[texbirds] Coastal Weather/Migrant Forecast 4/3-4/10

  • From: John Tharp <jlt290@xxxxxxxxx>
  • To: Texbirds <texbirds@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • Date: Thu, 3 Apr 2014 17:34:50 -0500

Well, the past weeks weather was right on schedule with the forecast.
Unfortunately the lack of rain/thunderstorms associated with the cold front
prevented it from causing a good increase of migrants at the coast although
it did cause a modest uptick farther inland. Looking ahead into the next
few days that should definitely be changing.
Coastal/Gulf Weather through Wednesday:
Active weather on the way Friday through Monday. A cold front will move off
the TX coast tomorrow morning accompanied by a few showers and
thunderstorms. Enhanced northerly winds are expected in its wake over the
northwestern Gulf. The front will stall over the central Gulf Friday night
and then lift northward as a warm front on Saturday and Sunday. That will
spread rain and a few thunderstorms across much of coastal Texas and the
northwestern Gulf. Low pressure will develop near Galveston Sunday evening
and then head NE Sunday night. The associated cold front will then move off
the coast by early Monday.A reinforcing cold front is expected Tuesday (no
rain) with enhanced northerly winds continuing across the Gulf through
Wednesday as high pressure builds from the northwest. Southerly winds then
return Thursday as high pressure moves off the east of the region.

Coastal "Bird Forecast":
Considering the above forecast of increased rain chances and northerly
winds along with the time of year there will be a greatly improved chance
for migrants (and possibly good numbers of migrants at times) to stop at
the coastal sites beginning around midday tomorrow and continuing through
Wednesday. At the very least conditions will become much less favorable for
them to continue well inland before stopping to rest/feed.

John Tharp
Houston, TX


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