[lit-ideas] Re: Hermann Hesse, Iran, and the future
- From: John McCreery <john.mccreery@xxxxxxxxx>
- To: lit-ideas@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
- Date: Wed, 22 Feb 2012 17:42:07 -0500
Lawrence,
These sorts of musings are all very well. But you might want to consider
the information readily available in the CIA world fact
book<https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/ir.html>.
Look at what our quick, easy, their oil will pay for it war in Iraq has
become. Then consider the fact that Iran is geographically four times the
size of Iraq, with a population two and a half times as large, and terrain
that is mostly mountainous—not the flat valley of the Tigris and Euphrates
that made effective use of American armor possible. Add the narrowness of
the Straits of Hormuz, through which a very large proportion of the world's
oil supply now flows and the ease with which it might be blocked by sinking
only one or two large ships.
Is it any wonder that the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff says
that attacking
Iran is a bad
idea<http://www.businessinsider.com/the-chairman-of-the-joint-chiefs-says-attacking-iran-right-now-is-a-bad-idea-2012-2>
?
John
On Wed, Feb 22, 2012 at 3:34 PM, Lawrence Helm
<lawrencehelm@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>wrote:
> No sooner did I write that I was not engaging in political arguments, than
> I experienced some irresistible thoughts forcing their way onto the page.
> I only add by way of apology that I don’t intend any of the following to be
> a “Right vs. Left” argument. ****
>
> ** **
>
> On page 50 of *Consciousness and Society, The Reorientation of European
> Social Thought, 1890-1930, *H. Stuart Hughes writes, “. . . despite the
> seriousness of their scholarship and the dignity of their personal
> situation, the German professors were the prisoners of their own exalted
> station. The public treated them with a respect and followed their
> abstract debates with a passionate interest that may strike us as a little
> short of miraculous, but, like most of the state government that employed
> them, it expected of its professors a thoroughly conformist attitude toward
> the national community. And the professors were not too loath to conform:
> some of them might criticize with violence the *internal *character of
> the regime, but in the realm of foreign policy virtually all remained
> within the nationalist frame. . . .”****
>
> ** **
>
> In earlier times there were ample examples of Barons opposing Kings, but
> those working on a Baron’s land could not hope to oppose the Baron with
> equal impunity. It isn’t until we move forward into the era of Democracy
> that such an act becomes practical, that is, that a person can oppose their
> nation’s foreign policy and expect not to end up in jail or worse. Germany
> in the time-period Hughes is interested in wasn’t there yet. Hermann Hesse
> was “there” as an individual. He supported the war effort at the beginning
> of World War One, but nevertheless in 1914 wrote an essay entitled "O
> Friends, Not These Tones" ("O Freunde, nicht diese Töne") urging a
> recognition of Europe’s common heritage. Hughes describes Hesse as moving
> to Switzerland because he was disgusted by the growing militarism.”****
>
> ** **
>
> We can assume along with Hughes that the militarism of Germany in the two
> World Wars was unjustifiable, but we cannot build a principle from that and
> apply it to all nations. France as we know was not nearly as militaristic
> during this period. We can read about France in Roger Shattuck’s *The
> Banquet Years. *It* *was deeply influenced by anarchistic and pacifistic
> arguments. While it was right for Hesse to oppose Germany’s militarism,
> the pacifists and anarchists who opposed French militarism were (and I
> suspect few would disagree with me here) wrong. Had the French been
> supporting their military at the time the German’s were building theirs,
> World War II could, many historians argue, have been nipped in the bud,
> that is, reduced to a minor altercation. ****
>
> ** **
>
> At this point I propose a simplistic principle: It is good to support
> just wars but not good to support unjust wars. I assume here the rejection
> of the pacifistic argument. Few who lived through the conclusions of that
> argument during the Vichy period in France would wish to live it again. *
> ***
>
> ** **
>
> A more serious objection to this principle has to do with its definition:
> How do we go about distinguishing just wars from unjust wars? If we are
> heirs of the Enlightenment we can argue that wars for humanistic and
> “enlightened” reasons are more likely to be just than those which are not.
> But some consider themselves “heirs” and take a Marxist viewpoint. Others
> reject the Enlightenment and think all points of view equal. Therefore
> these latter argue, the tyrannies of Saddam Hussein or Kim Jong Il must not
> be opposed militarily because all regimes, all governments, all people are
> equal. ****
>
> ** **
>
> In this, as in struggles of the past, the victor will get to write the
> histories. If Francis Fukuyama is correct and Liberal Democracy comprises
> the end of history then none of the objections from Socialists, anarchists,
> Islamists, Revolutionaries or any other political viewpoint will stand
> against it in the long run. ****
>
> ** **
>
> Moving up the mountain and standing above it all, if Fukuyama is proved
> right and every form of government opposing Liberal democracy is eventually
> converted; then in looking back at the various wars we fought or are about
> to fight, the arguments may hinge on whether it was better to fight a war
> or let matters play themselves out. We haven’t fought a war with Iran yet;
> so is it better for Liberal Democracies to fight against Iran and prevent
> them from using nuclear weapons, or is it better to let them have their
> weapons because in the long run they will become a Liberal Democracy and it
> won’t really matter what they do now? Think of Vietnam for comparison.
> Millions were killed during the war so those opposing the war could later
> say “I told you so.” But Millions of people were killed by the Communists
> after the war so those favoring the war could say “I told you so.” Since
> then Vietnam has been slowly mellowing. The day may come when historians
> write that nothing that went on during that war really mattered in the long
> run. Will it be possible to one day say that about Iran? ****
>
> ** **
>
> A difference between Vietnam and Iran is that the former admired
> Communism, a political philosophy that has been discredited in almost
> everyone’s eyes; while the latter is devoted to Shia Islam which is not
> likely to become discredited in a comparable way. Shia Islam has fought
> against Sunni Islam for hundreds of years. Perhaps they will fight against
> Liberal Democracy for as long? At the end of those hundreds of years (we
> are still sitting on our mountain) we may argue that we should have had a
> war in 2012 to deny them nuclear weapons. But if we do have that war, it
> may be (from our mountain perch) that some argue that it took a few hundred
> years longer but in the end Iran was just like Vietnam.****
>
> ** **
>
> Lawrence****
>
--
John McCreery
The Word Works, Ltd., Yokohama, JAPAN
Tel. +81-45-314-9324
jlm@xxxxxxxxxxxx
http://www.wordworks.jp/
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