. FOOD SUPPLY : FOOD SHORTAGES : COUNTRIES: THIRD WORLD LESSER DEVELOPED UNDERDEVELOPED LDCS: GLOBAL: Hunger Knows No Borders Hunger Knows No Borders IRIN Humanitarian News and Analysis a project of theUN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs Sunday 25 April 2010
<http://www.irinnews.org/report.aspx?ReportID=88478>JOHANNESBURG, 18 March 2010 (IRIN) - West Africa can meet its food needs through regional trade, most agricultural experts say, if countries keep their borders open for the free flow of staple grains, especially in times of heightened stress, whether climatic, economic, or brought on by conflict.
In the fourth and final part of the series "Are we heading for another food crisis?", we take a brief look at West Africa, where prices have begun to rise and failed rains have left 10 million people across the Sahel food insecure, after barely recovering from the 2007/08 food price crisis.
After three years of good harvests, in 2009 Niger was again in the food security headlines after poor rains let it down. It was last in the news in 2004, when a combination of poor rains and one of the worst locust infestations in 15 years left more than two million people in need of food aid.
What aggravated the crisis - which spilled into 2005 - was the closure of borders, a decision that hampered the free flow of food, said a paper commissioned by the Famine Early Warning System Network (FEWS-NET).
"In 2005 the situation was made worse when neighbouring countries closed their borders with Niger. This limited the availability of food and increased inflation," said the UK-based aid agency, Oxfam, which called on countries in the region to keep their borders open.
Countries specifically covered in this article: Liberia Mauritania Sierra Leone Chad Cote d'Ivoire Guinea Guinea-Bissau Niger GLOBAL: Are we heading for another food crisis? Sunday 25 April 2010 IRIN Humanitarian News and Analysis a project of theUN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs <http://www.irinnews.org/Report.aspx?ReportId=88287>
JOHANNESBURG, 2 March 2010 (IRIN) - Long dry spells in parts of Africa and erratic rainfall in Asia have cast uncertain clouds over crop yields for 2010 in the world's poorest countries. Food prices in most developing countries are down from their 2008 crisis levels, but still higher than they were in 2007.
In the first of a four-part series on food security in some of the world's most vulnerable countries, IRIN asks, "Are we heading for another crisis?"
It would take "two consecutive bad years" for a repeat of the 2008 food and fuel crisis to arise, said Abdolreza Abbassian, economist and secretary of the Intergovernmental Group on Grains at the UN Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO). Unlike the situation in 2008, global cereal stocks are at comfortable levels.
But there were "many factors at play" in food prices. "In fact, we're projecting prices to stay firm, even in the medium term (the next 10 years), although they may not exceed the highs witnessed in 2008," Abbassian commented.
It is still a matter of adequate supply to meet growing demand, and the supply of food cereals has been declining. The gradual reduction in subsidies and support for the world's biggest producers in the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) countries - the US and the European Union (EU) in particular - has meant smaller surpluses.
"On the other hand, population growth and economic prosperity fuel demand - as in Asia, especially in China and India - therefore, we are moving into a situation whereby supply expansion could decelerate, while demand will continue to grow - sometimes even faster than in the past," said Abbassian.
A paper by the OECD suggested that food prices would start rising again, "(albeit not to 2008 peaks) once economies come out of the recession, as the basic structural demand and supply-side determinants are still very much present ... [with] demand growing faster than supply. Food prices should therefore no longer be seen as a 'shock' or short-term 'crisis', but rather as a longer-term structural issue."
POLICY DIALOGUE ON HIGH FOOD PRICES OUTLOOK AND DONOR MID-TERM RESPONSES AGENDA 12-13 FEBRUARY OECD CONFERENCE CENTRE ROOM CC12 PARIS, FRANCE <http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/30/24/42231941.pdf>The peaks that food (and fuel) prices reached in mid-2008 have caused an additional 100 million people to fall back into poverty, equivalent to a seven year setback in progress towards meeting MDG1. But food and fuel prices have now fallen considerably and policy attention is now focused on the economic crisis, risking that food prices be seen as yesterday.s crisis, at least from the perspective of policy makers in the developed world.
Dealing with record food prices has caused many poor countries to use up important amounts of whatever fiscal space they had, thus limiting even further their ability to design and implement fiscal stimulus packages to deal with the present economic crisis. Despite falling food prices, more and more people are in need of assistance, a situation further aggravated for poor people by declining remittances.
Analysis suggests, however, that food prices will again start to rise (albeit not to 2008 peaks) once economies come out of the recession, as the basic structural demand and supply side determinants are still very much present, i.e. demand growing faster than supply. Meeting the poverty and hunger MDG will thus be even more elusive. In the time it takes for food prices to start to rise again, policy makers and farmers have an opportunity to design and set in motion policies and actions needed to tackle the structural issues to prevent excessive food prices resulting in serious impacts on poverty, hunger and malnutrition.
Food prices should therefore no longer be seen as a shock or short term crisis, but rather as a longer term structural issue. How then should donors be responding to the structural challenges highlighted by the high food prices in 2008 in such an environment? The short-term response is focusing on promoting safety nets and humanitarian aid in terms of food supply (in-kind or cash for food) in line with the Comprehensive Framework for Action (CFA) of the UN High Level Task Force.
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