wow I remember sending that out about six months ago. :) came around
again, and it is still amazing.
-----
Curtis Delzer, HS.
K6VFO
San Bernardino, CA
On Mon, 29 Aug 2016 17:53:20 -0400
Panix <kathyann@xxxxxxxxx> wrote:
Wow that was a neat article. I really liked it. Man I wish I could touch a
3-D printer. I wish there was a way to blind people could use them. Then we
could print our own shoes and stuff. That would be a royal blast. I think I
would like it. Anyway I want to learn how to take pictures with the iPhone. I
don't know how to do it. Honestly I'd like to learn how. Because there are
groups that I'm on more people send pictures back-and-forth. And I'd like to
put a picture on Facebook. But I don't know if I can. I mean I asked a
friend of mine how to do it and he said figure it out for yourself. Why don't
have the patience to figure it out. Maybe when I go to the Apple Store
they'll show me I don't know. But as far as electric cars wow that sounds
kind of scary. Because we won't be able to hear them. Honestly that's really
crazy. That's the kind of car I got hit by one of those hybrid cars. The run
on both gas and electric. That's a scary thought. But honestly it really is.
That's
crazy.
But anyway I think the yard. Not going to do that much tonight.
Anyway tomorrow I go see the orthopedist. Well I got my three months of
therapy through Medicare and the clinic won't let me have anymore because my
visits to run out. So now I'm probably going to have an argument with the
orthopedist about that. And I'm not thrilled about it either. Because I
really want to stay in therapy. So now I'm either going to have to go to a
hospital is it outpatient or just not do it. And that's really frustrating. I
hate when Medicare throws you out when you're not even finished. That's the
way the coast. Plus I talk to my mother on Sunday and she's bugging me about
getting a will done and if I want to get cremated to figure out how to pay
for it. She's been bugging me about this for months. And she has the idea in
her head that is a blind person I can't get life insurance. OK maybe that was
true back in 1955 because she told me that she couldn't get it for me but I
thought the
y found
out I was blind. Now that's changed. But she doesn't believe it. I guess you
can't argue with a woman it's almost going to be 90. So I'm not not even
going to try. I guess I'm going to have to talk to Social Security and find
out if I can get life insurance. Then she says she doesn't know if I can
inherit money from her because I would lose my SSI. I tried to tell her she
should've put it in a trust and she didn't. Oh well. I guess I'm going to
have to talk to her lawyer. Or find one here. And trying to get legal
representation when you're on a fixed income is not easy.
Sent from my iPhone
On Aug 29, 2016, at 5:36 PM, Sandy <shbrooks49@xxxxxxxxx> wrote:You are subscribed to Ourplace (
I know this is off topic for our list, but thought some of you might find
it interesting.
Sandy
1998, Kodak had 170,000 employees and sold 85%
of all photo paper worldwide.
Within just a few years, their business model
disappeared and they went bankrupt.
What happened to Kodak will happen to a lot of
industries in the next 10 years - and most people won't see it coming.
Did you ever think in 1998 that 3 years later
you would never take pictures on paper film again??? Yet digital cameras
were invented in 1975. The problem was that the first ones only had 10,000
pixels and it took time to develop more definition in photos. So as with
all exponential technologies, it was a disappointment for a long time,
before it became way superior and became mainstream in only a few short
years thereafter.
The above will now start happening with
artificial intelligence, health, autonomous and electric cars, education,
3D printing, agriculture, jobs and many other important parts of daily life.
So ... Welcome to the 4th Industrial Revolution
or should I say welcome to the Exponential Age.
Software
Software will disrupt most traditional
industries in the next 5-10 years.
Uber is just a software tool, they don't own any
cars, and are now the biggest taxi company in the world.
Airbnb is now the biggest hotel company in the
world, although they don't own any properties.
Artificial intelligence
Computers will become exponentially better in
understanding the world.
This year, a computer beat the best Go player in
the world, 10 years earlier than expected.
In the US, young lawyers already don't get jobs
because IBM's Watson, where you can get legal advice (so far for more or
less basic stuff) within seconds with a 90% accuracy compared to 70%
accuracy when done by humans.
There will be 90% less lawyers in the future,
only specialists will remain.
So if you study law, stop immediately!!!
Medicine
Watson already helps nurses diagnose cancer, 4
times more accurate than human nurses.
Facebook now has a pattern recognition software
that can recognize faces better than humans.
In 2030, computers will become more intelligent
than humans.
Transport
Autonomous cars: In 2018 the first self driving
cars will appear for the public.
Around 2020, the complete industry will start to
be disrupted.
You won't want to own a car anymore, however, if
you do want a car, then electric cars will already start becoming
mainstream by 2020.
Furthermore, cities will be less noisy because
all cars will run on electric.
You will call a car with your phone, it will
show up at your location and drive you to your destination.
You will not need to park it, you only pay for
the driven distance and can be productive while driving.
Our kids will never get a driver's licence and
will never own a car.
It will change the cities, because we will need
90-95% less cars for that.
We can transform former parking space into parks.
Today 1.2 million people die each year in car
accidents worldwide.
We now have one accident every 100,000 km, with
autonomous driving, that will drop to one accident in 10 million km.
That will save a million lives each year.
Most car companies might become bankrupt.
Traditional car companies still try the
evolutionary approach and just build a better car, while tech companies
(Tesla, Apple, Google) will do the revolutionary approach and build a
computer on wheels. (I spoke to a lot of engineers from Volkswagen and
Audi; they are completely terrified of Tesla.)
Insurance
Insurance companies will have massive trouble
This is because without accidents, the insurance will become 100x cheaper.
Their car insurance business model will
disappear.
Real Estate
Real estate patterns will change - Because if
you can work while you commute, people will move further away to live in a
more beautiful neighborhood.
Electricity
This facility will become incredibly cheap and
clean.
Solar production has been on an exponential
curve for 30 years, but you can only see the impact now.
Last year, more solar energy was installed
worldwide than fossil.
The price for solar will drop so much that all
coal companies will be out of business by 2025.
Water
With cheap electricity comes cheap and abundant
water.
Desalination now only needs 2kWh per cubic meter.
We don't have scarce water in most places, we
only have scarce drinking water.
Imagine what will be possible if anyone can have
as much clean water as he wants, for nearly no cost.
Health
The Tricorder X price will be announced this
year.
There will be companies who will build this type
of medical device (called the "Tricorder" from Star Trek) that works with
your phone taking your retina scan and will also be able to take your blood
sample when you breath into it. It then analyses 54 biomarkers that will
identify nearly any disease. It will be cheap. So, in a few years, everyone
on this planet will have access to world class medicine, nearly for free.
3D printing
The price of the cheapest 3D printer came down
from $18,000 to $400 within 10 years.
In the same time, it became 100 times faster.
All major shoe companies started 3D printing
shoes.
Spare airplane parts are already 3D printed in
remote airports.
The space station now has a printer that
eliminates the need for the large amount of spare parts they used to have
in the past.
At the end of this year, new smart phones will
have 3D scanning possibilities. You can then 3D scan your feet and print
your perfect shoe at home. In China, they have already 3D printed a
complete 6-storey office building.
By 2027, 10% of everything that's being produced
will be 3D printed.
Work
70-80% of jobs will disappear in the next 20
years.
There will be a lot of new jobs, but it is not
clear if there will be enough new jobs in such a short time.
Agriculture and food
There will be a $100 agricultural robot in the
future. Farmers in 3rd world countries can then become managers of their
field instead of working all day on their fields.
Aeroponics will need much less water.
The first petri dish produced veal is now
available and will be cheaper than cow produced veal in 2018.
Right now, 30% of all agricultural surfaces is
used for cows. Imagine when we don't need that space anymore.
There are several startups who will bring insect
protein to the market shortly. This will contain more protein than meat.
It will be labelled as "alternative protein
source" (because most people still reject the idea of eating insects).
Human feelings
There is already an app called "moodies" which
can tell which mood you are in.
Until 2020, there will be apps that can tell by
your facial expressions if you are lying.
Imagine a political debate where it's being
displayed when they are telling the truth and when they are not.
Bitcoin
This currency will become mainstream this year
and might even become the default reserve currency.
Longevity
Right now, an average life span increases by 3
months per year.
Four years ago, a life span used to be 79 years,
now it's 80 years.
The increase itself is increasing, and by 2036,
there will be more than one year increase per year.
So we all might live for a long, long time,
probably way more than 100 years old.
Education
The cheapest smart phones are already sold for
$10 in Africa and Asia.
By 2020, 70% of all humans will own a smart
phone and that means that most will have the same access to world class
education.
Business opportunities
If you think of a niche you want to go into, ask
yourself, "in the future, do you think we will have that?" If the answer is
yes, you should ask yourself how can you make this happen sooner?
THE 2 BIG CLUES
If it doesn't work with your phone, forget about
the idea!
Any idea that was designed for success using
20th century thinking is doomed for failure in the 21st century.
Why don't you bury this mail somewhere on your
computer under the header To be opened on 1 January 2025 and on this date
(if you are still around) look back to see how much of the above has come
true. You might be in for a huge surprise and you will not be able to say
Nobody warned me that this was going to happen.
If you are not around, then leave guidance to
your grandchildren to find the hidden file where they will probably have a
wonderful laugh at your expense for not listening to your own advice.
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