IRAQ’S neighbours are convinced that a US-led war against President Saddam Hussein is inevitable, and have begun secretly planning to ensure that their interests will be protected by any future Baghdad regime. Returning from a four-country Middle East tour yesterday, Jack Straw, the Foreign Secretary, and senior diplomats were struck by how much of his talks were focused on “post-Saddam scenarios”. Despite public declarations against the use of force, Iran, Jordan and Kuwait are privately convinced that war is likely and that Saddam’s removal could be beneficial. President Mubarak of Egypt, one of the Arab world’s strongest opponents of war, also discussed Iraq’s post-Saddam future. “The issue has come up on every stop,” one senior British source said. The neighbours’ biggest concern was the need to protect Iraq’s “territorial integrity” and maintain its sovereignty. Iraq, whose boundaries were created after the collapse of the Ottoman Empire, comprises three main distinct ethnic groups in three former Turkish governates. Neighbours fear that the country could break up and that the Kurds in the north might seek to create a new state and destabilise the region. Iran, which has its own large Kurdish population, told Mr Straw that it wanted a stable Iraq contained within its present borders. The Iranians have assured the British that they are not seeking a militant Islamic regime, but would expect Iraq’s majority Shia Muslims — the branch of Islam practised in Iran — to be properly represented in government. The Iranians want a previous agreement with Iraq on the demarcation of the border and rights over the Shatt al-Arab waterway to be respected. Tehran is also seeking the return of Iranian prisoners of war held by Iraq. President Khatami emphasised Iran’s dislike for Saddam, saying that Iranians were still dying from Iraqi chemical weapons used during the eight-year war that ended in 1988. Jordan, which has close economic and social ties with Iraq, is equally resigned to war. King Abdullah has signalled that he does not want to make the mistake his father made by supporting Baghdad during the last Gulf War. “We paid a heavy price,” one senior official said. “This time we want to pursue a policy where Jordan comes first. We are not going to allow ourselves to be martyrs for either Baghdad or Ramallah (the Palestinian West Bank city).” British sources said that Amman was prepared discreetly to assist a US-led operation in return for economic and security guarantees. Jordan receives cheap oil from Iraq and much of its economy depends on Baghdad trade. Jordanian officials insist that King Abdullah is not seeking to reinstate the former Hashemite dynasty in Iraq and install his cousin Sharif bin Ali, heir to the Iraqi throne, who lives in London. However, the Jordanians do not rule out a constitutional monarchy. “The Hashemites of Jordan have no interest in Iraq but if anyone decided to invite the (royal) family back that is their choice,” a source close to the King said. Kuwait, the likely springboard for any attack on Iraq, was seeking guarantees that whoever takes over in Iraq would recognise Kuwait’s sovereignty and be prevented from acquiring weapons of mass destruction. “It is striking how raw the emotions still are (from the 1990 Iraqi invasion),” a senior British source said. The Kuwaiti leadership was “traumatised and humiliated” by the occupation. Bush backing Washington: The House of Representatives voted 296-133 to give President Bush broad authority to use military force against Iraq (Roland Watson writes). Last night’s resolution, to be approved by the Senate, authorises Mr Bush to use force “as he determines necessary and appropriate” in order to defend the US against the “continuing threat posed by Iraq”, and to enforce UN demands. He must also pursue diplomacy as far as possible. Mr Bush won the backing of four key senators, Tom Daschle, the Democrat Senate Leader, and his number two, Harry Reid, and the Vietnam veterans John Kerry, a senior Democrat, and Chuck Hagel, a respected Republican. Source: Times ============================================================ You can choose whether you prefer to receive regular emails or a weekly digest by visiting http://www.muslim-news.net Archive: http://archive.muslim-news.net You can subscribe by sending an email to request@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx with the word "subscribe" (without quotes) in the subject line, or by visiting http://www.muslim-news.net You can unsubscribe by sending an email to request@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx with the word "unsubscribe" (without quotes) in the subject line, or by visiting http://www.muslim-news.net You are welcome to submit any relevant news story to submit@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx For regular Islamic cultural articles by email, send email to revivalist-subscribe@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx ============================================================