[karc] Fwd: [RAC-Bulletin] [EMCOMM] - WOCN31 CWHX 150141 TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL

From: Steve Cutway <ve3kc@xxxxxxxxx>
To: karc@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
Date: Mon, 15 Oct 2012 09:49:57 -0400
>Date: Sun, 14 Oct 2012 21:57:11 -0400
>From: rac-bulletins@xxxxxxx
>Subject: [RAC-Bulletin] [EMCOMM] - WOCN31 CWHX 150141 TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL
>To: Steve Cutway VE3KC <ve3kc@xxxxxx>
>Reply-to: rachq@xxxxxx
>Organization: Radio Amateurs of Canada
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>WOCN31 CWHX 150141
>TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN
>HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 10:41 PM ADT SUNDAY
>14 OCTOBER 2012.
>---------------------------------------------------------------------
>TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR:
>=NEW= NEWFOUNDLAND.
>
>       FOR TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL.
>
>       THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 3:00 AM ADT.
>
>       TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL EXPECTED TO TRACK TOWARD EASTERN ATLANTIC
>       CANADA.
>
>---------------------------------------------------------------------
>==DISCUSSION==
>WE ARE MONITORING THE DEVELOPMENT OF TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL NORTH OF
>PUERTO RICO.  THE STORM IS FORECAST TO TRACK TOWARD THE
>NORTH-NORTHWEST THEN TURN NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ON TUESDAY PASSING NEAR
>BERMUDA.  BEYOND TUESDAY THE TRACK AND INTENSITY WILL BE DETERMINED
>BY THE SPEED AND STRUCTURE OF AN EASTWARD-MOVING TROUGH OF LOW
>PRESSURE.  COMPUTER MODEL SCENARIOS AT THIS POINT EXPRESS A RANGE OF
>TRACKS FROM JUST EAST OF CAPE BRETON TO WELL OFFSHORE SOUTHEAST OF
>NEWFOUNDLAND.  THE MIDDLE OF THE RANGE IS FOR A TRACK CLOSE TO THE
>AVALON PENINSULA.  A TRACK ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF THAT RANGE WOULD
>REPRESENT AN EARLIER ARRIVAL (EARLY WEDNESDAY) WHILE A FARTHER-EAST
>TRACKING WITH THE STORM WELL OFFSHORE WOULD PRIMARILY AFFECT THE
>MARINE DISTRICT OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY.
>
>REGARDLESS OF TRACK, RAFAEL WILL MOST LIKELY BE UNDERGOING TRANSITION
>TO A POST-TROPICAL STORM WITH HIGH WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL AS IT
>MERGES WITH THE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED FRONT.  HOWEVER, IT IS TOO
>EARLY TO PREDICT THE SPECIFIC AREAS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED.
>ADDITIONALLY, PERIODS OF RAIN AND SOME WIND WILL BE OCCURRING ACROSS
>ATLANTIC CANADA ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY FROM A NON-TROPICAL LOW
>PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH THAT WILL BE AFFECTING THE
>EVOLUTION OF RAFAEL.
>
>THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE WILL LIKELY BEGIN OFFICIAL 6-HOURLY
>BULLETINS MONDAY MORNING WITH MORE DETAILS.
>
>VISIT WEATHEROFFICE.GC.CA/HURRICANE (ALL IN LOWER CASE) FOR THE
>LATEST HURRICANE TRACK INFORMATION MAP.
>
>END/..
>
>
>
>
>--
>
>  * * * *
>
>
>
>
>
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[karc] Fwd: [RAC-Bulletin] [EMCOMM] - WOCN31 CWHX 150141 TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL

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