Uwe:
You misapprehend me: I am looking at US (Colorado) data that is
statistically consistent with the Spanish and Italian data.
None of that data is consistent w/ what the Chinese have reported. The
only logical conclusion is that the Chinese have been lying about the
severity of this pandemic in China.
Bill
On Thu, Apr 2, 2020 at 12:28 AM Uwe Klein <uwe@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
Am 02.04.2020 um 03:30 schrieb William Claybaugh:
As I continue to look at the (american) data available to me I am
concluding that the Chinese data and all the papers derived from it are
bullshit.
The Chinese appear to be lying about deaths, infections, and rates. None
of their papers can be relied upon.
The data I am seeing continues to suggest a wild R0 near but below
four. Previous claims of 2.2 or 0.9 to 3.5 do not appear to be based on
any valid data.
You are lambasting the Chinese for the absolute failure of
acting early enough in your local system.
"Just a flu. no match to MAGA"
The Chinese had to discover a new infection source.
The US just had to react properly not published information.
They did not. ( and there was early local warning too!)
Uwe
