[AR] Re: Spacex
- From: Matthew JL <prmattjl@xxxxxxxxx>
- To: arocket@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
- Date: Tue, 27 Dec 2022 23:21:30 -0500
And price? Spacex has room to adjust their price to be more than
competitive with any other launch provider on the planet.
As a well managed business, they would be stupid to drop prices way below
market... just price low enough to assure they get the contract, and
maximize profits to fund their very ambitious development program.
I never liked this argument because it totally violates the core principle
of SpaceX, by their own admission. “The key to making life multiplanetary
is launch costs, therefore… we’ll price gouge as hard as possible, and
screw anyone who might be able to take advantage of that, until we can
hopefully, maybe, build a system that might be cost effective.”
Besides it immediately collapses when some other launch provider decides
*not* to do that and undercuts SpaceX. That is, if the theory about
cost/kg is correct (which I disagree on).
In reality, given the truly massive capital raises that SpaceX has sought
and the recent price raises blamed on inflation, it’s not likely they have
much margin to work with for some reason or another - and if they’re doing
all that while hiding some ridiculous markup then the FTC might be
interested…
On Tue, Dec 27, 2022 at 10:50 PM James Fackert <jimfackert@xxxxxxxxx> wrote:
Though it has some specialized bits, falcon Heavy is just 3 falcon 9
boosters and a falcon upper stage.
And- oh yeah- the boosters have been recovered, and are being prepped to
fly again.
So unlike the usual expendable spacecraft, the game is totally changed.
A decision to "obsolete" FH can be changed to decision to re-fly or even
to convert more and up the flight rate. The time to implement such a change
is much much shorter and lower cost than any other ship.
So spacex can adapt to market changes at lightning speed compared to any
other launch provider. Warp speed compared to most.
I would bet that they also know more about the real and potential market
than anyone else, since they can respond to it faster than anyone else.
Ditto with F9. Want to launch an extra dragon cargo? an extra dragon
manned? and additional shared launch of many satellites? another payload?
Relatively quick and easy.
And price? Spacex has room to adjust their price to be more than
competitive with any other launch provider on the planet.
As a well managed business, they would be stupid to drop prices way below
market... just price low enough to assure they get the contract, and
maximize profits to fund their very ambitious development program.
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