[lit-ideas] Cease Fire?
- From: "Lawrence Helm" <lawrencehelm@xxxxxxxxxxxx>
- To: <lit-ideas@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Tue, 25 Jul 2006 07:45:57 -0700
Then and now
By Thomas Sowell
Tuesday, July 25, 2006
Those of us old enough to remember World War II face many painful reminders
of how things have changed in Americans' behavior during a war. Back then,
the president's defeated opponent in the 1940 election -- Wendell Wilkie --
not only supported the war, he became a personal envoy from President
Roosevelt to Britain's Prime Minister Winston Churchill.
We were all in it together -- and we knew it. People who had been highly
critical of American foreign policy before we were attacked at Pearl Harbor
now fell silent and devoted themselves to winning the war.
What if the people, institutions, and attitudes of today were somehow taken
back in time to World War II? What would have been the result? Would we have
ended up winning or losing that war?
What about the great cry of the hour, a cease fire?
It so happens that World War II had the biggest cease fire in history. It
was called "the phony war" because, although France was officially at war
with Germany, the French did very little fighting for months, while the bulk
of the German army was in Poland and France had overwhelming military
superiority on the western front.
Famed correspondent William L. Shirer reported on the "unreal" western
front, with soldiers "on both sides looking but not shooting." German
soldiers bathed in the Rhine and waved to French soldiers on the other side,
who waved back.
During this period Hitler offered to negotiate peace with France and
England.
Kofi Anan would have loved it.
On November 19, 1939, Shirer's diary reported: "For almost two months now
there has been no military action on land, sea, or in the air." On January
1, 1940, he wrote, "this phony kind of war cannot continue long." But it was
now exactly four months since war was declared. How is that for a cease
fire?
Did this de facto cease fire lead to peace? No. Like other cease fires, it
helped the aggressor.
It gave Hitler time to move his divisions from the eastern front, after they
had conquered Poland, to the western front, facing France.
Now that military superiority along the Rhine had shifted in favor of the
German armies, the war suddenly went from being phony to being devastatingly
real.
Hitler attacked and France collapsed in six weeks.
Eventually, by 1945, allied armies had both Germany and Japan retreating.
What would have happened if we had had Kofi Anan and the mushy mindset
called "world opinion" at work then?
Kofi Anan would undoubtedly have called for a cease fire.
He could have pointed out that the American response to Germany was wholly
"disproportionate" because the Germans had never landed troops in America or
bombed American cities, and were certainly no real threat to the United
States at that point.
Much of the Japanese navy was at the bottom of the ocean by this time and
most of their planes had been shot down. Why not a negotiated settlement, in
order to spare innocent civilian lives?
And what if we had listened to such talk?
No doubt Germany and Japan would have signed some kind of negotiated
agreement in order to get the allied armies off their backs and get some
breathing room.
Both Germany and Japan had programs to try to build nuclear bombs. One of
the Nazis' last acts before surrendering was to send material by submarine
to Japan to help advance their nuclear program.
Any peace we might have negotiated with Japan would have given the Japanese
time to develop not only nuclear technology but also war planes whose plans
had been gotten from Germany, which had the most advanced planes in the
world at that time.
There is not the slightest doubt that Japan would not have had the slightest
hesitation to drop nuclear bombs on American cities. And they would not have
come back in later years to wring their hands at what they had done, as too
many American have done at Hiroshima and Nagasaki.
But we didn't cease firing until our enemies were defeated. Kofi Anan and
today's "world opinion" would not have liked that.
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