NATO Has a Very Peculiar Way of Showing It Doesn't Want New Cold War
Published on
Friday, July 08, 2016
by
Common Dreams
NATO Has a Very Peculiar Way of Showing It Doesn't Want New Cold War
On first day of NATO summit, critics condemn "new and dangerous plan" to
provoke Russia with heightened military presence on its borders
by
Nika Knight, staff writer
UK troops practice maneuvers during a NATO exercise in Poland in 2014.
(Photo: Defence Images/flickr/cc)
On the first day of this weekend's NATO summit in Warsaw, Poland, NATO chief
Jens Stoltenberg assured the public, "We don't want a new Cold War. The Cold
War is history and should remain history."
Yet Stoltenberg seemed to simultaneously defy that claim when he also
announced that NATO's "response force" is now three times larger than it was
during the Cold War-further stoking fears that NATO's recent saber-rattling
may herald a new major war with Russia.
"It is irresponsibly foolish to believe that Russian President Vladimir
Putin will not take countermeasures-at a time and place of his own
choosing."
-Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity
And President Barack Obama confirmed many of those fears when he added to
plans to bolster the number of American troops on Poland's Russian border,
and announced the creation of a new U.S. military headquarters in Poland as
well as the delivery of "the most advanced" U.S. military equipment for NATO
and Polish troops.
In addition to a recent enormous NATO war game that simulated a war with
Russia, the increased troop levels and military presence on Europe's eastern
borders "reflects a new and dangerous strategic outlook in Washington,"
wrote Michael T. Klare in The Nation.
Klare explains the drastic strategic shift signaled by Obama's comments:
Whereas previously the strategic focus had been on terrorism and
counterinsurgency, it has now shifted to conventional warfare among the
major powers. "Today's security environment is dramatically different than
the one we've been engaged in for the last 25 years," observed Secretary of
Defense Ashton Carter on February 2, when unveiling the Pentagon's $583
billion budget for fiscal year 2017. Until recently, he explained, American
forces had largely been primed to defeat insurgent and irregular forces,
such as the Taliban in Afghanistan. Now, however, the Pentagon was being
readied for "a return to great-power competition," including the possibility
of all-out combat with "high-end enemies" like Russia and China.
The budgetary and force-deployment implications of this are enormous in
their own right, but so is this embrace of "great-power competition" as a
guiding star for US strategy. During the Cold War, it was widely assumed
that the principal task of the US military was to prepare for all-out combat
with the Soviet Union, and that such preparation must envision the
likelihood of nuclear escalation. Since then, American forces have seen much
horrible fighting in the Middle East and Afghanistan, but none of that has
involved combat with another major power, and none entailed the risk of
nuclear escalation-for which we should all be thankful. Now, however,
Secretary Carter and his aides are seriously thinking about-and planning
for-conflicts that would involve another major power and could escalate to
the nuclear realm.
"There is the matter of self-fulfilling prophecies," Klare added. "By
announcing the return of great-power competition and preparing for a war
with Russia, the United States and NATO are setting in motion forces that
could, in the end, achieve precisely that outcome."
"By announcing the return of great-power competition and preparing for a war
with Russia, the United States and NATO are setting in motion forces that
could, in the end, achieve precisely that outcome."
-Michael T. Klare, The Nation "This is not to say that Moscow is guiltless
regarding the troubled environment along the eastern front, but surely
Vladimir Putin has reason to claim that the NATO initiatives pose a
substantially heightened threat to Russian security and so justify a
corresponding Russian buildup. Any such moves will, of course, invite yet
additional NATO deployments, followed by complementary Russian moves, and so
on-until we're right back in a Cold War-like situation," Klare noted.
Indeed, Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity (VIPS), a group of
current and former members of the U.S. intelligence community, this week
published a memorandum urging German Chancellor Angela Merkel to oppose
NATO's saber-rattling regarding Russia for similar reasons.
"We shake our heads in disbelief when we see Western leaders seemingly
oblivious to what it means to the Russians to witness exercises on a scale
not seen since Hitler's armies launched 'Unternehmen Barbarossa' 75 years
ago, leaving 25 million Soviet citizens dead," VIPS wrote:
In our view, it is irresponsibly foolish to believe that Russian President
Vladimir Putin will not take countermeasures-at a time and place of his own
choosing.
Putin does not have the option of trying to reassure his generals that what
they hear and see from NATO is mere rhetoric and posturing. He is already
facing increased pressure to react in an unmistakably forceful way. In sum,
Russia is bound to react strongly to what it regards as the unwarranted
provocation of large military exercises along its western borders, including
in Ukraine.
Yet not everyone at the summit appears to be on board with NATO's current
activities.
German officials, compared to those from other NATO countries, are largely
opposed to military escalation against Russia. In fact, German Foreign
Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier last month condemned NATO's provocative war
games, telling the media, "What we shouldn't do now is inflame the situation
further through sabre-rattling and warmongering."
"Whoever believes that a symbolic tank parade on the alliance's eastern
border will bring security is mistaken," Steinmeier added.
Russia itself has condemned NATO's actions for reflecting "anti-Russia
hysteria."
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told Reuters that it was "absurd to talk
about any threat coming from Russia at a time when dozens of people are
dying in the center of Europe and when hundreds of people are dying in the
Middle East daily," adding that "you have to be extremely short-sighted to
twist things in that way."
Some speculate that the true motivating force behind NATO's escalation
against Russia may be U.S. interests, as the country seeks to bolster its
status as the world's sole superpower: "Under the euphemism of
'containment,' the U.S. is relentlessly advancing its new Cold War on Russia
and China," writes John V. Walsh in Consortium News. "Its instrument in the
West is NATO and in the East, Japan and whatever other worthies can be
sharked up."
"The goal of the U.S. foreign policy elite would clearly be for Russia and
China to 'lose,' but even if they 'won,' they would be brought low," Walsh
continues, "leaving the U.S. as the world's greatest economic and military
power as it was in 1945."
Walsh adds: "Europe is beginning to awaken to this. We have Steinmeier's
plea. But it is not only Germany that is worried. The French Senate wants an
end to the sanctions imposed on Russia. Business people in many Western
European countries, most notably in Germany and Italy, European farmers who
export to Russia and tourist entrepreneurs like those in Turkey and Bulgaria
also want an end to sanctions and military exercises."
For his part, Klare argues that European leaders must "not allow their
inclination to 'demonstrate unity' and 'act resolutely' lead them to approve
military moves that are inherently destabilizing. Surely it is possible to
reassure the Baltic states and Poland without deploying many thousands of
additional troops there and inviting an additional military buildup on the
Russian side."
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NATO Has a Very Peculiar Way of Showing It Doesn't Want New Cold War
Published on
Friday, July 08, 2016
by
Common Dreams
NATO Has a Very Peculiar Way of Showing It Doesn't Want New Cold War
On first day of NATO summit, critics condemn "new and dangerous plan" to
provoke Russia with heightened military presence on its borders
by
Nika Knight, staff writer
. 12 Comments
.
. UK troops practice maneuvers during a NATO exercise in Poland in
2014. (Photo: Defence Images/flickr/cc)
. On the first day of this weekend's NATO summit in Warsaw, Poland,
NATO chief Jens Stoltenberg assured the public, "We don't want a new Cold
War. The Cold War is history and should remain history."
. Yet Stoltenberg seemed to simultaneously defy that claim when he
also announced that NATO's "response force" is now three times larger than
it was during the Cold War-further stoking fears that NATO's recent
saber-rattling may herald a new major war with Russia.
. "It is irresponsibly foolish to believe that Russian President
Vladimir Putin will not take countermeasures-at a time and place of his own
choosing."
-Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity
. And President Barack Obama confirmed many of those fears when he
added to plans to bolster the number of American troops on Poland's Russian
border, and announced the creation of a new U.S. military headquarters in
Poland as well as the delivery of "the most advanced" U.S. military
equipment for NATO and Polish troops.
In addition to a recent enormous NATO war game that simulated a war with
Russia, the increased troop levels and military presence on Europe's eastern
borders "reflects a new and dangerous strategic outlook in Washington,"
wrote Michael T. Klare in The Nation.
Klare explains the drastic strategic shift signaled by Obama's comments:
Whereas previously the strategic focus had been on terrorism and
counterinsurgency, it has now shifted to conventional warfare among the
major powers. "Today's security environment is dramatically different than
the one we've been engaged in for the last 25 years," observed Secretary of
Defense Ashton Carter on February 2, when unveiling the Pentagon's $583
billion budget for fiscal year 2017. Until recently, he explained, American
forces had largely been primed to defeat insurgent and irregular forces,
such as the Taliban in Afghanistan. Now, however, the Pentagon was being
readied for "a return to great-power competition," including the possibility
of all-out combat with "high-end enemies" like Russia and China.
The budgetary and force-deployment implications of this are enormous in
their own right, but so is this embrace of "great-power competition" as a
guiding star for US strategy. During the Cold War, it was widely assumed
that the principal task of the US military was to prepare for all-out combat
with the Soviet Union, and that such preparation must envision the
likelihood of nuclear escalation. Since then, American forces have seen much
horrible fighting in the Middle East and Afghanistan, but none of that has
involved combat with another major power, and none entailed the risk of
nuclear escalation-for which we should all be thankful. Now, however,
Secretary Carter and his aides are seriously thinking about-and planning
for-conflicts that would involve another major power and could escalate to
the nuclear realm.
"There is the matter of self-fulfilling prophecies," Klare added. "By
announcing the return of great-power competition and preparing for a war
with Russia, the United States and NATO are setting in motion forces that
could, in the end, achieve precisely that outcome."
"By announcing the return of great-power competition and preparing for a war
with Russia, the United States and NATO are setting in motion forces that
could, in the end, achieve precisely that outcome."
-Michael T. Klare, The Nation "This is not to say that Moscow is guiltless
regarding the troubled environment along the eastern front, but surely
Vladimir Putin has reason to claim that the NATO initiatives pose a
substantially heightened threat to Russian security and so justify a
corresponding Russian buildup. Any such moves will, of course, invite yet
additional NATO deployments, followed by complementary Russian moves, and so
on-until we're right back in a Cold War-like situation," Klare noted.
Indeed, Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity (VIPS), a group of
current and former members of the U.S. intelligence community, this week
published a memorandum urging German Chancellor Angela Merkel to oppose
NATO's saber-rattling regarding Russia for similar reasons.
"We shake our heads in disbelief when we see Western leaders seemingly
oblivious to what it means to the Russians to witness exercises on a scale
not seen since Hitler's armies launched 'Unternehmen Barbarossa' 75 years
ago, leaving 25 million Soviet citizens dead," VIPS wrote:
In our view, it is irresponsibly foolish to believe that Russian President
Vladimir Putin will not take countermeasures-at a time and place of his own
choosing.
Putin does not have the option of trying to reassure his generals that what
they hear and see from NATO is mere rhetoric and posturing. He is already
facing increased pressure to react in an unmistakably forceful way. In sum,
Russia is bound to react strongly to what it regards as the unwarranted
provocation of large military exercises along its western borders, including
in Ukraine.
Yet not everyone at the summit appears to be on board with NATO's current
activities.
German officials, compared to those from other NATO countries, are largely
opposed to military escalation against Russia. In fact, German Foreign
Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier last month condemned NATO's provocative war
games, telling the media, "What we shouldn't do now is inflame the situation
further through sabre-rattling and warmongering."
"Whoever believes that a symbolic tank parade on the alliance's eastern
border will bring security is mistaken," Steinmeier added.
Russia itself has condemned NATO's actions for reflecting "anti-Russia
hysteria."
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told Reuters that it was "absurd to talk
about any threat coming from Russia at a time when dozens of people are
dying in the center of Europe and when hundreds of people are dying in the
Middle East daily," adding that "you have to be extremely short-sighted to
twist things in that way."
Some speculate that the true motivating force behind NATO's escalation
against Russia may be U.S. interests, as the country seeks to bolster its
status as the world's sole superpower: "Under the euphemism of
'containment,' the U.S. is relentlessly advancing its new Cold War on Russia
and China," writes John V. Walsh in Consortium News. "Its instrument in the
West is NATO and in the East, Japan and whatever other worthies can be
sharked up."
"The goal of the U.S. foreign policy elite would clearly be for Russia and
China to 'lose,' but even if they 'won,' they would be brought low," Walsh
continues, "leaving the U.S. as the world's greatest economic and military
power as it was in 1945."
Walsh adds: "Europe is beginning to awaken to this. We have Steinmeier's
plea. But it is not only Germany that is worried. The French Senate wants an
end to the sanctions imposed on Russia. Business people in many Western
European countries, most notably in Germany and Italy, European farmers who
export to Russia and tourist entrepreneurs like those in Turkey and Bulgaria
also want an end to sanctions and military exercises."
For his part, Klare argues that European leaders must "not allow their
inclination to 'demonstrate unity' and 'act resolutely' lead them to approve
military moves that are inherently destabilizing. Surely it is possible to
reassure the Baltic states and Poland without deploying many thousands of
additional troops there and inviting an additional military buildup on the
Russian side."
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 3.0
License
Share This Article
. 177
. 1
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