red), hurricane watch (pink), tropical storm warning (blue)
and tropical storm watch (yellow). The orange circle indicates the current
position of the center of the tropical cyclone. The black line and dots show
the National Hurricane Center (NHC) forecast track of the center at the times
indicated. The letter inside the dot indicates the NHC's forecast intensity for
that time.
It is also important to realize tropical cyclones are not a point. Their
effects can span many hundreds of miles from the center. The area experiencing
hurricane force (one-minute average wind speeds of at least 74 mph) and
tropical storm force (one-minute average wind speeds of 39-73 mph) winds can
extend well beyond the white areas shown enclosing the most likely track area
of the center. The distribution of hurricane and tropical storm force winds in
this tropical cyclone can be seen in the Cumulative Wind Distribution graphic
displayed below.
Let's go birding......
Wallace Coffey
Bristol, TN
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