https://socialistaction.org/2018/11/24/whats-the-real-cause-of-californias-wildfire-disaster/
What’s the real cause of California’s wildfire disaster?
/ 2 days ago
By PHIL HEARSE
Things are getting serious. At least 31 dead [84 dead on Nov. 24 — eds.]
and maybe 200 missing. Thousands of homes and businesses burned down.
And three raging fires, one in the north of the state and two in the
south, are still not under control [written on Nov. 12]. There are
scenes that could be the aftermath of an American or Russian bombing
raid in the Middle East – bodies littered on the ground, people burned
to death in their cars, families devastated with grief at the loss of
homes and loved ones.
Donald Trump chimed in on the line propagated by Fox News for weeks.
It’s because of bad forest management by California, a state that’s – by
American standards – liberal and anti-Trump. Fox even claimed it was
because the people running California were ‘socialists’ (!)
In the world of[ Instagram thing are even more serious – Actor Gerald
Butler and singers Miley Cyrus and Robin Thicke have had their houses
burned down. Luxury houses on the Malibu beachfront have been destroyed.
Trump’s response has been criticised by Katy Perry, Leonardo di Caprio
and Neil Young. Kim Kardashian, Lady Gaga and Kanye West have had to be
evacuated (can this disaster get any worse?).
Trump says in his brief tweets that it’s because of poor forest
management. He forgot that 60% of California forest is under federal
management. Bad forest management is not the underlying cause. Leonardo
di Caprio said it was because of climate change. That’s part of the
story, but not the whole issue.
Fires in the California forests and chaparral (shrubland) are regular
natural events. Because of global warming they are becoming more
regular, and more likely outside of the hottest times of the year.
Chaparral has a high-intensity regime. “meaning when a fire burns, it
burns everything, frequently leaving behind an ashen landscape.” (1)
According to Ben Engel: “Climate change contributes to the growing
destruction from California wildfires. Hot, dry weather conditions that
help carry fires for thousands of acres are often present nearly
year-round now. The state’s urban sprawl and encroachment into formerly
undeveloped land is the real catalyst, though, said former Sacramento
Metropolitan Fire District chief Kurt Henke.”
Mike Davis (3), one of the most articulate and insightful socialist
writers we have today, has made similar points many times, blaming what
he calls ‘real estate capitalism’. In October 2017, a year before the
current disasters, he said: “Although the explosive development of this
firestorm complex caught county and municipal officials off guard, fire
alarms had been going off for months. Two years ago [i.e., in 2015], at
the height of California’s worst drought in five hundred years, the
Valley Fire, ignited by faulty wiring in a hot tub, burned 76,000 acres
and destroyed 1350 homes in Lake, northern Sonoma, and Napa counties.
Last winter’s (2016) record precipitation, meanwhile, did not so much
bust the drought as prepare its second and more dangerous reincarnation.
The spring’s unforgettable profusion of wildflowers and verdant grasses
was punctually followed by a scorching summer that culminated in
September with pavement-melting temperatures of 41ºC in San Francisco
and 43ºC on the coast at Santa Cruz. Luxuriant green vegetation quickly
turned into parched brown fire-starter.”
“The final ingredient in this ‘perfect fire’ scenario – as in past fire
catastrophes in Northern California – was the arrival of the hot, dry
offshore winds, with gusts between 50 and 70 mph, that scourge the
California coast every year in the weeks before Halloween, sometimes
continuing into December. The Diablos are the Bay Area’s upscale version
of Southern California’s autumn mini-hurricanes, the Santa Anas. In
October 1991, they turned a small grass fire near the Caldecott Tunnel
in the Oakland Hills into an inferno that killed 25 people and destroyed
almost 4000 homes and apartments.”
Underlying this is real estate capitalism, “the financial and
real-estate juggernaut that drives the suburbanisation of our
increasingly inflammable wildlands”. Moreover:
“This is the deadly conceit behind mainstream environmental politics in
California: you say fire, I say climate change, and we both ignore the
financial and real-estate juggernaut that drives the suburbanisation of
our increasingly inflammable wildlands. Land use patterns in California
have long been insane but, with negligible opposition, they reproduce
themselves like a flesh-eating virus. After the Tunnel Fire in Oakland
and the 2003 and 2007 firestorms in San Diego County, paradise was
quickly restored; in fact, the replacement homes were larger and grander
than the originals. The East Bay implemented some sensible reforms but
in rural San Diego County, the Republican majority voted down a modest
tax increase to hire more firefighters. The learning curve has a
negative slope.
“I’ve found that the easiest way to explain California fire politics to
students or visitors from the other blue coast is to take them to see
the small community of Carveacre in the rugged mountains east of San
Diego. After less than a mile, a narrow paved road splays into rutted
dirt tracks leading to thirty or forty impressive homes. The attractions
are obvious: families with broods can afford large homes as well as dirt
bikes, horses, dogs, and the occasional emu or llama. At night, stars
twinkle that haven’t been visible in San Diego, 35 miles away, for
almost a century. The vistas are magnificent and the mild winters
usually mantle the mountain chaparral with a magical coating of light snow.
But Carveacre on a hot, high fire-danger day scares the shit out of me.
A mountainside cul-de-sac at the end of a one-lane road with scattered
houses surrounded by ripe-to-burn vegetation – the ‘fuel load’ of
chaparral in California is calculated in equivalent barrels of crude oil
– the place confounds human intelligence. It’s a rustic version of death
row. Much as I would like for once to be a bearer of good news rather
than an elderly prophet of doom, Carveacre demonstrates the hopelessness
of rational planning in a society based on real-estate capitalism.
Unnecessarily, our children, and theirs, will continue to face the flames.”
Notes (1) http://www.californiachaparral.com/fire/firenature.html
(2) https://www.sacbee.com/news/state/california/fires/article221385910.html
(3) https://www.lrb.co.uk/v39/n21/mike-davis/el-diablo-in-wine-NOV12
Phil Hearse is a supporter of Socialist Resistance and the Fourth
International in Britain, and editor of http://www.marxsite.org, where
this article first appeared.
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November 24, 2018 in Uncategorized.
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_________________________________________________________________
Isaac Asimov
“Don't you believe in flying saucers, they ask me? Don't you believe in
telepathy? — in ancient astronauts? — in the Bermuda triangle? — in life after
death?
No, I reply. No, no, no, no, and again no.
One person recently, goaded into desperation by the litany of unrelieved negation, burst
out "Don't you believe in anything?"
Yes", I said. "I believe in evidence. I believe in observation, measurement,
and reasoning, confirmed by independent observers. I'll believe anything, no matter how
wild and ridiculous, if there is evidence for it. The wilder and more ridiculous
something is, however, the firmer and more solid the evidence will have to be.”
― Isaac Asimov