[texbirds] Wild speculation of transgulf migration

  • From: "Collins, Fred (Commissioner Pct. 3)" <Fred_Collins@xxxxxxxx>
  • To: "1 Texbirds (texbirds@xxxxxxxxxxxxx)" <texbirds@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • Date: Tue, 9 Apr 2013 17:50:36 +0000

John Arvin wrote:

Subject: [texbirds] Monitoring spring bird migration using NEXRAD weather radar

Wow! Winds at 4000 ft. this morning are 52 kts. at Brownsville, 56 (!) at 
Corpus, 39 at Lake Charles, and I wasn't able to get a reading from New Orleans 
but expect it to be a little less than at Lake Charles. With tailwinds like 
that the average small passerine adds its own flight speed and you get up to 
near 100 miles per hour for a Gulf crossing. That puts migrants on the northern 
Gulf coast quite early in the day. These winds are being sucked up into a deep 
low pressure area in the southern Great Plains. 
A couple of questions come up: there must be a maximum tail wind speed above 
which birds cannot control flight and it becomes dangerous for them, but I have 
never seen any data, or even speculation on that. And blizzard conditions are 
advertised in association with this Low. Are birds in danger of overshooting 
the survivable terrain into which they are headed? I expect the violet weather 
associated with the Low would put them down before the blizzard condition set 
in but that is just my speculation.



I love to speculate on transgulf flight speed and have often speculated 70-80 
miles per hour but 100mph is even more though provoking. In light of the wind 
speed data presented I suspect that this is not an all-time high either but 
maybe a fairly regular occurrence. It can be windy on the coast and especially 
in the Valley. I know there are a few meteorologist that read Texbirds, maybe 
they can speculate further.

As for how much tail wind is too much, certainly that pertains to large 
aircraft and sailboats but is likely directly linked to mass and aerodynamics. 
I suspect that small birds like most passerines and perhaps larger ones like 
shorebirds may tolerate tail winds well beyond what may interfere with machine 
aircraft. I know that there are also a few physicist that read Texbirds that 
may speculate in a more informed matter than I. 

Fascinating thought a warbler or hummingbird traveling at 100-120 miles an 
hour. That makes the gulf crossing in 5-7 hours. If a Bar-tailed Godwit can fly 
for 96 hours can a warbler fly half that long? Maybe flying from South America 
to Texas or from Newfoundland to South America is much more plausible than we 
can imagine in our earth bound bulking frames and minds.


Fred Collins
             (281) 357-5324
Director: Kleb Woods Nature Center 
             Cypress Top Historical Park 
Commissioner Steve Radack
Harris County Precinct 3
www.pct3.hctx.net



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