[AZ-Observing] Re: Dry winter ahead
- From: "Steve Coe" <stevecoe@xxxxxxxxx>
- To: <az-observing@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Sun, 30 Sep 2007 19:32:55 -0700
Brian, et al;
One of the folks on the Cloudy Nights website was answering the question
"What music goes with observing?" and answered:
"Singin' in the Rain", "Rhythm of the Falling Rain", "Raindrops Keep =
Fallin'
on My Head", "Blue Eyes Crying in the Rain", "Early Mornin' Rain", "One
Rainy Wish", "Rainy Day, Dream Away", "The Sky is Crying", "Somewhere =
over
the Rainbow", "Have You Ever Seen the Rain?", "Here Comes the Rain =
Again",
"Stormy Monday", "I Can't Stand the Rain", "Let it Rain", "Who'll Stop =
the
Rain", "Smokestack Lightning", "Rider in the Rain", "Riders on the =
Storm",
"Still Raining, Still Dreaming", and "Here Comes That Rainy Day =
Feeling".
I am hoping that your information about the forecast for this winter =
will be
correct and we can get out and enjoy some clear Arizona skies.
Here's hoping;
Steve Coe
-----Original Message-----
From: az-observing-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
[mailto:az-observing-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf Of Brian Skiff
Sent: Friday, September 21, 2007 6:38 PM
To: az-observing@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
Subject: [AZ-Observing] Dry winter ahead
The climatological forecasts issued by the NWS this week
indicate a dry winter for the Southwest US. This is mainly due to
developing La Nina conditions in the Pacific. The generic maps,
which are run out 14 months in advance, are here:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/two_class.ht=
ml
(click on individual maps for details)
.....and the associated yak-yak, mainly dealing with sea surface
temperatures, is here:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/fxus05.html
The temperature maps are losing usefulness since they are scaled=20
to the 1971-2000 averages---and the warming is happening fast enough
now that there is practically no such thing as below average
temperatures in the climatological sense. (Good thing they're not
using the entire 1890-2000 dataset as the reference.)
\Brian
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