Five years might be a bit quick.  That's the worst case scenario.  I can't imagine where China will fit into all of this.  It's hard to believe they're going to roll over and do without.  Surely their government is aware of it and planning for it although their exponential car growth is certainly counterproductive.  That's why they've been buddying up to Africa.  There's a major new oil discovery offshore in Brazil, but it's not known yet how commercially viable it is, or even really how big it is. 

--- On Thu, 5/15/08, Andy <mimi.erva@xxxxxxxxx> wrote:

From: Andy <mimi.erva@xxxxxxxxx>
Subject: [lit-ideas] Short video interview
To: "lit-ideas" <lit-ideas@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Date: Thursday, May 15, 2008, 2:15 AM

Here's an interview with James Kunstler.   He's a major peak oil heralder.  They mention his novel, World Made By Hand, which is his vision (not the vision, but his vision) fictionalized, of a post oil future.  I read the book and I didn't like it.  I thought the characters were flat and I turned off at the supernatural elements he threw in.  I almost didn't finish it.  I then read a review of it and apparently he threw in the supernatural in a magical realism kind of way, his point being that in truly different times we need truly different ways of looking at things.  It helped redeem the book somewhat but I still didn't like it.  Anyway, this interview isn't really about the book.  I just thought I'd mention my experience with it.    http://www.cnn.com/video/#/video/bestoftv/2008/05/14/beck.life.oil.cnn?iref=videosearch

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